NFL Week 2 Predictions ATS


Buffalo Bills (PK) over New York Jets – Both teams didn’t look great in their respective Week 1 losses. I’m only taking the Bills because of this stat: Bills are 5-0 ATS when playing the NY Jets.


Detroit Lions (-5.5) over Tennessee Titans – In the least interesting game of the week, the Lions are home against the Titans. The Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last five games and 1-6 ATS on the road in their last 7. Tasty.


Kansas City Chiefs (+3) over Houston Texans – A team that is 12-1 SU in their last 13 games is getting points is A-OK with me.


Miami Dolphins (+7) over New England Patriots – Miami almost pulled off the upset against Seattle in a low scoring game. I think it’s another defensive battle. If Kenny Stills doesn’t drop a wide-open touchdown they may have won last week. 16-10 Patriots.


Baltimore Ravens (-6) over Cleveland Browns – I’m just here so I can win some money.


Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) over Cincinnati Bengals – 70% of the public are betting on the Bengals. In other words, Steelers are covering.


Washington Redskins (-3) over Dallas Cowboys – Even though Dak Prescott looked pretty decent against the Giants last week, I still think the DC Grudens cover. Close game and Cowboys find a way to mess up per usual. 23-17 DC Grudens.


San Francisco 49ers (+13.5) over Carolina Panthers – Panthers will win this game, but I don’t think it’s a blow out like most people think. 23-10 Panthers.


New York Giants (-4.5) over New Orleans Saints – The Giants wide outs are going to be too much for this Saints defense. In another high scoring game, the Giants pull away in the fourth. 34-24 Giants.


Denver Broncos (-6) over Indianapolis Colts – The Colts defense is bad. Very bad. Very very bad.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7) over Arizona Cardinals – I don’t think the Cards lose two straight but this will be one of those back-door covers by a Winston TD with a minute left. 24-19 Cards.


Seattle Seahawks (N/A) Los Angeles Rams – The line isn’t out because of Russell Wilson’s ankle injury. Will update once the line comes out.


Oakland Raiders (-4.5) over Atlanta Falcons – Raiders have all the confidence in the world. The favored team is 5-1 ATS in its last six games in this matchup. The Raaaiidddddaasssss *Chris Berman Voice*.



San Diego Chargers (-3) over Jacksonville Jaguars – San Diego blew a 21-point lead against the Chiefs last week in an excruciating loss. Even though Keenan Allen is gone for the season I still like the Chargers here. Jags are 1-16 SU in their last 17 games on the road!


Minnesota Vikings (+3) over Green Bay Packers – Vikings defense will keep them in this game. I’m not too sold on the Packers defense yet and the Vikes crowd will get into it. Mason Crosby hits a game-winner. 23-22 Packers.


Chicago Bears (-2.5) over Philadelphia Eagles – All signs point to the Eagles this week, but it’s Carson Wentz first game on the road and its Monday Night. 30-26 Bears.



Last week: 8-7-1

Overall ATS: 8-7-1

Teaser Pick of the Week Overall: 1-0

Teaser Pick of the Week (7 points): New England Patriots PK

Detroit Lions +1.5 PK




NFL Week 1 Predictions ATS

Football season is back! These are my week 1 predictions against the spread. I went 100-89-3 last year and look to get off to a hot start. I’m not here to tell you what to do, just a simple guide. Lets go…


Carolina Panthers (-3) over Denver Broncos – A Super Bowl re-match and obviously the best game of the week. Peyton Manning didn’t do a whole lot against the Panthers to get a W in the championship game so I’m not sure if Trevor Siemian being the Broncos QB is that big of a deal. However, Panthers want revenge and they have their number 1 wide receiver back in Kelvin Benjamin. 23-16 Panthers.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3) over Atlanta Falcons – I’m very bullish on Quarterback Jameis Winston and the Bucs this year. I kind of hope Tampa is losing at halftime so Winston can give the team a motivation speech. For what it’s worth: the Falcons are 0-5 SU in their last five games as a favorite.


Minnesota Vikings (-2) over Tennessee Titans – Vikings QB Teddy Bridgewater suffered a non-contact ACL tear in practice and will be out the remainder of the season. The Vikes went out and traded for Sam Bradford whom I think is competent enough to beat the Titans. Right?


