Chi’s NFL betting guide: week 3 pt.1

It’s week three in the NFL and that means it only gets easier from here on out. I’m here to ruin your bookie’s life and win you money, so lets jump into week three.

Image result for mr krabs money

Color Rush Thursday:

 

L.A. Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers:

(Rams over 49ers -3 OU 40)

Another week and another sad pathetic excuse for a football game on Thursday night, but hey, they have pretty colors so there’s that. About the only reason I and i’m sure you, are watching this tonight is because we have action on it.

The Rams open up as three point favorites for probably the last time this season so I have a feeling they’re going to make it happen tonight. I don’t think it will be because Jared Goff and the offense, It’s going to be because the 49ers are one of the worst teams in the league and are going to get destroyed by Aaron Donald and the Rams D.

Chi’s Pick: Rams -3 under 40

 

The London Game:

 

London Jaguars vs. Baltimore Ravens:

(Ravens over Jaguars -3.5 OU 39)

Image result for The london Jaguars

(Photo courtesy of deadspin.com)

 

The NFL has had games in London for the last few seasons and almost everytime the Jaguars were there and this time is no diffrent. The London Jags are set to host the Ravens from Baltimore in what should be a a somewhat easy win for the Ravens. The reason I say somewhat is the familiarity factor of traveling all the way to London which the Ravens have not done yet ands the Jags do every year. Does this give the Jags some sort of advantage??

Whether or not the Jags have an advantage or not I’m looking for the Ravens to invade Wembley stadium and hunt down the Jags by 10 points. I do think the Jags will make it competitive for the first half, but Flacco and company will take the W.

Chi’s Pick: Ravens -3.5 Over 39

 

Sunday in America:

 

Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills: LOCK OF THE WEEK

(Denver over Buffalo -3 OU 40)

I have absolutely no idea why this line is so low but I love it. This might be the best pick of the week. I’m going to be hammering this with my life savings. After the Broncos showed the world they’re no joke against the Cowboys they will not let me down at New Era Field this weekend.

 

The Bills did put up a great showing against the Panthers last week, not allowing Cam Newton and the offense to get going and only letting up 9 points. With all this said I will still be throwing down my life savings on this one.

Chi’s Pick: Denver -3 Over 40

 

Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots:

(Patriots over Texans -13.5 OU 44)

The Texans roll into Gillette with their rookie QB DeShaun Watson and try to do the unthinkable by winning a a game in Foxborough with a rookie QB which has never happened in the Belichick era of the Patriots. I think this will be a semi low scoring game but one sided scoring from the Patriots.

This game has the largest line in the whole league this week, but I still think the Patriots will take care of business. The Texans defense is one of the top in the league but I don’t think they will have enough to stop the Pats from covering.

Chi’s Pick: Patriots -13.5 under 44

 

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Chicago Bears:

(Pittsburgh over Chicago -7.5 OU 44)

The Chicago Bears have had a tough season to say the least, after a solid performance against the Falcons in week one they got destroyed by the Buccaneers by 20 points. When will the Bears decide to start Mitch Trubisky and put an end to the sad era of Mike Glennon.

The season for the Bears is essentially already lost while the Steelers have Super Bowl aspirations for what could be Big Ben’s last year. This game should be a blowout, but they played really well in Soldier field vs. Atalanta so anything can happen. I’m still taking the Steelers, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the game ends up being a close one.

Chi’s Pick: Steelers -7.5 Over 44

 

And that’s it for part one of my week 3 NFL betting guide, make sure you check out part 2 on Saturday morning!

 

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Russell Wilson

NFL Week 3 picks against the spread

Last week was a little better, but not much. Despite correctly calling the Broncos upset of the Cowboys, I posted a record of just 5-11 last week and sit at 8-20-2 through two weeks. My picks are bolded, outright upsets have an asterisk and all lines are from rtsports.com at the time of my writing. The quest for improvement continues.

Thursday Night:

Rams (-2) at 49ers- Taking a road team on Thursday night is always dangerous, but Jared Goff looks like a legitimate NFL quarterback two weeks in to his sophomore season. Despite being an offensive guru, Kyle Shanahan’s new 49ers offense has not really gotten off the ground yet. The Rams’ defense is among the last a struggling offense would like to face. Lar 20 SF 10

Sunday:

Ravens (-3.5) at Jaguars (London) – The number here is shockingly low. It makes me wonder if Vegas knows something the rest of the world does not. Baltimore is far from an offensive juggernaut, but they have not needed to be one thus far. The defense has carried them to an undefeated start by dominating bad teams. Jacksonville is most certainly a bad team. If they wait three quarters to show up like they did last week, Baltimore will eat them alive. Bal 27 Jac 15

Falcons (-3) at Lions- This has a chance to be really good. Two hot quarterbacks with lots of weapons. Atlanta passed its first true post Super Bowl meltdown test by throttling Green Bay last week. Detroit is white hot in the early going as well and showing more offensive balance than we are used to. It seems like every time the Lions have a chance for a big statement win, they come up short. Thus, Atlanta wins a shootout. Atl 35 Det 31   

Matt Ryan

Photo: nydailynews.com

Browns (-1) at Colts- Andrew Luck still is not walking through the door anytime soon to save the Colts. The good news is they occasionally looked like a real NFL team at times with Jacoby Brissett at the helm last week. Even so, the Browns are favorite to win a game for the first time since 2015.

With the youngest roster in the league, Cleveland is still overmatched most weeks. However, their talent on both sides of the ball is intriguing and they play hard. The Browns have been in both of their games so far before miscues turned the tide. Deshone Kizer should be able to limit those against a dreadful Colts defense. Cle 20 Ind 17

Broncos (-3) at Bills- This line is brilliant. The Broncos are the talk of the league after their performance last week and most folks have declared Buffalo terrible after struggling with the Jets for three quarters and putting up just three points in defeat last week.

