NFL week 12 is here and football is entering the end of the season. Picking NFL games straight up is hard enough, but picking against the spread is even tougher. Here are the NFL week 12 picks against the spread. (Spreads are from ESPN as of Thursday morning)
Last week: 7-7, Overall: 78-81-2
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-3.5)
The Colts have a long list of players who are injured and have a short week on the road. Houston will want to bounce back after a terrible performance against the Ravens. They have a terrible all-time record against the Colts, but if they want to win the division, they should be properly motivated to win this one.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-4.5)
How long can the Falcons keep this hot streak up? They have won two straight over divisional opponents and their defense is much improved over the last few weeks. The Falcons have a better record against the spread this season, but the Buccaneers have the offense to keep up.
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills (-4)
Denver has played decently with Brandon Allen at quarterback, but this spread seems pretty low. Buffalo’s defense will slow down the Broncos and the offense should be able to cover thanks to Josh Allen’s improvisation.
New York Giants at Chicago Bears (-6)
The Bears have real struggles on offense right now, but their defense will make Daniel Jones and the Giants’ offense struggle. They should be able to win by more than a touchdown at home.
Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5) at Cincinnati Bengals
With Ryan Finley at quarterback, the Bengals’ offense is struggling even more than earlier in the season. The Steelers won’t let them score much, which means their offense won’t have to do a lot to cover the spread.
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns (-10.5)
This game should be a win for the Browns, even without Myles Garrett and Larry Ogunjobi, who are out with suspensions. Miami is 5-5 against the spread this year and should be able to keep this one close.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-10)
With the way Kyle Allen struggled against the Falcons last week, the Panthers should not be trusted. New Orleans is a tough place to play and they’ll want to get their offense back on track in this game.
Oakland Raiders (-2.5) at New York Jets
The Jets are playing better now, but still aren’t a great team. Oakland is in the thick of the playoff race and will want to stay focused. They should be able to win by a field goal on the road.
Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5)
Seattle has had a great season so far. They can run the ball well and they have an MVP-candidate at quarterback. The Seahawks should be able to take advantage of the Eagles’ struggles in their secondary.
Detroit Lions (-3.5) at Washington Redskins
The Redskins can’t score and their secondary can be taken advantage of. It doesn’t matter that Jeff Driskel is filling in for the injured Matt Stafford, the Lions should be able to cover.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-3)
Both of these teams are inconsistent. The Titans are at home and have a solid defense. Derrick Henry should be able to find some running room like he did last year against the Jaguars.
Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots (-6.5)
The Cowboys still haven’t won a game over a great team this season. Their offensive playcalling is inconsistent at best. New England has offensive struggles, but Tom Brady will work out the kinks and cover.
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-3)
Green Bay is coming off of a bye for this game. They have trouble stopping the run, which the 49ers will take advantage of, but Aaron Rodgers will keep the game close and may even win it for the Packers on the road.
Baltimore Ravens (-3) at Los Angeles Rams
Lamar Jackson is taking the league by storm this year. Los Angeles has struggled to find a rhythm offensively so Baltimore should be able to cover on the road.