Philadelphia Eagles (-4) over Cleveland Browns – As much as I hate betting on rookie quarterbacks I can’t bet on the Browns. Cleveland is 0-5 SU in their last 5 road games and 2-9 ATS in week 1 games. 17-6 Eagles.


New York Jets (+3) over Cincinnati Bengals – The Jets might have the hardest first seven games in the NFL. I’m sure they know that and they’ll be playing with an extra sense of urgency. Jets by a field goal in a low scoring game.


New Orleans Saints (-1.5) over Oakland Raiders – This game has the potential to be a shootout because of the weak pass coverage by both teams. I think this comes down to whoever has the ball last. Quarterback Drew Brees is in a contract year, which means he’ll be on his A game in the home opener. I also like over 50.5 points.


San Diego Chargers (+7) over Kansas City Chiefs – Out of the 12 losses last year for the Chargers, nine were decided by one possession. I don’t think the Chargers win, but will do enough to cover the spread. Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games. Chiefs 31-27.


Buffalo Bills (+3.5) over Baltimore Ravens – Tyrod Taylor + LeSean McCoy + Sammy Watkins = Enough to beat the Baltimore Ravens.


Houston Texans (-6.5) over Chicago Bears – The Texans won the AFC South with playing Brian Hoyer, Ryan Mallet, T.J. Yates, and Brandon Weeden. With the addition of Brock Osweiler you’d have to think they’ll be two or three wins better. Texans defense will be too much for Jay Cutler. Bears are 0-4 SU in their last 4 games in September. 23-10 Texans.


Green Bay Packers (-4) over Jacksonville Jaguars – This is the scariest line of the week. 85% of the public is betting heavy on the Packers and is the number one bet in Vegas. I think it could be close in the 3rd quarter, but Rodgers will find a way. 27-20 Packers.


New York Giants (PK) over Dallas Cowboys – There’s no way the Giants can lose to Dak Prescott. Just no wayyyy…


Seattle Seahawks (-10) over Miami Dolphins – Russell Wilson had the best season of his career in 2015, throwing for 4,024 yards and 34 touchdowns. I think Russ has an MVP type season and gets off on the right foot against a Dolphins team that still needs work defensively.


Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) over Detroit Lions – The line started off at 5 and dropped to 3.5. I don’t know what that means, but I think Andrew Luck is in for a great year. He will be able to connect with TY Hilton for multiple scores against a shaky Lions secondary. Colts by a touchdown.


Arizona Cardinals (-6) over New England Patriots – No Brady, No Ninkovich, No Vollmer, No Dion Lewis. No win for the Patriots. 30-21 Cards.


Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5) over Washington Redskins – If the Redskins didn’t win the NFC East this line would be at 6.5. I think they’re overrated even with the Josh Norman signing. No Bell, no problem for a tough Steelers team.


Los Angeles Rams (-2.5) over San Francisco 49ers – I’m taking a stand by not betting on the 49ers.


Last week: 0-0

Overall ATS: 0-0

Teaser Pick of the Week Overall: 0-0

Teaser Pick of the Week (10 points): New York Giants +10

Seattle Seahawks PK

Pittsburgh Steelers +7




The Five Best Bets Before Football Season Kicks Off

Packers, Seahawks, and Panthers Parlay to Make Playoffs (-140)

All three teams made the playoffs last year and have made it for the past three years, including a 2013 Super bowl winner (Seahawks) and a 2015 Super bowl runner-up (Panthers). Leaving the Packers—who haven’t made the Super bowl since 2010—but have made the playoffs for seven straight years. There doesn’t seem to be any cause of concern for it to be different and I really like the odds. Bearing any crazy injuries, all teams at the least should get a wild card spot. These are arguably three of the top five teams in the NFL and each team knows they have a good shot to win it all.