I would have expected Denver to at least be a touchdown favorite, in which case Buffalo would have been my favorite pick of the week.  This just screams trap game. The Broncos are making a rare trip to the East Coast. Any team is susceptible to reading their own press clippings a little too much after a big win.

Lastly, Buffalo offensive coordinator Rick Dennison was in Denver last year. He knows Trevor Siemian’s strengths and weaknesses as well as anyone. You can bet he has been dropping in on defensive meetings this week.

Despite all that, the talent gap between the two rosters is too great on paper not to swallow a measly field goal. I am taking the sucker bet. Den 27 Buf 21

Texans at Patriots (-13) – A win is a win in the NFL. Despite playing pretty poorly in Cincinnati last week, the way Deshaun Watson competed and made a few big plays to help his team get the job done was impressive. However, the Texans are nowhere near ready to really compete with a Patriots team that seemed to get back on track last week. NE 31 Hou 13

Dolphins (-6) at Jets- As a general rule, always take home underdogs in a rivalry game. The Jets are not as bad as most thought they were going to be. Gang Green hung right with the Raiders until a muffed punt opened the floodgates late in the first half. Miami needed a lot of help to get by the Chargers last week. An outright upset would no doubt create some fantastic new Jay Cutler memes, but I will stop just short of calling it. Mia 24 Nyj 20

Saints at Panthers (-6) – Something has to give here. Carolina is really struggling on offense, but very good on defense. New Orleans is the polar opposite. Carolina’s offense should finally be able get their multilayered ground game going. The defense should be able to slow down Drew Brees just enough, but a touchdown is too much too give up. Car 34 NO 30

*Giants at Eagles (-6) – I am a fool for giving the Giants another week before I bury them. However, it is inconceivable to me how a team with so much talent on both sides of the ball can be as bad as they have been. The Giants are another team on the wrong side of the league wide shortage of decent offensive line play.

New York has been a strange team over the years. They play better when they are on the road and nothing is expected of them, both apply here. Odell Beckham Jr. will be a week healthier and we do not really know what the Eagles are yet. Betting on the Giants this week will be slightly more entertaining than setting your money on fire folks. NYG 24 Phi 20

Steelers (-7) at Bears- The Steelers have already shown us that they will ride that high-powered offense to the playoffs yet again this year. With Mike Glennon at quarterback, the Bears are much closer to the team that got picked apart in Tampa last week than the one that played the Falcons to the wire opening weekend. Pit 28 Chi 17

Bucs (-2.5) at Vikings- This line has been taken off most sites. It will continue to move dramatically until Sam Bradford’s playing status gets clearer. This was the only one I could find. If Bradford gets healthy, this line could very well flip. For now though, if Bradford does not answer the bell, the Bucs are a solid bet. Case Keenum certainly did not do much to inspire confidence last week. TB 20 Min 13

*Seahawks at Titans (-3) – It amazes me how people sometimes panic about a team, even after a win. Yes, Seattle struggled with San Francisco and their offensive line is atrocious. However, ever since Russell Wilson came to town, this franchise has had a knack for finding ways to win. They rarely look impressive, but usually get the job done.

Even though it was against an inferior opponent, sometimes pulling out a gutty win like that is all a team needs to get on track. The Seahawks defense always travels well and Tennessee may struggle with playing another team that plays the physical brand of football. It will be interesting to see how they react, but Seattle has earned the benefit of the doubt. Sea 17 Ten 14

Bengals at Packers (-8.5) – The whole world has been beating up on the Bengals this week, and rightly so. Scoring a grand total of nine points in two games will get you exactly where they are.

The good news is the defense is playing well and the Packers are banged up on both sides of the ball. Additionally, this is easily the worst defense Cincinnati has faced during the young season. The touchdown drought finally ends, but Aaron Rodgers pulls away late. GB 31 Cin 20

Aaron Rodgers

Photo: businessimsider.com

 

Chiefs (-3) at Chargers- New year, new city, same story for the Chargers. Again, they find themselves 0-2 by literally a few inches. The Chiefs offense is not going to look like the 99 Rams all year long and the Chargers are too good to get blown out by anyone. At the end of the day though, these teams will do what they have done for the better part of the last two years. The Chiefs will find a way to win, and the Chargers will find a way to lose. KC 21 Lac 17

Raiders (-3) at Redskins – The Redskins can move the ball on just about anyone, but Derek Carr makes the Raiders offense just a little better in this matchup. Washington has also struggled with turnovers early in the year. That is never a good thing when facing an offense that can make you pay for a short field. Oak 30 Was 20

Monday Night:

Cowboys (-3) at Cardinals- Dallas was humbled last week in Denver. Arizona continued to struggle in scrapping by Indianapolis. Arizona’s main cogs are aging very quickly, particularly quarterback Carson Palmer. Despite that, this team may still be capable of a great performance on occasion. That is what they will need Monday night, we have not seen it yet though. Dallas is not nearly as off track as many experts have suggested. Regardless, this is a good matchup for them to get their mojo back. Dal 27 Ari 17

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week two DFS Don'ts

Week Two DFS Don’ts – Running Back

I’m just going to say it, David Johnson and Le’Veon Bell were the biggest disappointments of week one. No one predicted such a sharp decline in production from these players. Thankfully LeSean McCoy, Todd Gurley and Leonard Fournette picked up the slack. But, were they a product of a good match up, or, can we count on them as dependable DFS backs? Without further adieu, let’s get right into which running backs are on my week two DFS Don’ts list.

Todd Gurley: FanDuel Price $7,700

Todd Gurley and the Rams benefited from playing the worst team in the NFL at home week one. Yes, the Colts with Scott Tolzien are worse than the Jets. Gurley benefited from a big workload and an awful defense. However, let’s dig deeper into Gurley’s production and evaluate it’s sustainability moving forward.

