NFL Week 11 is here. Picking NFL games straight up is hard enough, but picking against the spread is even tougher. Here are the NFL week 11 picks against the spread. (Spreads are from tallysight as of Tuesday morning)
Last week: 4-10, Season total: 68-81-1
NFL week 11 picks against the spread
New England Patriots (-6.5) at Atlanta Falcons
The Patriots are starting to hit their stride with Mac Jones at quarterback. They are running the ball well and their defense is playing well. Atlanta will likely be without Cordarrelle Patterson, who has been a matchup problem.
Pick: Patriots
Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills (-7)
Jonathan Taylor is running the ball extremely well for the Colts. Unfortunately, Carson Wentz won’t be able to keep up with the Bills and Josh Allen, but Indianapolis can keep it close.
Pick: Colts
Washington Football Team at Carolina Panthers (-3)
Cam Newton is going up against his former coach. The energy that Newton has brought the Panthers is immeasurable. Carolina’s defense is also great, which poses a problem for Washington.
Pick: Panthers
Baltimore Ravens at Chicago Bears (+3.5) *Updated after Lamar Jackson sickness
Baltimore, like the rest of the NFL, has had an up and down season. Without Lamar Jackson, the Bears should be able to keep it close, especially with the Ravens not playing the most consistently on defense this year.
Pick: Bears
Detroit Lions at Cleveland Browns (-10)
It was a rough game for the Browns against the Patriots. They have players questioning the gameplan and everything seems to be in disarray. While the Browns should bounce back with a win against the Lions, Detroit is playing teams tough, for the most part, this year.
Pick: Lions
San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
Did the 49ers find their groove against the Rams on Monday Night? They seemed like it. With all of their weapons healthy (George Kittle, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk and Elijah Mitchell), the 49ers should still be able to win and cover over Jacksonville on the short week.
Pick: 49ers
Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Minnesota Vikings
The Packers may be without Aaron Jones, but A.J. Dillon stepped up in his absence. Green Bay’s defense is also one of the best in the league. Minnesota may keep it close for three quarters, but the Packers should be able to pull away.
Pick: Packers
Miami Dolphins (-3) at New York Jets
Miami is on a two-game winning streak and has extra time to prepare for this game. The Jets still have questions at quarterback after Mike White threw four interceptions against the Bills.
Pick: Dolphins
New Orleans Saints at Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5)
The Eagles got a big win over Denver on the road, but the Saints present a different test. Sean Payton will have his offense better, whether that’s with Taysom Hill or Trevor Siemian, and the defense is regularly ready to play.
Pick: Saints
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-10)
Tennessee has played well despite losing Derrick Henry to injury. They will outclass the Texans and win by a wide margin.
Pick: Titans
Cincinnati Bengals (-1) at Las Vegas Raiders
The wheels seem to be coming off for Las Vegas. Cincinnati is coming off a bye and if they are for real, they’ll win on the road.
Pick: Bengals
Dallas Cowboys at Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)
Kansas City blew out the Raiders, but it was close through three quarters. The win had more to do with the Raiders falling apart than the Chiefs figuring everything out. Dallas will be able to outscore them in this game.
Pick: Cowboys
Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) at Seattle Seahawks
Kyler Murray should be back for this game and the Cardinals will thrive. Having Russell Wilson back did not help the Seahawks’ offense.
Pick: Cardinals
Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles Chargers (-4.5)
Los Angeles will have their hands full with Najee Harris, but if they stack the box and make the Pittsburgh passing game beat them, they should be able to come out on top.
Pick: Chargers
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-10.5)
Tampa Bay had a bad game against Washington, but with an extra day to prepare this week against the Giants, they should win big.
Pick: Buccaneers
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