Odell Beckham Jr. Over 10.5 Total Receiving Touchdowns (-140)

Entering his third year with the New York Giants, Odell Beckham Jr. looks to have another All-Pro season. In 27 games with the G-Men, OBJ has caught 25 TD passes. 25! Averaging almost one touchdown per game in his career, I don’t see why Beckham doesn’t get at least 11. Victor Cruz coming back shouldn’t affect his production that much—in fact—it should widen up the field for OBJ. Beckham’s connection with quarterback Eli Manning has grown each season and look for them to link up in the end zone more than 10 times.


Ryan Tannehill Over 23.5 Total Touchdown Passes (+100)

Hear me out on this one. New head coach Adam Gase has a history of propelling quarterbacks statistics (Peyton Manning & Jay Cutler). Ryan Tannehill has posted 24, 27, 24 touchdowns in the last three seasons of his young career. With a more offensive-minded coach, alongside his best wide receiver core to date, Tannehill has the potential to throw 30 touchdowns. I’m not drunk I swear. The truth is: all he has to do is throw like he has in the past (which hasn’t been great) and there is money in your pocket.


Cowboys Over 8.5 Wins (Adjusted Line -150)

This one pretty much rides on Tony Romo staying healthy and if you aren’t confident about that… then stay away from this one. I really like the Cowboys to bounce back after a more than disappointing 2015 season. In the NFC East anything is possible, but remember—a healthy Cowboys team in 2014 was one Dez Bryant catch away from being in the NFC Championship game.

If you’re feeling lucky: Bet Cowboys to make playoffs (-120)


Patriots to Win AFC East (-250)

The New England Patriots to win the AFC East is the easiest one of the five. From 2003–Present, the Pats have won the AFC East every single year except for 2008. That’s 12 out of 13 years for those playing at home. Quarterback Jimmy Garappolo will be able to muster up two or three wins before passing it off to Brady once the suspension is over. It also doesn’t hurt that New England’s last seven games will be played against just one playoff team from the 2015 season. The Jets, Dolphins, and Bills don’t stand a chance to at least make the division race interesting. Not the best payout, but free money is free money.

Thank You, Kobe

As I sit on my couch to watch Kobe Bryant play for the last time in a Lakers uniform, I can’t help but feel emotional. I don’t want it to end. It can’t end. I’ve been bleeding purple and yellow ever since I was a little kid. From the late nights yelling at the television, to the euphoria after winning a title, you gave me the best childhood a basketball fan could ever ask for. I’ll never forget sitting up in the nosebleeds at Madison Square Garden to watch you play for the first time, wearing my Lakers jersey while getting cursed and booed by Knicks fans.

I remember being so frustrated after the Lakers lost game 5 of the 2010 NBA Finals to the Celtics that I started punching my bed. A couple minutes later my mom walked in the room. She thought I was crazy. I was crazy. I couldn’t imagine another Finals loss, especially to Boston of all teams.  But you didn’t let up. You posted 20+ points and 10+ rebounds in each of games 6 and  7 to win the NBA Finals. You saved the season. You saved my health.

You see, you changed the way I played the game. The late nights in the gym mimicking your every move. The shake and bake, step back three, as I shout, “3, 2, 1”. Pump faking three times pretending like there was a defender guarding me. Wanting to take the last shot of the game. Buying your newest pair of shoes. Picking the number 8 or 24 for every uniform I would get. It didn’t matter the sport, it was 8 or 24.

I’m scared. I’m nervous. I’m not ready for you to leave and I’m sure many people feel the same. Except you. You’re ready. Your body is ready. Injury after injury, loss after loss, these past couple of seasons have been too hard. I can’t deal with the heartbreak. I know you can’t too. Enough is enough.

And so for the last time I’ll be able to watch the fade-away jumpers, the no-look passes, and chant “MVP” at every free throw attempt. I’ll always remember the buzzer-beaters, the one-handed dunks, and the championships.

However, the thing that I’ll remember the most is your mentality. The never give up mentality. The never satisfied mentality. You always saw room for improvement even during the best of times. Always learning. Always studying the game. Always wanting more. You were in the gym while everyone was partying.

I admired your passion and love for the game, but now that it’s gone my feelings too fade. So here’s to you, the final goodbye, and hoping you can turn back the clock just one final time.

Thank you, Kobe Bean Bryant.

