NFL week 15 is here and football is entering the end of the season. Picking NFL games straight up is hard enough, but picking against the spread is even tougher. Here are the NFL week 15 picks against the spread. (Spreads are from ESPN as of Wednesday morning)

Last week: 10-5-1, Overall: 104-100-3

Thursday Night

New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens (-14.5)

Baltimore will likely play Lamar Jackson through a quad injury in this game. Either way, the spread is a little steep for a Thursday game. The Jets have a great run defense and may be able to keep this one close.

Pick: Jets

Sunday Afternoon

New England Patriots (-9.5) at Cincinnati Bengals

This game has some controversy with the Patriots’ film crew filming the Bengals’ sideline last week. Either way, the Patriots will want to bounce back after losing two straight games. They should be able to cover against the lowly Bengals.

Pick: Patriots

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5) at Detroit Lions 

The Lions don’t have a great secondary and are down to David Blough at quarterback. Tampa Bay is starting to put things together, even if it is too late for them to make the playoffs.

Pick: Bucs

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-4.5)

The first game of the season between these two teams resulted in a Green Bay 10-3 win. Green Bay is struggling more recently, as they couldn’t put away the Redskins. They should still be able to cover since they’re at home.

Pick: Packers

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-3)

Tennessee is on fire right now. Ryan Tannehill is now 6-1 as a starter and they seem to have a good formula to make the playoffs. They’ll want to set the tone against their division opponent in this game.

Pick: Titans

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5)

Drew Lock has played well for the Broncos in his first couple of starts, but the Chiefs are playing well right now and will be at home. Pat Mahomes will win that shootout every time.

Pick: Chiefs

Miami Dolphins at New York Giants (-3)

Both these teams are fighting for better draft position. The Giants may win at home, but the Dolphins are keeping games close lately, as they just lost to the Jets on a last second field goal.

Pick: Dolphins

Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5) at Washington Redskins

The Eagles are not a good team right now. Their receivers are banged up and their secondary can’t stop anyone. They will still be able to beat the Redskins, but it will be close.

Pick: Redskins

Seattle Seahawks (-6) at Carolina Panthers 

Carolina is really falling off now. Seattle doesn’t have the offense to blow many teams out, but they should cover the spread by running the ball and controlling the clock.

Pick: Seahawks

Sunday Evening

Jacksonville Jaguars at Oakland Raiders (-6.5)

Both these teams were blown out last week. The Raiders are usually pretty good at home, but could be without Josh Jacobs this week. Jacksonville’s defense should be able to keep it close, at the very least.

Pick: Jaguars

Cleveland Browns (-2.5) at Arizona Cardinals

The Browns still have a lot of drama going on and have to travel across the country. Kyler Murray had to sit behind Baker Mayfield at Oklahoma, so he’ll have a competitive edge heading into this game.

Pick: Cardinals

Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) at Los Angeles Chargers

While the Chargers did play better this past week, they are too inconsistent to trust. Minnesota will run the ball, play decent defense and cover on the road.

Pick: Vikings

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers (-11)

After the 49ers gave up a lot of points to the Saints, they might do the same thing against the Falcons. The spread is a little too much, as Atlanta will try to make this game a shootout.

Pick: Falcons

Los Angeles Rams (-1) at Dallas Cowboys 

The Rams seemed to have found some offense against the Seahawks last week. Dallas has plenty of troubles and it is getting to owner Jerry Jones. Sean McVay’s team will be better coached and can cover the minimal spread.

Pick: Rams

Sunday Night

Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers (-2)

The difference in this game is going to be the quarterback position. Both teams have good defenses, but the Bills have a better quarterback in Josh Allen. He will be able to help them pull off a key win on the road.

Pick: Bills

Monday Night

Indianapolis Colts at New Orleans Saints (-9.5)

It looks like the Saints have found their offense after putting up over 40 points for the first time this season against the 49ers. Conversely, the Colts are fading down the stretch and have had to deal with some tough injuries.

Pick: Saints

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