Gurley’s final stat line was 19 carries for 40 yards on the ground, with 56 yards on five catches. So, against a talent-less defensive front, Gurley averaged a frightening 2.1 yards per carry. That’s atrocious for someone who is considered a top 12 running back. Of the 16 week one running backs who had at least 15 carries, 13 of them had a higher yards per carry than Todd Gurley. Running backs on that list in front of Gurley include: Terrence West, Javorious Allen, CJ Anderson and Ty Montgomery. It’s safe to say that Gurley is more talented then all of those players. So, with more talent and potentially the best week one match up, he was one of the least efficient backs.

This weekend, Gurley will face Washington’s 3-4 defense. In 2016 against a 3-4, Gurley averaged 2.74 yards per carry and .33 touch downs per game. I seriously doubt he’ll see enough carries to reach 100 yards rushing with his low yards per carry because the Rams won’t be running out the clock in this game. Shockingly, they are facing quality NFL quarterback in Kirk Cousins, so there will actually be pressure on the Rams’ offense to score points. I don’t trust Gurley at all. If he, with his talent, can’t average more than 2.1 yards per carry against the Colts, it’s likely he wont be DFS relevant for most of the season. Gurley was an easy pick for my week two DFS Don’ts.

C.J. Anderson: FanDuel Price $7,000

week two DFS Don'ts

C.J. Anderson is no doubt the feature back in Denver, but will his workload be enough to satisfy fantasy owners this Sunday? (Courtesy of; Dynasty Football Warehouse)

I’ve never been a fan of C.J. Anderson, but, I can’t argue with his workload. Any running back with 20 carries will always warrant consideration from me because he will at least have the opportunity to score points. However, I don’t like his match up for a unique reason, pace of play.

Pace of play is an interesting stat by Football Outsiders. It measures how much time, on average, it takes for a team to run a play. After week one, Dallas is 11th in pace with 27.39 seconds and Denver is is 22nd with 29.74 seconds. So, Denver has established themselves as one of the slower teams in the NFL. However, in the second half specifically, these teams take significantly longer to run plays. In the second half, Dallas falls from 11th to 25th in pace and Denver shifts from 22nd to 24th.

So what does this mean? It means that the number of snaps as a whole for the Denver offense will decrease. And, if they are trailing, they’ll pivot away from Anderson because of how slow both teams operate. This presents a problem. Anderson is not known as an explosive back, meaning, he needs volume to produce points. If you take away his volume, you severely limit his ability to produce. Given the pace and potential game flow of this match up, C.J. Anderson is firmly on my week two DFS Don’ts list.

Carlos Hyde: FanDuel Price $6,400

Carlos Hyde is a must avoid this week. Hyde had a rough outing in week one. He only say nine carries, but, he did draw six catches on six targets. I have so many problems with Hyde this Sunday I don’t know where to start. First, Hyde and the 49ers are a 14 point underdog at Seattle. Playing running backs on teams that are huge underdogs is a great way to not guarantee production.

Second, Seattle is angry. Seattle felt like they got robbed last weekend in Green Bay. This defense is more talented on the defensive line than Carolina, and they dominated the 49ers offensive line. Things will only get worse for this 49ers offensive unit this Sunday.

Third, their history in Seattle is not good. Seattle hasn’t lost to the 49ers in Seattle since 2011. In those games they lost, it’s been by an average of 17.6 points. I like Carlos Hyde. I think he’s a versatile, talented running back. But please, please don’t play him this week. I know there isn’t any analytical reasoning here, but it’s not necessary. Stay away from Hyde this week.

 

Like what you read? Tune into the Suck My DFS Podcast this Friday and find out who TGH fantasy experts will be playing in their DFS lineups this week. You can find the link to our podcast on the Podcast page.

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“From Our Haus to Yours”

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NFL

NFL Week 2 Picks against the spread

Last week, I got off to a dismal 3-10-2 record against the spread, but that leaves almost the entire season to improve. My picks are bolded, outright upsets have an asterisk, and all lines are from rtsports.com at the time of my writing. Let’s go.

Thursday Night:

Texans at Bengals (-6.5) – Well, you certainly won’t find two teams who looked worse in their openers. Despite that, this is a pretty simple game to size up. The Texans are banged up and traveling on a short week. Additionally, Andy Dalton is still Cincinnati’s quarterback for better or worse. He has proven he is capable of at least moderate success in this league. The same level of certainty cannot be applied to Houston’s quarterback situation. Cin 24 Hou 13

Sunday:

Cardinals (-7) at Colts- After last week’s embarrassment, there are not many reasons for Colts fans to be optimistic. The return of Andrew Luck is nowhere in sight. Whether it is Scott Tolzien or Jacoby Brissett who faces Arizona, it will be an uphill battle.

The Cardinals are not exactly a well-oiled machine at the moment, especially without David Johnson. Even so, Los Angeles hung 46 on Indy last week. The Jared Goff led Rams struggled to score 46 points in a month last year. Arizona should have enough firepower to get the job done. This strikes me as a game where professional pride may kick in for the Colts. After last week though, it is hard to see them keeping it close with any average team. Ari 31 Ind 17

Bills at Panthers (-7)- Christian McCaffery has certainly added something to a Panthers offense that already did a lot of exotic things with its running backs. Cam Newton missed some easy throws last week and appears to still be struggling with a bad shoulder, but he did not need to do much last week and won’t need to here either.

