We’re finally here! There are three enormous games this weekend, each with DreamHack ramifications. Which teams are going to be heading to Spain?
Photo by Hi-Rez Studios
The first game of the day could lead to a complicated breakdown in the standings. Trifecta currently sits tied for second with Luminosity Gaming. Because of that, losing doesn’t immediately eliminate them. They will need a lot of help if that were to happen though, so the simple way out would be for them to just win 2-0, and end the discussion there.
Should Trifecta lose 2-0, then they will end up tied with ALG, who would win the head to head, and tied with Luminosity, if Luminosity lose 2-0, who they split against. Because of this, there would be a three-way tie for one or two spots, depending on how the Spacestation Gaming versus eUnited set plays out. Either way, there would be a tiebreaker between the teams and three best of one’s would be played to determine who gets the remaining spot(s).
For Allegiance, however, this will be much more difficult. ALG needs to take a 2-0 victory over Trifecta if they want to have a shot at DreamHack. Anything less and they’re eliminated. ALG also needs eUnited to lose. Should eUnited win 2-0, and Luminosity gets a split, then anything ALG does wouldn’t matter. A split with SSG would give eUnited 11 points, tied with Trifecta, possibly Luminosity if they get 2-0’d, and ALG. Or Luminosity and Spacestation gaming could just win, and ALG would qualify simply with a 2-0, but they still need help.
At the end of the day, this one is a complete toss up. Both teams desperately need a 2-0 to see the rest of the day play out and feel comfortable. I’m going to call a split, I don’t see it being any different.
The previous set will have some implications here based on the final results. However, if Spacestation wins this one 2-0, then it’s simple. SSG will qualify first place in North America for Dreamhack, and eUnited will be done for the Summer Split. It gets a little more complicated if they split, but not for Spacestation, as they qualify with just 1 more point.
Although SSG is closest to qualifying, they still could end up in a bad spot should they drop this set 2-0. eUnited would be tied with them, and have the head to head. And should Trifecta and Luminosity earn the 2-0 in this scenario, then that would be it for SSG. Again, a lot needs to happen, but it’s still a possibility.
We’ve already covered the four-way tie possibility for eUnited should they split. They could also end up in a three-way tie with Trifecta and ALG, where ALG would have the head to head with both teams, and presumably move on based on that. They could also end up tied with Luminosity, should LG lose 2-0, Trifecta do anything but lose, and eUnited split. eUnited would then have the head to head with LG, having beat them 2-0 in Week 4.
Having covered every scenario here, I’m going to call another split. With the way these teams are playing right now, it’s still way too close to call.
Only one team here needs to be covered, and that’s Luminosity. LG has the final set of the day, and they have the luxury of qualifying before they even play. Should Trifecta at least split, and SSG win 2-0, then LG is going to DreamHack. Should SSG split, however, Luminosity will need to take one game off of AI.
Luminosity is the only team that isn’t playing a squad with a shot at DreamHack this week, but there’s still a possibility they can get beat 2-0. As previously mentioned, that could still result in them heading to DreamHack, however there’s a much more entertaining scenario. They could end up in the aforementioned four-way tie between LG, Trifecta, ALG, and eUnited, which would be crazy as an SPL fan. They could also end up in a three-way tie with Trifecta and ALG, which would again be entertaining as a fan.
Unfortunately, we shouldn’t expect any of that to happen. Luminosity is filled with veteran talent, and they’re going to take the 2-0 and qualify for DreamHack. It’s going to be as simple as that.
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