NFL week 6 is here and football is entering the midseason. Picking NFL games straight up is hard enough, but picking against the spread is even tougher. Here are the NFL week 6 picks against the spread. (Spreads are from ESPN as of Thursday morning)
Last Week: 6-9, Overall: 42-36
New York Giants at New England Patriots (-17)
This is a huge spread, but with how many injuries the Giants have going into this game it will likely not be good for them. On a short week, with a rookie quarterback, the Giants will not be able to keep this one close. New England will cover.
Carolina Panthers (-2.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Game in London)
The NFC South will travel to London this week for a Sunday morning game. Christian McCaffrey is banged up, which is not great, as he has been carrying the load on offense for the Panthers. He will play in this game, but it looks like the wear and tear is starting to add up. The Bucs offense has been sporadic, but good at times.
Seattle Seahawks (-1.5) at Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is an absolute mess right now. They got demolished on the road in San Francisco and now come back home on a short week to play the Seahawks. Seattle runs the ball well and Russell Wilson makes plays when he needs to. The way they are playing right now, they shouldn’t have any problems with the Browns.
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens (-11)
The Bengals have proven to be one of the worst teams in the league and specifically have a terrible defense. Lamar Jackson and the Ravens, who score over 32 points per game, should have a field day against the Bengals at home.
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5)
Kansas City struggled against Indianapolis, which is likely why this line is fairly close. They could have some good playmakers back in this game in Sammy Watkins and Tyreek Hill. Those players would go a long way to putting this offense back where it should be.
Washington Redskins (-3.5) at Miami Dolphins
The “tank bowl” is going on this week in Miami. Washington will cover the spread, as they have kept some of their talented players, while the Dolphins have more fully embraced tanking.
Philadelphia Eagles at Minnesota Vikings (-3)
Kirk Cousins has a terrible record against teams with a record above .500. While they started the season off shaky, the Eagles have played solidly the last few weeks with wins over the Packers and Jets. They should be able to keep it close against the Vikings.
New Orleans Saints at Jacksonville Jaguars (-1)
New Orleans was firing on all cylinders last week as Teddy Bridgewater looks comfortable in the offense. Jacksonville has played well with Gardner Minshew under center, but they likely won’t be able to beat one of the best teams in the league.
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5)
The 49ers and Rams will square off in a highly-anticipated NFC West game. The 49ers are undefeated because they run the ball well and have a good pass rush, but they haven’t played the toughest schedule yet. With the Rams being at home, they should be able to grind out a win.
Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) at Arizona Cardinals
Two bad teams will play in Arizona this weekend. The Cardinals got their first win against the Bengals, but they still shouldn’t be trusted. Atlanta should use this game to get their offense rolling. If they can get the run game going, they can cover.
Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos (-2.5)
The Broncos won their first game of the season in their matchup against the Chargers, but still have a lot to figure out. Tennessee’s offense has struggled to move the ball, but their defense should limit what Joe Flacco and the Denver offense can do. It’ll be a close low-scoring game in Denver.
Dallas Cowboys (-7.5) at New York Jets
Sam Darnold is playing for the Jets, which helps, but it won’t be enough against the Cowboys. Dallas will run the football and gradually expand the lead into the second half to cover the spread.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5)
Pittsburgh could be starting at Devlin Hodges at quarterback this week, which would mean their defense would need to play out of their minds to keep it close. Los Angeles will start getting Melvin Gordon more and more involved, which should mean they can go on a roll starting with this game.
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-4)
Detroit has lost just one game and it seems like everyone is still trying to figure them out. The Packers have a good defense, a solid running game and Aaron Rodgers. They shouldn’t lose too many more games this season with all that going for them.