Yes, it was just the 49ers last week. Even so, the Panthers defense showed flashes of its great play from two years ago that helped the team reached the Super Bowl. The Bills struggled to put away the Jets last week. It is hard to imagine that going on the road against a much better opponent will help them. Car 27 Buf 17

Bears at Bucs (-7) – This game is tough to get a read on since Tampa Bay did not play last week. The theory of playing for an entire city after a hurricane certainly did not work when it came to Houston last week. However, the Bears are not very good and the Bucs have one of the better collections of offensive talent in the league. Thus, I will use the Houston theory again here. TB 31 Chi 21

Browns at Ravens (-8) – The Browns were one of the few things I had right last week. If there ever was a moral victory, that was it. The Ravens are benefiting too much from Cincinnati not showing up at all last week with this line. The offense didn’t look sharp. Granted, it didn’t need to. An outright upset would not shock me here. Bal 21 Cle 20

Vikings at Steelers (-5.5) – The Steelers are fantastic at home. Any team with their offensive weapons is a tall order for any opponent.  Before the Vikings can be taken seriously as a real contender, their offense has to show it can be productive against more than just the Saints defense. Pit 27 Min 19

Patriots (-6.5) at Saints- This will be a fun watch featuring two of the best quarterbacks of this era desperate to avoid 0-2 starts for their teams. If Kansas City can put up 40+ on the Pats in New England, the Saints will surely be able to score in the Superdome. Tom Brady, Bill Belichick and company won’t start 0-2, but they will be made to sweat. NE 34 NO 31

Eagles at Chiefs (-5.5)- Philadelphia did a nice job of going out and backing up the preseason hype that surrounded them last week, but this is a tough task. While the Kansas City hype train needs to slow down a bit, beating the Patriots in their building may be the most challenging thing to do in the NFL. Andy Reid coached teams almost never lose when given extra time to prepare. For young football team like the Eagles, Arrowhead Stadium combined with a physical Chiefs defense is more than likely going to be a case of too much, too soon. KC 28 Phi 21.

Titans (-2.5) at Jaguars- This is your classic Week 1 overreaction line. Yes, the Titans were soundly beaten by the Raiders, but the Jags are getting way too much credit for manhandling in the opener. While early returns on Leonard Fournette are good, the Texans helped Jacksonville out a lot. The Titans won’t be nearly as generous. Blake Bortles is not going to beat many teams completing 11 passes and barely breaking 100 yards. Ten 21 Jac 13

Leonard Fournette

Photo bigcatcountry.com

Dolphins at Chargers (-4.5) – After a one week hurricane delay, we finally get our first look at the Jay Cutler led Dolphins. The move did not make sense to me then and won’t until I see differently. Despite good individual members from time to time, having Cutler on your team has never meant winning football games on a consistent basis. In fact, it has usually meant just the opposite.

The Chargers finished last week’s loss against Denver really well. Their pass rushers will cause problems for every team they face this year. Also, the Bolts should be eager to open their time in LA with a win. Lac 30 Mia 21

Jets at Raiders (-14) – As bad as the Jets are, they hung around in Buffalo last week. The game would have been even closer had they not bungled an interception return. 14 points is just too many to swallow in the NFL unless the team that is favorite is angry or desperate. After last week’s win Oakland has no reason to be either. Oak 28 NYJ 17

Cowboys (-2) at *Broncos- Another week, another stiff test for Dak Prescott in his second year. He passed the first one with flying colors, but this one comes on the road at one of the toughest places to play in all of football.

This game is really a coin flip. Other than a rough few minutes in the fourth quarter, Denver dominated the Chargers last week. The balance they showed last week, a great defense that is already playing really well and playing at home will be enough for a minor upset. Den 21 Dal 17

49ers at Seahawks (-13.5) – Here, we have the same basic logic as the Jets/Raiders matchup. Unfortunately for the 49ers, Seattle has all the incentive in the world to be angry and desperate after being smothered by the Packers last week. Sea 24 SF 6

Redskins at Rams (-2.5)- Fortunately for Rams fans, the team that destroyed Indianapolis last week looked nothing like the disorganized mess that we saw last year. It is too early to say whether or not they are legitimate contenders, but this is a good matchup for them. Kirk Cousins was very pedestrian in the opener and committed a few big turnovers. The Rams defense will probably force him to do the same this week. Lar 23 Was 17

Kirk Cousins

Photo: bleacherreport.com

*Packers at Falcons (-2.5) – After barely escaping Chicago with a win last week, the Falcons seem to be missing something after the offensive coordinator change. Seattle may be the toughest defense Green Bay faces all year long. They scraped by them last week. I expect that confidence to help the Packers get on a nice early season roll. GB 31 Atl 24

Monday Night:

Lions at Giants (-3.5) – Desperation is a big theme this week. Teams that start 0-2 make the playoffs less than 15% of the time. The Giants were my preseason NFC Super Bowl representative. That looks shaky at best after last week, but the defense still did a solid job against Dallas.

Whether Odell Beckham Jr plays or not, the offense cannot be any worse. The Lions kept up with their 2016 theme of fourth quarter comeback wins last week against Arizona. They are loaded with talent, particularly on offense. However, their lack of a run game combined with their tendency to fall behind early make them tough to trust. NYG 27 Det 21

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Hagan’s Haus 2017 week 2 NFL picks

Hagan’s Haus 2017 week 2 NFL picks

Welcome to Hagan’s Haus, where football is the only thing that matters. Sundays you won’t find me in a church because Football is my religion and the number one priority in my life. I am so excited that the NFL season is finally back in action! I pride myself in studying the game of football. We can’t get all our picks or predictions right but I am going to leave it here in the open every week for everyone to see. In Hagan’s Haus, it’s all about bragging rights. 

Who is the best? Because winning is the only thing that matters. We don’t get points for second place. I challenge you to post comments on your weekly picks and compare them to mine. This isn’t about point spreads. I will give a score predictions but winning is winning. Doesn’t matter if it’s by an inch or a mile. So try and beat me in picking NFL games. I promise you it won’t be easy, but it will be fun. Here are Hagan’s Haus 2017 week 2 NFL picks.

