NFL week 4 is here. Picking NFL games straight up is hard enough, but picking against the spread is even tougher. Here are the NFL week 4 picks against the spread. (Spreads are from tallysight.com as of Wednesday morning).
Last week: 10-6, Overall: 29-19
Denver Broncos (-1) at New York Jets
The Jets are a complete mess still. This won’t change unless they fire Adam Gase. Denver will start Brett Rypien at quarterback, which is some reason to pause and think about this game. The Broncos are playing hard though and should be able to win.
Pick: Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7.5)
While the Chargers will have a tough time winning this game on the road with a rookie quarterback. Their defense should be able to keep this close. The Bucs have played better, but still aren’t quite at where they should be.
Pick: Chargers
Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys (-4.5)
The Cowboys have suffered from a tough schedule to start the year with losses to the Rams and Seahawks. They are still a much better team than the Browns have shown to be this year.
Pick: Cowboys
Baltimore Ravens (-13) at Washington Football Team
After losing badly on Monday Night Football to the Chiefs, the Ravens are going to want to get back on track. Washington might keep it close in garbage time, but the smart money is on the Ravens blowing them out.
Pick: Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers (-2) at Tennessee Titans
This game is likely going to be postponed, but will still be picked and counted accordingly when it does happen. The Steelers should be seen as one of the top teams in the AFC, as they have a great defense. They should be able to win and cover on the road.
Pick: Steelers
Arizona Cardinals (-3.5) at Carolina Panthers
If Christian McCaffrey was healthy for this game, it could be a close one. Without him, Arizona is going to pull away from the Panthers at some point. Kyler Murray has a chance for a big day against a young defense.
Pick: Cardinals
New Orleans Saints (-4.5) at Detroit Lions
The Saints haven’t looked the same this season, but they played it close with the Packers, who are the class of the NFC North. Against the Lions, they should be able to really figure things out and win by at least a touchdown.
Pick: Saints
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5)
A tie was progress for the Bengals even if it didn’t quite feel like it. They have more talent than the Jaguars, so they should be able to win, but Gardner Minshew will keep it close.
Pick: Jags
Minnesota Vikings at Houston Texans (-3.5)
Both teams in this game are desperate for a win. The Texans have had a ridiculously tough schedule and have the better quarterback in Deshaun Watson. They’ll also get this game at home, so they have the edge.
Pick: Texans
Seattle Seahawks (-6.5) at Miami Dolphins
Seattle is letting Russell throw the ball all around the field and it is working. The Dolphins will not be able to keep up.
Pick: Seahawks
Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) at Chicago Bears
Chicago had the big comeback win over the Falcons by inserting Nick Foles into the lineup. The Colts have settled down considerably since their season-opening loss to the Jags. Their defense and running game will help them win and cover.
Pick: Colts
New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams (-13)
The Giants aren’t good, turnover the ball a lot and have to travel across the country for this game. A 13-point spread is pretty large, but Sean McVay and the Rams will be able to figure it out.
Pick: Rams
Buffalo Bills (-2.5) at Las Vegas Raiders
Buffalo weathered a Rams’ comeback attempt in week 3 and proved that they are for real. They should be able to go on the road and cover against the Raiders, who did not play well at all against the Patriots.
Pick: Bills
New England Patriots (-7) at Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City had a huge win over the Ravens on Monday Night Football. With Cam Newton being out for this game, which has been rescheduled for Monday Night, the Chiefs will cover
Pick: Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers (-6.5)
If there wasn’t so many injuries for the 49ers, this pick would be different. The Eagles are not a good team, but will play the 49ers close in this one as San Francisco heals up.
Pick: Eagles
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (-7.5)
The Packers are firing on all cylinders right now. On the other sideline, the Falcons are falling apart every week. Morale in that locker room has to be low. The Packers will take advantage.
Pick: Packers
This is a paid guest post.
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