NFL week 5 is here and football is back. Picking NFL games straight up is hard enough, but picking against the spread is even tougher. Here are the NFL week 5 picks against the spread. (Spreads are from ESPN as of Thursday morning)
Last week: 7-8, Overall: 36-27
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-1)
Last week, the Rams were in a shootout with the Buccaneers and lost. They should be back to form this week. Seattle has won three games, but rarely can put up a lot of points. The Rams should be able to outscore their divisional opponent.
Arizona Cardinals at Cincinnati Bengals (-3)
Cincinnati showed they had one of the weakest offensive lines in recent memory, as they allowed eight sacks against the Steelers. Chandler Jones and the Cardinals should have a field day and could win the game in Cincinnati.
Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Ravens showed weakness against the Browns, but should be refocused for this one. Pittsburgh got the win at home against the Bengals last week, but that isn’t anything to write home about. Baltimore’s defense will cause problems for Mason Rudolph and they will cover.
Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans (-3)
Tennessee has had an up and down season, but their defense is legitimate. Josh Allen might be able to get through concussion protocol this week, but even if he does, he struggled against the Patriots last week. The Titans’ defense will help them cover.
Chicago Bears (-6) at Oakland Raiders (London, England)
The Khalil Mack game will take place on foreign soil. Mack will want to have a big game against the team that traded him. Defense travels, so the Bears should be able to dominate that side of the ball and put up some points with Chase Daniel looking impressive last week.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (-3)
New Orleans is coming off of an impressive win over the Cowboys, but their offense struggled. With the Bucs firing on all cylinders, they could go into New Orleans and win the game. Jameis Winston is on fire and Teddy Bridgewater may not be able to keep up.
Minnesota Vikings (-5.5) at New York Giants
The Vikings have struggled this year, but with their new-found running game, should take it to the Giants. With the Giants being without Saquon Barkley it will be hard for rookie quarterback Daniel Jones to move the ball against their defense.
New York Jets at Philadelphia Eagles (-13.5)
Philadelphia beat the Packers, but have still struggled this year overall with a 2-2 record. New York may have Sam Darnold back for this game, which improves their chances. Even if they don’t they should be able to hold the score to under two touchdowns.
New England Patriots (-15.5) at Washington Redskins
This is a pretty big line, but the Redskins have quarterback issues. In addition, Tom Brady should be able to carve up the Washington zone defense. He’ll want to have a bounce-back game after struggling in Buffalo last week.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Carolina Panthers (-3.5)
Minshew-mania is real. The rookie quarterback has won two starts and kept his other one against the Texans close. The Panthers may win this game, but Minshew and the Jaguars’ defense will keep it very close.
Atlanta Falcons at Houston Texans (-5)
Atlanta is 1-3 against the spread this season and can’t be trusted. This is a tough road game and their defense may not cause enough problems for Deshaun Watson and the Texans. J.J. Watt and the Houston defense will take advantage of an offensive line that has dealt with injuries.
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5)
The Chargers have the injury bug, but that is nothing new to this team. They’ll be able to compete well with whoever suits up, but Melvin Gordon should see more touches this week. Denver lost Bradley Chubb for the season and have plenty of problems on both sides of the ball.
Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5)
Ezekiel Elliot should get back on track against a Packers’ run defense that hasn’t played up to par this season. Aaron Rodgers will still keep this game close like he normally does and may even end up coming up with late-game heroics.
Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs (-11)
After they lost to the Raiders, it is tough to have faith in the Colts. The Chiefs did struggle against the Lions, but fans are finding out that Detroit might be better than expected. Mahomes will get the offense back on track at home and Jacoby Brissett won’t be able to keep up.
Cleveland Browns at San Francisco 49ers (-3.5)
The Browns played their best game of the season against the Ravens. It will be tough to match that same energy this week after a cross-country trip. The 49ers will get pressure on Baker Mayfield and will protect their home turf.