Last week: 8-7

Season: 8-7

Thursday Night

Hagan’s Haus 2017 week 2 NFL picks

(Photo credit: Scott Halleran/Getty Images)

Houston Texans (0-1) 20 @ Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) 21: It is only week two but this is a vital game for both the Texans and the Bengals. Teams that go 0-2 hardly ever make the playoffs. Andy Dalton must overcome a four interception game. If he plays like that again, Bengals fans will be chanting McCarron’s name. DeShaun Watson has officially been named the starter for Houston. With a short week of preparation, Watson will be behind the eight ball. With McCarron breathing down Dalton’s shoulder and the first start for DeShaun Watson, the Bengals find a way to win.

Sunday Morning

Arizona Cardinals (0-1) 31 @ Indianapolis Colts (0-1) 14: Similar to the teams participating in the Thursday night game, the Cardinals and Colts are sort of in a must win situation. The Colts looked God-awful against the Rams and the Cardinals blew a lead while losing swiss army knife David Johnson. Even though the Cardinals will need Palmer to shoulder the load, Indianapolis is a bad team. Chuck Pagano will be the first coach fired this season. Arizona wins this week but only because Indianapolis is incompetent.

Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) 24 @ Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) 27: This is a game many could consider the game of the week after the performance these two teams put on in week one. Alex Smith looked like a guy who was drafted number one overall ahead of Aaron Rodgers. He lit up the Patriots defense with some spectacular throws. Carson Wentz didn’t look too shabby either. This is going to be a competitive, back and forth game that will come down to the wire. It is hard to pick a winner in this game so the edge goes to the home team.

Hagan’s Haus 2017 week 2 NFL picks

(Photo Credit: Getty Images / Hannah Foslien)

Minnesota Vikings (1-0) 27 @ Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) 23: For all the hype surrounding the Steelers this offseason their opening performance was a bit lackluster. Le’Veon Bell didn’t get enough touches and it looked like Pittsburgh was trying to punish him for missing training camp. The defense seemed improved behind rookie T.J. Watt but they still only managed a three point victory against the Browns who started a rookie quarterback. Minnesota however, looked like a juggernaut. Their defense completely shut down Drew Brees and the Saints offense holding them to 19 points. The touchdown came in garbage time. Sam Bradford led an aerial assault that nobody saw coming and rookie Dalvin Cook made all Vikings fans say Adrian who? Minnesota looked like the better team in week one. They upset Pittsburgh in week two to put the NFL on notice.

New England Patriots (0-1) 38 @ New Orleans Saints (0-1) 24: The Patriots did look a bit un-patriot-like last week but every time New England has started 0-1 with Bill Belichick they have gone on to win the Super Bowl. This isn’t the time to overreact. The Saints secondary still looks anemic. Sam Bradford torched them with his best game of his career. Tom Brady will dissect them even worse with over 400 yards passing. New England will cruise to a victory in the Superdome.

Chicago Bears (0-1) 24 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) 31: It is hard to determine if the Bears looked good or if the Falcons played bad but was probably a mix of the two. Mike Glennon put the ball where it needed to be on the final drive but his teammates let him down. This week the Bears head to Florida to take on the Bucs who will be playing their first game of the season because of Hurricane Irma. Tampa Bay is going to play with a lot of emotion and with the support of the fans, they will win their home opener.

Hagan’s Haus 2017 week 2 NFL picks

(Photo Credit: Getty Images / Ezra Shaw)

Buffalo Bills (1-0) 22 @ Carolina Panthers (1-0) 29: Both teams head into this game with a win in week one. Both also played against some really bad opponents. The Bills look like a team that is still going to run the ball well but their passing attack may still be weak. Cam Newton also looked a bit rusty as his accuracy was hit and miss. Another big story line to follow is Sean McDermott returning to Carolina. He may know exactly what the Panthers are doing but it won’t be enough to stop them. Cam plays big and leads his team to a 2-0 start.

Tennessee Titans (0-1) 23 @ Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0) 21: The Jaguars are above .500 for the first time in a long time. Their defense completely dominated Houston. Jacksonville also ran the ball very well with rookie Leonard Fournette. Taking the ball out of Blake Bortle’s hands seems to be the key to success. Tennessee must bounce back after looking a bit underprepared for Oakland. The offense didn’t light it up as many expected and it resulted in an underwhelming performance. Week one usually has a ton fluke results and this week the Titans will prove it by outplaying Jacksonville on the road.

Cleveland Browns (1-0) 23 @ Baltimore Ravens (1-0) 22: Baltimore has been a franchise that is built on defense and showcased that again last week. Joe Flacco didn’t do much on offense but that isn’t anything new. This team will be an average team because of the offense but if the defense plays like that all season then maybe they will sneak up on people. Cleveland played pretty well last week after they had a punt blocked for a touchdown. Without that play, they probably upset the Steelers. Cleveland is heading in the right direction and a win on the road this week will prove as much.

Sunday Afternoon

Hagan’s Haus 2017 week 2 NFL picks

(Photo Credit: Photo: Wesley Hitt, Getty Images)

New York Jets (0-1) 17 @ Oakland Raiders (1-0) 45: New York will be lucky to win a single game this season. They are tanking whether it is on purpose or by accident, it is a tank. Oakland opened the season by flying across the country and beating up on a team many predicted to win their division. The offense is loaded and Marshawn Lynch is back to being “Beast Mode”. The defense looked much improved from last season. Everything seems to be falling into place perfectly. Oakland defends the Black Hole in a complete annihilation.

Miami Dolphins (0-0) 20 @ Los Angeles Chargers (0-1) 27: The Chargers almost had the upset but almost only counts in horse shoes and hand grenades. Los Angeles’ defense is going to be elite and the offense seems to have chosen the run as its identity. They will be a good team this season. Miami will be playing its first game of the season due to Hurricane Irma. The Dolphins won’t be ready and Los Angeles gets a much-needed win.

