Before the season, sportsbooks will release a number of wins they predict each NFL team to win during the regular season. Gamblers can choose to bet the over/under on the win total. Predicting each NFL team’s over/under isn’t easy, as each game result impacts so much.
NFL win totals found here.
2024 record: 19-13
Last season: 13-19
Buffalo Bills: Over 10.5 wins
Buffalo has a new head coach, but keeps a lot of players around to keep the good momentum going. They have had over 10 wins every season since 2020. With the addition of DJ Moore to the offense, they should have more consistency, even if the defense takes a small step backwards.
Miami Dolphins: Under 4.5 wins
Miami stripped their roster of talent this offseason as they look to build for the future. Malik Willis looked good in Green Bay, but that was with Matt LaFleur running things. De’Von Achane will have a lot on his plate and may be a trade candidate if things start off slowly.
New England Patriots: Under 10.5 wins
The Patriots made the Super Bowl, but now have a tougher schedule to deal with. While they have upgraded on offense, they also have off-field distractions. They can still be a solid team on the fringe of playoff contention, but getting back to over 10 wins could be tough.
New York Jets: Under 5.5 wins
The Jets are expected to have some better offensive play with Geno Smith at quarterback and the selections of pass catchers Omar Cooper Jr. and Kenyon Sadiq. It still may be tough for them to take a giant step forward, as they traded both Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams last season, meaning their defense has some work to do.
Baltimore Ravens: Over 11.5 wins
Baltimore had a down year in 2025, but could come storming back this season. Jesse Minter can help improve the defense, while Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry can stay effective on offense, especially after the team prioritized the offensive line and wide receiver room in the draft.
Cincinnati Bengals: Over 10.5 wins
Cincinnati going over may rest on Joe Burrow staying healthy, as they are a different team when he is able to play. The Bengals have a good offense and seem to want to diversify by going under center more this year. The defense traded for Dexter Lawrence and signed Bryan Cook, meaning a massive jump on that side of the ball is possible.
Cleveland Browns: Under 5.5 wins
Myles Garrett is gone and there is a quarterback competition between Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders. The defense will likely take a step back, while the offense probably won’t improve that much, meaning a tough season for Cleveland could be ahead.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Under 8.5 wins
Aaron Rodgers returning really bailed the Steelers out. They needed him back at quarterback, but the defense is a candidate for massive regression, as they will be a very old unit this season. It is a new era without Mike Tomlin and a lot could unravel under Mike McCarthy.
Houston Texans: Over 9.5 wins
Houston has a terrifying defense led by Will Anderson Jr., and Danielle Hunter. That should be enough to give them a solid floor and if the offense can improve, the ceiling could be better than last season too. C.J. Stroud and Nico Collins need to stay healthy, while new running back David Montgomery can take some pressure off if he can pick up some yards on the ground.
Indianapolis Colts: Under 7.5 wins
Daniel Jones is practicing without limitations after tearing his Achilles last season, but there will be questions about his mobility. The Colts caught lightning in a bottle last season and will need Jones to play at a high level again. A healthy Sauce Gardner can help the defense, but they didn’t improve in too many other areas this offseason.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Over 10.5 wins
The Jaguars are a regression candidate, but Liam Coen has done a great job designing the offense to produce. Trevor Lawrence looked great last season and Jakobi Meyers really stabilized the offense. With Travis Hunter focusing more on defense and Josh Hines-Allen getting after the quarterback, they could actually improve on that side of the ball.
Tennessee Titans: Under 6.5 wins
The Titans did a good job of supporting Cam Ward by signing Wan’Dale Robinson and drafting Carnell Tate. The defense has plenty of holes, though, which could make it tough for them to take a step forward.
Denver Broncos: Over 9.5 wins
Denver’s defense, led by Patrick Surtain II, should be one of the best in the NFL in 2026. On offense, Bo Nix has his limitations, but now gets aided by the addition of Jaylen Waddle. It is a tough division, but the Broncos should get to double-digit wins.
Kansas City Chiefs: Over 10.5 wins
Kenneth Walker III can help give the Chiefs a better ground game, which should open up the offense more for Patrick Mahomes. Drafting Mansoor Delane and Peter Woods can help the defense after they lost several impact players this offseason.
Las Vegas Raiders: Under 5.5 wins
Between drafting Fernando Mendoza, signing Tyler Linderbaum and retaining Maxx Crosby, the Raiders had a good offseason. It might take a while for them to get going though, as they still lack talent at several positions, including wide receiver.
Los Angeles Chargers: Over 9.5 wins
Mike McDaniel is tasked with getting more out of the offense and he should be able to do that for Jim Harbaugh, especially if the offensive line stays healthy. Akheem Mesidor can provide some pass rush across from Khalil Mack, so the defense could be a bit better this season.
