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Fantasy football 2018: Undervalued wide receivers

Fantasy Football 2018 Wide Receivers

The average draft position, or ADP, is a major determinate of when a player will be drafted. In this article, I will be identifying three tight ends whose average ADP’s are low compared to their expected fantasy return.

All ADPs, including the average (AVG), are located on fantasypros.com.

Corey Davis

Fantasy Football 2018 Wide Receivers
Corey Davis (84) is poised for a huge 2018 campaign. (Photo: Greg M. Cooper, US Presswire)

Corey Davis is poised for a monster 2018 season, and here is why. The 23-year-old played in just 11 regular season games in 2018 due to a hamstring injury during the pre-season, which he re-aggravated in week two. During those 11 games, Davis managed to see 65 targets, which would have put him on pace to see upwards of 95 targets over the course of a full season.

The fifth overall pick in the 2017 NFL draft is sure to see an increase in receptions in 2018, considering he led the NFL in a percentage of uncatchable targets at 32.8 percent. Eric Decker moving to New England frees up 83 targets from 2017, which some will presumably head Davis’ way. Davis will have over 100 targets, 75 catches, 1000 yards and a handful of touchdowns. With his average ADP being WR27, Davis is clearly being undervalued, as he will finish 2018 as a top-20 fantasy receiver.

Average Draft Position

AVG ADP: WR27

ESPN ADP: WR30

RTSports ADP: WR27

FANTRAX ADP: WR30

Chris Hogan

People forget that through the first eight weeks of 2017, Chris Hogan was an elite fantasy wide receiver, amassing 54 targets, 33 receptions, 438 yards and five touchdowns. Over a 16-game sample size, this would amount 108 targets, 66 receptions, 876 yards and 10 touchdowns, which would have made him the 15th best fantasy receiver in PPR formats last season. With the departures of Brandin Cooks and Danny Amendola, the suspension of Julian Edelman and the release of both Jordan Matthews and Malcolm Mitchell, all signs point to Hogan seeing a majorly increased role in 2018.

Nicknamed 7/11 due to always being open, Hogan will be Tom Brady’s primary target on the outside, with the only other receiving options being newly acquired Eric Decker, Phillip Dorsett and Kenny Britt. Hogan will see an uptick in targets, catch rate and yardage, making him well worth a pick at his current ADP of WR29.

Average Draft Position

AVG ADP: WR29

ESPN ADP: WR28

RTSports ADP: WR30

FANTRAX ADP: WR34

Michael Gallup

Fantasy Football 2018 Wide Receivers
Michael Gallup (13) lines up at wide receiver in training camp. (Photo by Getty Images)

Being a third-round pick, the Dallas Cowboys’ rookie Michael Gallup may be more of an unknown commodity in fantasy football, although he will have the most successful season among rookie receivers. Standing 6-foot-1, weighing upwards of 200 pounds, Gallup may not seem like a superimposing receiver, although he plays a very physical game is not afraid of contact. According to player profiler, his comparison is to fellow 6-foot-1 receiver, Justin Blackmon.

Dez Bryant and Jason Witten’s departures will open up over 200 targets from last season, which will be spread among Gallup, newly acquired Allen Hurns, and returning receivers Cole Beasley and Terrance Williams. With Beasley in the slot, Gallup will compete with Hurns and Williams for targets on the outside.

As the NCAA’s third-leading receiver in receptions in 2017, it is clear that Gallup, a 2017 consensus All-American, is one of, if not the, most talented receivers on the roster. With Dak Prescott needing to gain chemistry with all of his receivers, Gallup is not far behind in terms of gaining a rapport. Gallup should earn a starting role in 2018, while eventually becoming the primary target in Dallas, making him well worth a selection as the WR57.

Average Draft Position

AVG ADP: WR57

ESPN ADP: WR62

RTSports ADP: WR56

FANTRAX ADP: WR61

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