Dallas Cowboys (1-0) 32 @ Denver Broncos (1-0) 22: Denver was lucky to sneak away with a win in week one. They might not be so lucky this week. Trevor Siemian played well but the problem is his inconsistency. One week he looks like an NFL starter and the next he looks like a backup. He will look like a backup against Dallas. The Cowboys, on the other hand, looked amazing against the Giants. Dak Prescott seems to have more control of the offense and Ezekiel Elliot is back to his old ways. Dallas goes into the Mile High City and stops on the Broncos.

Washington Redskins (1-0) 10 @ Los Angeles Rams (1-0) 21: Was that the Los Angeles Rams or the 2015 Denver Broncos defense on the field last week? The answer is the Rams, but it’s because former Broncos defensive coordinator Wade Phillips is now running the defense of the Rams. Defensively, they played lights out and still get to add Aaron Donald to the mix. The offense looked NFL worthy as Jared Goff had a spectacular game. It was against the Colts thought. This week they matchup with the Washington Redskins who dropped their game to their division rival Eagles. Kirk Cousins will not play well in this game. Los Angeles puts out another championship caliber defensive performance to start 2-0.

San Fransisco 49ers (1-0) 6 @ Seattle Seahawks (0-1) 28: Russell Wilson was running for his life against the Packers. Seattle still hasn’t fixed their offensive line issues and it may spell doom for them this season. The defense is still elite but can only do so much. Although they may be in for a difficult season they won’t struggle against the 49ers. San Fransisco will be good in a few years but right now there isn’t enough talent in the locker room to do any damage. Seahawks will win this one, easily.

Sunday Night

Hagan’s Haus 2017 week 2 NFL picks

(Photo Credit: Unknown)

Green Bay (1-0) 41 @ Atlanta Falcons (1-0) 38: A rematch of the NFC Championship game in which Atlanta ran Green Bay off the field. Green Bay’s secondary will be tested yet again in this game but will hold up better. Atlanta looked bad in Chicago and a hangover is lingering. Matt Ryan will put up a lot of points in this game but Aaron Rodgers will put up more. The Packers offense may need 40 to win but the opportunity for revenge will cause them to do so. Packers will upset Atlanta because Aaron Rodgers has a 350 yard, four touchdown game.

Monday Night

Detroit Lions (1-0) 31 @ New York Giants (0-1) 34: The Lions are still the comeback kids after last week’s comeback against the Arizona Cardinals. Matthew Stafford shook off the pick six to have a pretty stellar game. Detroit doesn’t have the defense to be a playoff team but Stafford will carry this team to a few unexpected wins. The Giants looked shell shocked against Dallas. There is no run game whatsoever. They should have drafted a running back from this amazing class but felt Paul Perkins was the answer. He is not. If they can’t run the ball they can’t open up the passing game. Odell should be back in action in this game and Eli Manning will be the happiest about it. Odell makes the difference and the Giants get in the win column, barely

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Hagan’s Haus 2017 week 1 NFL picks

Welcome to Hagan’s Haus, where football is the only thing that matters. Sundays you won’t find me in a church because Football is my religion and the number one priority in my life. I am so excited that the NFL season is finally back in action! I pride myself in studying the game of football. We can’t get all our picks or predictions right but I am going to leave it here in the open every week for everyone to see. In Hagan’s Haus, it’s all about bragging rights.

Who is the best? Because winning is the only thing that matters. We don’t get points for second place. I challenge you to post comments on your weekly picks and compare them to mine. This isn’t about point spreads. I will give a score predictions but winning is winning. Doesn’t matter if it’s by an inch or a mile. So try and beat me in picking NFL games. I promise you it won’t be easy, but it will be fun. Here are Hagan’s Haus 2017 week 1 NFL picks.

Last season: 155-107-2

Season Opener

Hagan's Haus 2017 week 1 NFL picks

(Photo Credit:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QZOIIVpifiw)

Kansas City (0-0) 21 @ New England (0-0) 27: The season opener is finally here and the Patriots are yet again opening as the defending Super Bowl champions. Tom Brady has already established himself as the greatest quarterback of all-time and has been given Brandin Cooks. Gronk is also healthy and will have a big impact in this game. The Chiefs won’t have enough offense to beat the Patriots in this one.

Sunday Morning

New York Jets (0-0) 6 @ Buffalo Bills (0-0) 24: The Jets will be lucky to win a game this season. Buffalo is opening a new season, under a new regime, at home. Nobody circles wagons like the Buffalo Bills. Tyrod Taylor is going to throw for 300 yards and LeSean McCoy will run for over 125. The Bills defense will also look much better than they did under Rex Ryan. Bills win this one easily.

Atlanta Falcons (0-0) 21 @ Chicago Bears (0-0) 22: After watching the preseason it was evident that the Bears will have a much better defense, especially if they remain healthy. The offense will have a running identity and Mike Glennon must protect the football. This is a trap game for the Falcons. Everyone expects them to beat the Bears easily but they still have a Super Bowl hangover. Previously this would never have been my pick, but the Bears find magic and upset the defending NFC champions.

Hagan's Haus 2017 week 1 NFL picks

(Photo Credit: Getty Images)

Baltimore Ravens (0-0) 21 @ Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) 24: Baltimore is heading into the season with no viable running back and a quarterback this is the definition of average. Flacco doesn’t have what it takes to be a gunslinger of an aerial offense. The defense will be forced to pick up the slack. The Bengals will capitalize in this one with a huge ground game.

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) 34 @ Cleveland Browns (0-0) 17: DeShone Kizer is going to get lit up by the Steelers. Their defense is going to create havoc and Joe Haden will get an interception against his former team. Le’Veon Bell will have over 200 yards from scrimmage to lead the Steelers to an easy week one victory.

