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SEC Bowl Game Chances

SEC Bowl Game Chances

It’s hard to believe, but college football is already reaching the end of the season. With only four or five games remaining, we take a look at how close the SEC teams are to making a bowl game.

Already Locked

  • Alabama (8-0)
  • LSU (8-0)
  • Florida (7-1)
  • Georgia (6-1)
  • Auburn (6-2)

No surprises here as the five teams in the conference have already locked the postseason. Alabama and LSU are obvious contenders for the College Football Playoff (CFP). If Florida or Georgia can run the table as well as win the SEC Championship they’ll make a very strong case for the CFP.

Auburn is the outlier at two losses though they still have huge opportunities against Alabama and Georgia left on their schedule. A two or three-loss Auburn team could be looking at a New Year’s Six Bowl.

Near Locks

  • Missouri (5-3)
  • Texas A&M (5-3)
  • Kentucky (4-4)

Luckily for Missouri they only have two road games left on the schedule. What looked like a promising season and potentially even a trip to the SEC Championship game two weeks ago has suddenly crashed and burned. And the reason is simple: road games.

Missouri seemingly falls apart on the road. They had convincing wins at home against the likes of West Virginia, South Carolina and Ole Miss. But the last two weeks against lowly Vanderbilt and a Kentucky team playing a wide receiver at quarterback have all but ruined a promising season.

Missouri now looks at top 10 Georgia and Florida the next two weeks before getting Tennessee at home. Arkansas should be an easy win but it’s on the road and as we’ve seen, anything can happen. Missouri fans might be sweating a little bit about getting to that sixth win.

SEC Bowl Game Chances
Texas A&M potentially will have played five top 10 teams by season’s end. (Photo by collegefootballnews.com).

Texas A&M should sleepwalk into their sixth win and be safely in the postseason after this week. They’ll get South Carolina at home next week before two top 10 matchups against Georgia and LSU to end the season. They may be in a mediocre bowl at the six or seven-win mark.

Kentucky got an impressive fourth win last week against Missouri. They have a gimme game against UT Martin left as well as rivalry games against Tennessee and Louisville at home. They’ll also get Vanderbilt on the road. Between those three games, the Wildcats have great chances of reaching six or more wins.

Work Left To Do

  • Tennessee (3-5)
  • Mississippi State (3-5)
  • South Carolina (3-5)

Tennessee probably isn’t making a bowl game this year. If they do it’ll be by the skin of their teeth. UAB should be a win, but they’re not a lock by any means. On the road against Kentucky and Missouri won’t be easy either. At best they may split.

Vanderbilt at home should be a win but the Commodores have beaten Tennessee in each of the last three years. Last season the Dores kept the Vols out of the postseason with the win. Ultimately it’s a toss-up for the Vols at this point.

Mississippi State has a very good chance to make the postseason if they can just win the games they should. The first test comes on the road at Arkansas. The Razorbacks are scrappy but there’s no reason the Bulldogs shouldn’t win.

The loss against Alabama is inevitable. Abilene Christian is an automatic win to finish up at home against Ole Miss. The Egg Bowl will be the big test to make it through the postseason. The Bulldogs should be favored but rivalry games can always go either way. Still, the Bulldogs should go bowling this year.

South Carolina’s chances are next to zero. They’ll get Vanderbilt at home which should be a win but then face a rough three-game stretch.

They’ll get a tough Appalachian State at home which is no longer an easy game before going on the road to Texas A&M the following week. After a bye week they finish up with top-five Clemson who they haven’t beaten since 2013. South Carolina will have to really toughen up down the home stretch of the season to make a bowl game.

There’s Always Next Year

SEC Bowl Game Chances
Matt Luke is still searching for his first winning season as Ole Miss’s head coach. (Photo by saturdaydownsouth.com).
  • Ole Miss (3-5)
  • Vanderbilt (2-5)
  • Arkansas (2-6)

Ole Miss’s chances of making the postseason likely ended after the disappointing game against Texas A&M. Unless they’re able to pull off a huge upset of Auburn or LSU, the best the Rebels can hope for is a five-win season.

New Mexico State should be a lock win which leaves the Egg Bowl with the only motivation potentially playing spoiler to Mississippi State’s postseason chances. It’ll be the fourth season in a row Ole Miss misses bowl season.

Vanderbilt has no room for error to finish the season. They’ll need to go 4-1 and the odds of pulling that off are just so slim. They’ll get top-10 Florida on the road which is all but guaranteed to be a loss. This leaves road games against South Carolina and Tennessee and a home game against Kentucky that they’ll need to go undefeated for.

Vanderbilt showed signs of life in their last game against a ranked Missouri team. But it might’ve been too little too late after showing no signs of life for most of the season. It’s looking to be a 4-8 season at best for the Dores.

Arkansas is going to need more than a miracle to pull off a 6-6 finish. They only have one road game left but it’s against LSU. The way things have gone this year, a 3-9 finish wouldn’t be so bad at this point.

 

 

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