Dallas Cowboys: Over 9.5 wins
The Cowboys should still have a high-powered offense with Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens. The run game with Javonte Williams can keep them somewhat balanced. Defensively, a huge improvement can be seen with Quinnen Williams, Rashan Gary, and Jalen Thompson all being added since the start of last season.
New York Giants: Under 7.5 wins
John Harbaugh takes over and is trying to bring some stability to the Giants. Jaxson Dart and Cam Skattebo have shown flashes, but need to stay healthy. Malik Nabers is still making his way back from injury. The defense has pass rushers, but also has some weaknesses in the secondary, which could limit their ability to get to eight wins.
Philadelphia Eagles: Over 10.5 wins
A.J. Brown is out, but the Eagles drafted Makai Lemon to add to the receiver room. The offensive line still has great quality and the defense should be great, especially after the addition of Tariq Woolen. Philadelphia should be able to make the playoffs and probably win the NFC East.
Washington Commanders: Under 7.5 wins
Signing Stefon Diggs definitely helps the receiving core, but Jayden Daniels needs to stay healthy. The defense could improve after they drafted Sonny Styles, but there are still some holes that leave them vulnerable.
Chicago Bears: Over 9.5 wins
Ben Johnson did great in year one with the Bears and the offense should hit another level with Caleb Williams having another year in the offense. The defense has some injury issues in the secondary, but if they can return, they could help them make the push back into the playoffs.
Detroit Lions: Over 10.5 wins
The Lions took a step back last season, but they can bounce back this year. They lost David Montgomery, but have enough offensive firepower to stay very productive. Defensively, they have difference-makers at every level with Aidan Huthcison, Jack Campbell and Brian Branch, who can help the other players come along.
Green Bay Packers: Over 9.5 wins
Micah Parsons has to come back from injury, but he can really help the team get after the quarterback when he does. The offense will get a boost with the return of tight end Tucker Kraft and some improvement from Matthew Gordon at wide receiver. The Packers may not win the Super Bowl, but shoul be able to make a push to the playoffs.
Minnesota Vikings: Under 7.5 wins
Kyler Murray could really help the ceiling for the Vikings, but the running game isn’t great. On top of that, the Vikings have lost players in the last few years, like safety Harrison Smith, that could make things tougher for Brian Flores’s defense this season.
Atlanta Falcons: Under 6.5 wins
There is a quarterback battle that needs to be figured out, but there will be talent around the player that wins the job. The defense is the problem. James Pearce Jr. is likely going to be suspended, while Jalon Walker has a torn ACL. The injuries are already piling up for a unit that needed to play better this season.
Carolina Panthers: Under 7.5 wins
Carolina has injury issues on the offensive line and drafting Monroe Freeling may not be enough to help the team get over that. Bryce Young hasn’t been the most consistent either. The signing of Devin Lloyd helps the defense, but it may not be a roster that can go back to the playoffs.
New Orleans Saints: Over 7.5 wins
New Orleans was projected to be one of the worst teams in the league, but still made a push to eight wins last season. Tyler Shough looks good in Kellen Moore’s system and another year could help him show his talent, especially after the team drafted Jordan Tyson and signed Travis Etienne Jr. If the defense can be decent, the Saints can win eight games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Over 8.5 wins
Baker Mayfield will be playing with a chip on his shoulder in a contract year. Mike Evans is gone, but Emeka Egbuka looks ready to take another step. The team put in effort to improve the defense by drafting Josiah Trotter and Rueben Bain Jr.
Arizona Cardinals: Under 3.5 wins
This is a very low total for a team, but the Cardinals have a brutal schedule. They play in the NFC West, along with having to play the AFC West and NFC East. They seem like they are prepping for the 2027 NFL Draft with the defense still needing plenty of improvements.
Los Angeles Rams: Over 11.5 wins
The Rams are all in with the acquisitions of Myles Garrett, Trent McDuffie and possibly the return of Aaron Donald. The offense has a solid offensive line, an MVP quarterback and a few weapons to utilize. With the additions and returnees, the defense can be nasty. The Rams are the favorites for the Super Bowl and should be.
San Francisco 49ers: Under 9.5 wins
The injuries are already piling up for the 49ers. They still have a few elite players at their positions, but with key players like Mike Evans, Ricky Pearsall, George Kittle and more either recovering or already injured, it can be tough to get the season on the right track.
Seattle Seahawks: Over 10.5 wins
Seattle lost a few key members of their Super Bowl-winning team, but kept a lot of people around. The defense can still be great, especially with the versatility of safety Nick Emmanwori. Offensively, Jadarian Price can help at running back while Zach Charbonnet returns from injury after Kenneth Walker III left. A return to the playoffs and at least 11 wins seems probable.
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