The Super Bowl is here and football is almost over. Picking NFL games straight up is hard enough, but picking against the spread is even tougher. Here is Super Bowl 54 picked against the spread. (Spread is from ESPN as of January 20)

Last week: 1-1, Overall: 135-124-6

Super Bowl LIV

San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-1) (Game in Miami, FL)

These teams are very different, which should make for an interesting game in Super Bowl LIV. The 49ers have run the ball very well and have played good defense. They have a talented defensive line, which is led by Nick Bosa’s three postseason sacks. Richard Sherman has been the best player in the secondary through the playoffs with two interceptions and two passes defended. Their defense will be asked to do a lot against Pat Mahomes. The running game has carried the offense, as Raheem Mostert has been on fire running the ball. The only question is: If they get behind, can Jimmy Garopplo play catch up with the powerful Kansas City offense.

The Chiefs have run the ball way less and play opportunistic defense. Their offense operates around Mahomes’ strong arm. His ability to find Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce has made this offense dynamic. There aren’t many teams who can keep up with the Chiefs when their offense is operating on all cylinders. The defense did allow less than 20 points per game this season. They were able to slow down Derrick Henry, the NFL’s leading rusher in the AFC Championship game, as he finished with just 69 rushing yards. They’ll need to bring the same energy against the 49ers in Miami. Tyrann Mathieu’s versatility has been great for the backend of the Chiefs’ defense and the 49ers will need to account for where he is every play.

Because these teams have conflicting styles, it makes it hard to predict. The Chiefs have an offense that will be hard to stop, so if they take a lead, much like they did against the Titans, the 49ers will not be able to keep up. Andy Reid will get his first Super Bowl victory.

Pick: Chiefs