NFL Conference Championships are here. Picking NFL games straight up is hard enough, but picking against the spread is even tougher. Here are the NFL Conference Championship Picks Against the Spread. (Spreads are from TallySight as of Monday morning)
Last week: 2-2 , Season total: 131-133-1
Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5)
The Bengals have shocked everyone and made the AFC Championship Game. After upsetting the no. 1 seeded Titans, they are now traveling to take on the Chiefs, who they defeated earlier this season. The difference is that this game will be at home for the Chiefs.
Kansas City just showed what their offense is capable of against the Bills in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. Any amount of time left on the clock for Patrick Mahomes is too much. Their defense has been good over the second half of the season as well. All signs point to another Super Bowl appearance for the Chiefs.
The difference in this game will be the pressure that the Chiefs will be able to get on Joe Burrow. Burrow has fought admirably this season after being the most sacked quarterback in the league. Unfortunately, the statistical improbability of Burrow being sacked so much, but still winning will catch up to the team. The Chiefs will win, but a spread greater than a touchdown and extra point is a little too much for a game that has two teams that have already played this season with a different result.
Pick: Bengals
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5)
The 49ers also shocked the world by going into Lambeau Field and upsetting the Packers. Their defense and special teams deserve most of the credit for the win, as the offense was unable to find the end zone. The game played out exactly how the 49ers needed it to for them to advance.
Matt Stafford had the Rams up big, but let the Buccaneers creep back into the game. The former Lion showed up when it mattered most, as he found Cooper Kupp for a last-minute touchdown to send the Rams to the NFC Championship Game.
So far this season, the 49ers have defeated the Rams twice. One was near the midway point of the season, while the other was in week 18. The Rams will keep their foot on the gas in this game and they will also have more of a rushing attack with Cam Akers back healthy. Stafford will need to protect the football, but if they can make it a shootout against the 49ers, the Rams defensive line can really make things difficult for Jimmy Garoppolo.
Pick: Rams
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