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Simulating the NHL Draft Lottery 100 Times

The 2021 NHL Draft Lottery will be held on Wednesday, June 2, at the NHL Network studio in Secaucus, NJ. The draft lottery will determine the order of selection for the first 16 picks in the first round of the 2021 NHL Draft. The 2021 NHL Draft will be held virtually on July 23 and 24.

Using the website http://www.tankathon.com, the 2021 Draft Lottery was simulated 100 times to see how many times each team will get the 1st and 2nd overall pick.

Here are the odds each team has at obtaining the 1st and 2nd overall picks in the NHL Draft:

 

Team1st overall pick Odds2nd overall pick Odds
Sabres16.615.0
Ducks12.111.7
Kraken10.310.2
Devils10.310.2
Blue Jackets8.58.6
Red Wings7.67.8
Sharks6.76.9
Kings5.86.0
Canucks5.45.7
Senators4.54.8
Coyotes (Pick is forfeited)3.13.3
Blackhawks2.72.9
Flames2.22.4
Flyers1.82.0
Stars1.41.5
Rangers1.01.1

 

Here are the results of the 100 draft lottery simulations:

 

Team1st overall pick2nd overall pick
Sabres1817
Ducks146
Kraken84
Devils812
Blue Jackets311
Red Wings108
Sharks75
Kings68
Canucks89
Senators44
Coyotes (Pick is forfeited)36
Blackhawks50
Flames32
Flyers15
Stars12
Rangers11

 

Teams that got “lucky” in the simulation based on odds:

Red Wings (1st overall)

Canucks (1st overall)

Blackhawks (1st overall)

Blue Jackets (2nd overall)

Canucks (2nd overall)

Coyotes (2nd overall)

Flyers (2nd overall)

 

Teams that got “unlucky” in the simulation based on odds:

Blue Jackets (1st overall)

Ducks (2nd overall)

Kraken (2nd overall)

Blackhawks (2nd overall)

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1 comment

Red Wings have 7.6% chance at 1st overall pick – Hockey 1 on 1 June 1, 2021 at 8:49 am

[…] TheGameHaus used Tankathon to simulate the draft 100 times to see how many times each team will get the 1st and 2nd overall pick. Through 100 simulations, Detroit won 1st overall 10 times and 2nd overall 8 times. That’s considered a “lucky” outcome as they overcame the odds of winning. […]

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