NFL Week 11 is here. Picking NFL games straight up is hard enough, but picking against the spread is even tougher. Here are the NFL week 11 picks against the spread. (Spreads are from Tallysight as of Tuesday morning)
Last Week: 9-4-1
Season: 83-64-4
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles (-3)
The Eagles are on a tear right now, having won five games in a row. Their defense is improving and their offense has been healthy. Washington lost last week and only beat the Giants by five before that, showing some slowing of momentum.
Pick: Eagles
Los Angeles Rams (-4.5) at New England Patriots
While the Rams lost to the Dolphins on Monday Night Football, their defense has played better than expected this season. They should be able to take advantage of the Patriots’ lackluster offensive firepower to win on the road.
Pick: Rams
Las Vegas Raiders at Miami Dolphins (-7.5)
Miami got the win over the Rams on the road and seem like they are getting back on track. They can take care of business at home against the Raiders.
Pick: Dolphins
Green Bay Packers (-6.5) at Chicago Bears
Chicago isn’t playing good on offense right now. Their defense can only keep them in this game against the Packers for so long. The Packers can win and cover on the road.
Pick: Packers
Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions (-13.5)
Jacksonville is starting Mac Jones at quarterback. Detroit’s offense will be able to help them blow out the Jaguars.
Pick: Lions
Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints (-1.5)
The Saints got a win with an interim coach, but that might just be a one week boost. Cleveland’s defense can slow down the Saints and Jameis Winston can produce big plays against the Saints’ secondary without Marshon Lattimore.
Pick: Browns
Minnesota Vikings (-6.5) at Tennessee Titans
Minnesota’s defense can help them win the game, but their offense hasn’t been playing well as of late, so it will be tough to cover.
Pick: Titans
Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers have found a better offense with Russell Wilson at quarterback. Their defense can help slow down Lamar Jackson to help them win at home.
Pick: Steelers
Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets (-3.5)
The Jets lost a tough one on the road at Arizona, but should have an easier time at home against the Colts.
Pick: Jets
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-6.5)
The 49ers won a tough game on the road against the Bucs. They are typically way better after the bye for the rest of the season, so they should be able to win and cover against the Seahawks, especially with Christian McCaffrey back.
Pick: 49ers
Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos (-1.5)
The Falcons lost to the Saints on the road this past week, but would have won had they made some kicks. Denver started off the season well, but have lost their last two and may be coming back down to earth.
Pick: Falcons
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills (-1.5)
Kansas City is undefeated, but they haven’t played up to their potential. The Bills can put up a lot of points and it could be tough for the Chiefs to amch.
Pick: Bills
Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5)
The Bengals’ offense has been putting up points. If they can get some key stops, they can beat the Chargers on the road.
Pick: Bengals
Houston Texans (-7.5) at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas looked bad without Dak Prescott at quarterback against the Eagles. The Texans should be able to win this one easily.
Pick: Texans
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