Wednesday Night NBA Picks ATS

Portland Trail Blazers (+5.5) over Boston Celtics – Both teams are playing well as of late, but the Portland Trail Blazers have been red hot, winning nine of their last ten games. Point guard Damian Lillard is coming off three straight 30-point games and I think he’ll have a big night against a shorter Isiah Thomas.

Final Score: 98-95 Celtics

San Antonio Spurs (-10) over Detroit Pistons – The Spurs haven’t lost at home yet this season and look for them to cruise to a victory against the Pistons. You can’t honestly feel good about betting against the Spurs at home so there really is no choice. A lot of points, but they’ll eventually pull away late in the fourth.

Final Score: 99-87 Spurs

Los Angeles Clippers (PK) over Oklahoma City Thunder – In the game of the night, the Thunder go on the road to visit the Clippers. Right now 90% of the public are betting the Thunder and I don’t like that at all. Believe it or not, the Clippers are doing better without Blake Griffin, as they are 21-7 in his absence. I’m not a fan of betting against Westbrook and KD, but I think we’ll see a lot of Chris Paul to Deandre Jordan alley-oops.

Final Score: 103-99 Clippers

Five Superbowl Prop Bets


How many tackles will Von Miller have? Photo by The Denver Post

Von Miller OVER 3 Tackles & Assists (+105) – I totally understand that Von Miller is a pass rusher so he doesn’t get that many tackles, but three is WAY too low. I’m baffled at this line and jumping all over it. It’s the Superbowl for crying out loud. The best part is that even if he gets an assist (meaning he tackled the runner with someone else) it still counts as a tackle. He’ll get four by halftime and it won’t even be close. You’re telling me one of the best linebackers in the game won’t get four tackles in the biggest game of his life. C’mon Man.

Panthers Punt OVER 4.5 (-125) – Another line that is another head scratcher. The Broncos have the number one defense in the league, why is this so low!? I understand the Panthers offense scores a lot, but Superbowl history shows that the teams are nervous and getting the jitters out in the first and second quarter. Another bet that will hit by halftime/ early third quarter.

The Golden Gate Bridge Being Shown OVER .5 (-350) – If you are a broke college student who needs some free money then this is the bet for you. The Golden Gate Bridge just has to be showed once and you win. It’s the easiest bet you’ll ever make and you can thank me later for the advice. Don’t play yourself.

Number of Players With a Pass Attempt OVER 2.5 (+175)  Here me out on this. Both Cam Newton and Peyton Manning will obviously throw the ball. So right there that’s two. Now we just need an end-around reverse or some trick play where the WR/RB throws the ball. I’d like to believe each offensive coordinator has some trick plays up their sleeve which includes something like that. Remember, it just has to be an attempt not a completion. Here’s to a Ted Ginn reverse where he just throws it out of bounds so he doesn’t lose yards. Also, this leaves a backup QB in play as well. Good value here.

Number of Field Goals Made OVER 3.5 (+105) – I like this a lot. Again, another bet with good value. Brandon McManus had 5 field goals against the Steelers in the divisional matchup. I think both defenses are good enough to make stops near the end zone, and wouldn’t be surprised if it’s 10-6 with three field goals by halftime. The Broncos have one of the worst percentages of scoring a touchdown when they’re in the red zone. Only thing that scares me is how nervous these kickers will be. Hopefully no shanks.

NFL Conference Championship Predictions ATS

New England Patriots (-3) over Denver Broncos – I’m all in on Brady and the Patriots. Psycho Tom was back and better than ever last week. The most important stat of the game against the Chiefs was that Brady was not sacked AT ALL the entire game. I’m not saying that will happen again at Denver, but they will do a much better job from the previous time they played the Broncos. This game has a 3-point win written all over it, but here’s to hoping the Patriots can score late in the game to put it away and cover. Scared Stat: Ed Hochuli will be one of the referee’s at Denver. The Broncos are 7-0 since 2000 when he refs their games while the Patriots are 3-4. NOOOOO!!! 27-23 Patriots.