Arizona Cardinals (0-0) 37 @ Detroit Lions (0-0) 28: Detroit has a bad defense and that is putting it mildly. Matthew Stafford has gotten his payday so look for a decrease in his play. The Lions are going to have a typical Lions season in which they win anywhere from three to six games. It starts this week with a huge game from David Johnson.

Oakland Raiders (0-0) 33 @ Tennessee Titans (0-0) 31: This is one of the games of the week. Marcus Mariota versus Derek Carr is going to be fireworks. The Raiders have a little bit more experience and that will be the difference. Marshawn Lynch will be a bit rusty. The difference in this game will be a late sack by Khalil Mack to seal a victory for the silver and black.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0) @ Miami Dolphins (0-0):  This game is being rescheduled for week 11 due to Hurricane Irma. Best wishes to all those dealing with this historically bad storm.

Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) 30 @ Washington Redskins (0-0) 22: Washington is not ready for the soaring Eagles. Their defense is going to be legit this season thanks to Fletcher Cox, Brandon Graham, Jordan Hicks and Malcolm Jenkins. They will be too much for Kirk Cousins who will throw at least two interceptions in this game. Carson Wentz will have a big game to lead the Eagles to a huge week one divisional win.

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) 13 @ Houston Texans (0-0) 17: Until Blake Bortles begins to look like an NFL quarterback there is no reason to pick the Jaguars. Houston’s defense is going to put on a show this week. They will not only be playing with the hype of the season opener, but the fans will be looking to escape the tragedy of Hurricane Harvey. Watt and Clowney have two sacks each and the defense leads the way for a Texans’ victory.

Sunday Afternoon

Hagan's Haus 2017 week 1 NFL picks

(Photo Credit: by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)

Indianapolis Colts (0-0) 13 @ Los Angeles Rams (0-0) 24: The Rams are going to be a better team this season. They will be able to run the ball well and Todd Gurley is going to look more like the rookie version than the second year version. Goff has been blessed with Sammy Watkins thanks to a trade and it will really help his development. The Rams defense will be nasty under Wade Phillips and without Andrew Luck, the Colts have to turn to Scott Tolzein. This could get really ugly rather quickly.

Seattle Seahawks (0-0) 27 @ Green Bay Packers (0-0) 24: In another game that could be considered the game of the week the Packers and Seahawks meet again in what seems to be a brewing rivalry. These two teams seem to meet every year and it is always a slobber knocker. Aaron Rodgers will have a big game like he usually does but the Seahawks are the better team. Green Bay drops the season opener at home because their defense won’t be able to hang.

Carolina Panthers (0-0) 41 @ San Francisco 49ers (0-0) 21: Cam Newton is on a mission to prove that last year’s let down was a fluke. His new weapon, Christian McCaffery will take enormous pressure off of the rest of the offense. Greg Olson and Kelvin Benjamin will each find the end zone once and the 49er rebuild will continue.

Sunday Night

New York Giants (0-0) 30 @ Dallas Cowboys (0-0) 27: Odell Beckham will be healthy for this game. He will have a huge game under the spotlight as Brandon Marshall garners respect on the opposite side. Eli Manning usually has good games against the Cowboys and with these two big targets he can just get the ball in the area and they will make a play. Dallas is going to miss Ezekiel Elliot. Dak Prescott gets a chance to show what he is made of without his stud back. Cowboys fall in this one.

Monday Night

Hagan's Haus 2017 week 1 NFL picks

(Photo Credit: http://www.stadiumsofprofootball.com/)

New Orleans Saints (0-0) 17 @ Minnesota Vikings (0-0) 20: Adrian Peterson is dead set on showing the Vikings he has more left in the tank. The issue is the Saints never stick with a workhorse. Peterson won’t get more than 12 carries. Minnesota also has a world class defense. Their defense will carry them to a win. Drew Brees will also show signs of regression thanks to father time. Vikings defend U.S. Bank Stadium on Monday Night Football.

Los Angeles Chargers (0-0) 21 @ Denver Broncos (0-0) 24: The final game of the season opening week will see the Chargers take on the Broncos. This could be a low scoring game as both defenses are pretty good. Philip Rivers will make some big plays but won’t do so on the final drive of the game. Rivers throws an interception while trying to win the game to give the Broncos a 1-0 start to the season.

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NFL

Week 1 NFL picks against the spread

It is the most wonderful time of the year. While Hurricane Irma is putting a damper on things and reminding us all that football is secondary, the NFL season kicks off for real tonight. That means another year of picking games against the spread.

My picks are bolded, outright upsets have an asterisk and all lines are from rtsports.com at the time of my writing. Here goes nothing.

Thursday Night

Chiefs at Patriots (-9) – Kansas City is extremely well coached. Andy Reid never allows his teams to beat themselves. This is a huge number to swallow in a matchup of two very good teams.

However, no matter the team, the defending champions always play inspired on opening night.  Alex Smith and company just do not have the firepower to keep up with a New England offense that somehow got even better by adding Brandin Cooks. No matter how stout the opposing defense is, the Patriots will score lots of points all year long. NE 31 KC 20

Sunday

Week 1 NFL picks

Photo: inquisitr.com

Cardinals (-2) at *Lions – Here, we have two teams that must drive their fan bases insane. If last year is any indication, they both have high ceilings, low floors and no one knows what to expect from them week to week. Given that backdrop, I will take the home team with the better quarterback. Det 30 Ari 27

Falcons (-7) at Bears – It remains to be seen how the Falcons franchise will rebound from last year’s Super Bowl collapse. We won’t learn much here. The Bears organization is lost at sea right now and does not have talent on any level that is equal to the Falcons, at least on paper. Paper is really the only thing we have to go on for opening week. Atl 31 Chi 17

Ravens at Bengals (-3) – This game is pretty much a coin flip. If the game were in Baltimore, the line would probably be flipped. With home-field advantage and an offense that should be just a touch more balanced than that of the Ravens, the Bengals are the smart bet. Cin 28 Bal 24

Jags at Texans (-5.5) – This is my favorite pick of the week. Blake Bortles has yet another crack at being the quarterback of the future in Jacksonville. His numbers are always decent thanks to garbage time, but the franchise has won 11 total regular season games since Bortles was drafted. What more needs to be seen?

