Week eight couldn’t have come fast enough. After two consecutive weeks of losing, my lineups bounced back in a big way. My cash lineups featured LeSean McCoy and Mark Ingram, while my tournament entries were carried by Russell Wilson and Paul Richardson. Thankfully, I’m able to get back to writing these report card pieces. So let’s review my picks on the Suck My DFS Podcast and my week 8 DFS don’ts.
While Drew Brees was solid, he failed to double his production against a stingy Chicago defense. The Saints commitment to running the ball is severely cutting into Brees’ upside. Russell Wilson came up big as usual. We talked on the Suck My DFS Podcast about Wilson’s perceived tough matchup against the Texans. Since losing JJ Watt and Whitney Mercilus, they played Cleveland and had their bye. We knew Wilson would play well. Phillip Rivers didn’t look right. Maybe he’s dealing with an injury or his unorthodox release is taking a toll on him at his age. Whatever it is, he’s off my radar moving forward.
Running Back: 4/6
I was bullish on Le’Veon Bell against the Lions. He was incredibly disappointing given his $9,400 price tag when you could have played Ezekiel Elliott and LeSean McCoy for a huge discount. Mark Ingram, despite his two fumbles, made value and counts as a win this week. Joe Mixon would also have counted as a win if he can freaking fall forward into the end zone on a 67 yard screen pass; however, he came up 1.4 points short of making value.
Conversely, I nailed my week 8 DFS don’ts at this position. Devonta Freeman, Jordan Howard, and Chris Thompson all failed to make value. Howard and Thompson weren’t complete failures, but, they came up short as a cash game play.
Wide Receiver: 3/6
I was really nervous about my Antonio Brown call this week. The guy is almost matchup proof. Thankfully, the Lions secondary held him in check. Amari Cooper followed up his great performance with an absolute dud against the Bills. Will Fuller…I’ll take the huge “L” on that call. I still think his success is completely unsustainable, but he came through for a lot of DFS players this week.
The weather absolutely crushed my picks at wide receiver. Dez Bryant and Josh Doctson were in great positions to produce, but they had to play in a monsoon. Doctson failed to make value despite his late touchdown. On the other hand, Marvin Jones produced in a tough matchup and put me over the top in all of my cash contests with his 15.8 points.
Tight End: 2/4
I’ll never complain about splitting on tight ends. Unfortunately, I wish the split would have come in favor of my DFS do’s, not my DFS don’ts. I nailed both tight ends on my DFS don’ts list, Austin Seferian-Jenkins and O.J. Howard. Both players had an anemic fantasy game and weather had a larger impact on their production than I anticipated.
Even though Zach Ertz caught a touchdown, he failed to double his expensive $7,900 price tag. I also thought that Hunter Henry was in position to have a great game. If someone could explain to me why the Chargers continue to use Antonio Gates over Hunter Henry I would really appreciate it.
I should never doubt Matt Prater when he plays at home. He finished as the highest scoring kicker on the slate. Jake Elliott was a win though. Even in the rain, he came through with 10 points, which was enough for him to make value.
I coincidentally had both the Saints and the Bears in my write ups this week. The Bears failed do produce, even though they were only $4,200 and were saved by two late fumbles by Mark Ingram. On the other side, the Saints also failed to produce given their value. I guess they were surprised that the Bears attempted to throw the ball more than
Overall Score: 12/23
I operated just over the 50% line with my podcast picks and week 8 DFS don’ts. My preliminary thoughts on week 9 aren’t great. The pricing will be tight as there are fewer and fewer value plays at the running back and wide receiver position.
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