Carolina Panthers (-3) over Arizona Cardinals – The Panthers are 5-0 ATS at home in the last five games. The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS vs. teams with winning records and 1-4 SU on the road against Carolina. Cam Newton, who is likely the league’s MVP, will need to get rid of the ball early due to Arizona’s overload of blitzes. I think the Cards will have trouble with Cam using his legs and ultimately will be the reason why the Panthers win. I think everyone is rooting for a Cam vs. Tom Super Bowl. I know I am. 31-27 Panthers.



Last week: 1-2-1

Regular Season ATS: 132-120-4

Playoffs ATS: 3-4-1

Teaser Pick of the Week Overall: 9-9

Playoff Teaser Pick of the Week Overall: 2-0

Teaser Pick of the Week (7 Points): New England Patriots +4

Arizona Cardinals +10


NFL Round Two Playoff Predictions ATS

New England Patriots (-4.5) over Kansas City Chiefs – It looks like the Patriots are back to full strength after being plagued by injuries all year. I’m not sold on the Chiefs because they played a Texans team that started Brian Hoyer, and now we’re dealing with Tom Brady. It’s like going from a 2001 Dell PC to a 2015 MacBook Air. Something worth noting: Out of the 11 straight wins for the Chiefs, only two were against winning teams. 26-17 Patriots.


Denver Broncos (-7) over Pittsburgh Steelers – Wide receiver Antonio Brown has been ruled out for Sunday’s game in Denver. Big Ben is shaken up and I doubt he’ll be at 100 percent. I think the Steelers will hang in the game until mid third quarter and that’s when the Broncos are going to run away with it. Only thing I’m scared of is Peyton Manning throwing a pick 6 to ruin everything. He’s due for at least two interceptions this game. 34-23 Broncos.


Seattle Seahawks (+2.5) over Carolina Panthers – The Seahawks are 5-1 straight up in their last six games against the Panthers. As much as I love Cam Newton and Carolina, it seems like things always go the Seahawks way just at the right time. Their defense is allowing 291 total yards per game, which is ranked second in the league. Marshawn Lynch says he’s ready to go and I think he’ll be a big factor. Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last five games as an underdog of 2.5 points or less. 23-20 Hawks.



Cardinals (-7) over Green Bay Packers – Last time these teams played each other, the Cardinals won 38-8. The only difference this time is that the Cardinals have had an extra week to rest their guys. I’m not expecting another blow out, but you can bet Arizona is going to put up points against an average packer defense. There is only so much Aaron Rodgers can do, and I think he’s in for another long game. Arizona is the only team in NFL history to win all home playoff games.  31-19 Cards.



Last week: 2-2

Regular Season ATS: 132-120-4

Playoffs ATS: 2-2

Regular Season Teaser Pick of the Week Overall: 8-9

Playoff Teaser Pick of the Week Overall: 1-0

Teaser Pick of the Week (7 Points): Cardinals PK

Seattle Seahawks +9.5


NFL Round One Playoff Predictions ATS

Houston Texans (+3.5) over Kansas City Chiefs – First playoff game of the year and it’s a matchup between Alex Smith and Brian Hoyer. Who’s excited? The Chiefs finished the year on a 10 game win streak and are the hottest team in football. Unfortunately, they’ve lost six straight games in the postseason. Sounds like a low scoring game that will come down to a late field goal. Also, Andy Reid is due for a time management blunder to blow the game. Texans 22-20.


Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5) over Cincinnati Bengals – The Steelers might be one of the best six seeds in recent memory. I honestly think the Bengals are better off with A.J. McCarron instead of Andy Dalton. Dalton hasn’t been ruled out yet, but I’d be surprised if he played. The Steelers defense is a little shaky and will let up points, but when your offense scores 28+ points a game then there’s no need to worry. Ben Roethlisberger is 10-2 in Cincinnati for his career.  Steelers 31-25.


Green Bay Packers (-1) over Washington Redskins – It’s hard to believe that Kirk Cousins is playing better than Aaron Rodgers right now. I’m convinced that the Packers tanked against the Vikings because they’d rather play Washington than Minnesota. As bad as the Packers have played, I can’t see them losing against a Redskin team that really hasn’t played anyone. A stat that sticks out: Washington hasn’t won against a team over .500 ALL YEAR. Aaron Rodgers likes that. Packers 27-23.


Minnesota Vikings (+6) over Seattle Seahawks – If the current weather forecasts hold true, the Seahawks’ wild-card playoff game Sunday at Minnesota is almost certain to set a record as the coldest in team history, and rank among the coldest in NFL history. The Seahawks dominated the Vikings in the regular season matchup, and I think the Vikes have a good chance to make this a close game. I just don’t believe in Teddy Bridgewater and the Seahawks are going to stack the box to stop Peterson. Seahawks 24-20.



Since 1980, home underdogs are 21-14 straight up and 21-12-2 against the spread in the playoffs. All home teams are underdogs this week.



Last week: 7-9

Regular Season ATS: 132-120-4

Playoffs ATS: 0-0

Teaser Pick of the Week Overall: 8-9

Teaser Pick of the Week (6 Points): Seattle Seahawks PK

Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5



Week 17 Predictions ATS


 Dallas Cowboys (PK) over Washington Redskins

Philadelphia Eagles (+3.5) over New York Giants

Detroit Lions (+1.5) over Chicago Bears

Atlanta Falcons (-4) over New Orleans Saints

St. Louis Rams (-3.5) over San Francisco 49ers




New York Jets (-3) over Buffalo Bills – The Jets clinch a playoff berth with a win in Buffalo. Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker might be too much for this Bills secondary. I like the Jets here, but have a really bad feeling about this. The Jets always find a way to break their fans hearts.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+11) over Carolina Panthers – Coming off their first loss, the Panthers can clinch home field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win. I like the Panthers to win, but 11 points seems too much. 27-19 Panthers.


New England Patriots (-10) over Miami Dolphins – Another scenario where a win can secure home field advantage throughout the postseason. The Dolphins season is over and they don’t care at all. They lost to Charlie Whitehurst! Patriots win big.


Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5) over Baltimore Ravens – We’re not sure if A.J McCarron will be the starter, but I’m assuming he will be. The Bengals can still get a first round bye with a win and a Broncos loss. Bengals defense is one of the best in the league and Ryan Mallet is going to struggle. 23-10 Bengals.



Houston Texans (-6) over Jacksonville Jaguars – The Texans clinch the division with a win against Jacksonville.  If the Jags were home then I would take the points, but I think the Texans show the home crowd a great game. Props to Bill O’Brien for keeping his players motivated after a slow start to the season.



Pittsburgh Steelers (-10) over Cleveland Browns – With a loss last week, the Steelers don’t control their destiny to the playoffs. They have to win at Cleveland and need the Jets to lose to the Bills. Steelers are going to play mad after the loss against a Ravens team they should’ve killed. Steelers win by two touchdowns.



Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5) over Oakland Raiders – The Chiefs have won nine straight games after staring the season 1-5. They can somehow win the division with a win and a Broncos loss. They were +1400 to win the division at one point. I can see this being close at half, but Chiefs keep the hot streak alive. 29-22 Chiefs.



Indianapolis Colts (N/A) over Tennessee Titans – The Colts need so many things to go right on Sunday in order for them to make the playoffs. The Titans can lock up the number one pick with a loss. Can’t believe the Colts are about to miss the playoffs when people had them as a super bowl contender.




San Diego Chargers (+9.5) over Denver Broncos – Broncos clinch a first round bye with a win at home. They can also sneak into the number 1 seed with a win and a Patriots loss. I think there are too many points here. Philip Rivers would love to spoil this game and I think it’ll be close.



Arizona Cardinals (-7) over Seattle Seahawks – The Cardinals are one of the scariest teams in the NFL. Good luck to whoever has to play them in the first two rounds. Seattle has a chance to cover because if the Panthers are blowing out the Bucs then the Cards might rest their players. Would stay away from wagering on this game.



Green Bay Packers (-3) over Minnesota Vikings – Packers have won five straight against the Vikings. Aaron Rodgers is having a hard time getting it to his receivers this year and I think hell struggle against a good Vikings defense. I like the under more than I like the spread of the game. Packers 20-16.




Last week: 6-10

Overall ATS: 125-111-4

Teaser Pick of the Week Overall: 8-8

Teaser Pick of the Week (10 points): Steelers PK

Carolina Panthers PK

Patriots PK