Houston’s quarterback situation is not much better, but they are playing to lift the spirits of an entire city and have most of last year’s playoff roster intact. Hou 24 Jac 13

Jets at Bills (-9.5) – The Jets are going to stink, Buffalo is probably going to stink a little less. Outside of the defensive line, everything on the Jets’ roster is well below average. Buffalo has made some head scratching roster moves in recent weeks and is clearly hesitant to commit to quarterback Tyrod Taylor long term. This is a value pick more than anything else. Buffalo is not 9.5 points better than anyone in this league. Buf 27 NYJ 20

Raiders at Titans (-2) – These teams handle their business differently, but are pretty evenly matched. The team that does not lead the world in penalties every year and has the better defense is a good bet. Ten 24 Oak 20

Eagles (-1) at *Redskins– Here is another game that could go either way. Carson Wentz exceeded expectations last year and the Eagles have made a lot of new acquisitions that have people excited. But the Redskins are the known commodity here.

Even with the drama that seems to constantly surround the organization, the Redskins offense put up a ton of first downs and yards last year. If they can turn some more of those numbers into points this year, they will be back in the playoffs for the first time in a handful of years. This is a rivalry game, Washington is at home and I know what I am getting with them. That is good enough for me. Was 24 Phi 21

Steelers (-9) at Browns – The Browns will not be a punchline this year. From Jabrill Peppers to Kenny Britt, they have done a fantastic job of adding talent on both sides of the ball. The raw athleticism of DeShone Kizer with Hue Jackson coaching him is intriguing. Keeping up with a Pittsburgh offense that has all of its key contributors on the field at the same time is probably too much to ask, but they can make a statement here, even in defeat. Pit 28 Cle 20

*Colts at Rams (-3.5) – Watch this one at your own risk. The Colts will be led by Scott Tolzien, not Andrew Luck. For the Rams, Jared Goff showed improvement in the preseason, but that only means so much. Even without Luck, Indy’s offensive personnel may still be better. They won’t score much as the Rams front seven is really good, but they won’t need to. Ind 13 LAR 10

Panthers (-5.5) at 49ers- The number here is surprisingly low. Apparently, I am not the only one who likes what the 49ers are doing. Given the vast differences between their last two seasons, Carolina is one of the toughest teams to predict this year, but Christian McCaffrey might be exactly what this offense needs to get back on track. The Panthers should get through this one on talent alone. Car 28 SF 21

Week 1 NFL picks

Photo: Panthers.com

*Seahawks at Packers (-3) – Like always, this matchup is about Seattle’s great defense and Green Bay’s great offense. These two teams could very well see each other again in the playoffs. We all have certain theories when we look at these games. One of mine is that great defense usually trumps great offense.

If there were any full proof theories about predicting NFL games, Vegas would be broke and us common folk would be rich. Obviously, it does not work that way. However, I will almost always ride the better defense in a matchup like this. Sea 21 GB 20

*Giants at Cowboys (-4) – Apparently, Ezekiel Elliott will play in this game. However, that did not matter much when these teams got together twice last year. With additions like Brandon Marshall, the Giants only got better in the offseason. Even if Odell Beckham Jr. does not suit up because of his knee injury, New York is well-equipped for that circumstance.

Meanwhile, the rest of the league has now had enough time to figure out how to stop a Cowboys offense that was a young juggernaut last year. Things will not be nearly as easy for Dallas this year. NYG 23 Dal 20

Monday Night

*Saints at Vikings (-3.5) – New Orleans is primed for a big year. The one-two punch of Mark Ingram and Adrian Peterson will finally give that offense the balance it so desperately needs. Drew Brees still has a couple years to be his Hall-of-Fame-caliber self. All the defense needs to do is go from atrocious to just plain bad. This is not a very difficult leap to make.

Week 1 NFL picks

Photo: espn.com

As good as Minnesota’s defense is, their offense simply lacks playmakers. It will not take nearly as long for that to catch up with them this year. Too much is being expected by rookie running back Delvin Cook, Sam Bradford has never led a team to a winning record as a starting quarterback and their receivers max out at about 80 catches.

The Vikings have not managed to put together an offense that has ranked in the top 20 since Mike Zimmer took over as head coach. Unless the defense turns out to be the 1985 bears or 2015 Broncos, this team is going nowhere. NO 24 Min 17

Chargers at Broncos (-3.5) – The Chargers were in almost every game last year, but lost most of them.

The relocated Chargers will win a few more games this year, but this one will follow that familiar script. Philip Rivers is still being asked to do way too much. If the quarterbacks changed teams in this matchup, Denver would make this look like a homecoming game. The Broncos were smart enough to realize that Trevor Siemian was not the problem last year. Denver’s front lines were pushed around on both sides of the ball.

Thus, this year they come back with revamped offensive and defensive lines, as well as a monster of at least three heads in the backfield. The defense remains one of the best on the planet. The Broncos are attempting to take the physical approach to winning football games this year. If done well, it is a tough approach for any opponent to deal with. Den 20 LAC 14

 

Featured image from sportlogos.com

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“From Our Haus to Yours”

San Francisco 49ers

Bay Area hope: The Rebuilding San Francisco 49ers

The preseason is not a reliable indicator of regular season success in the NFL. The 2008 Lions went undefeated in the preseason, then went on to be the first team to go winless in a 16 game regular season.

However, sometimes little snippets of games can give viewers both good and bad indicators about a team. This preseason, there is a team whose rebuilding process may not take as long as some people think.

Ever since Richard Sherman tipped away San Francisco’s Super Bowl hopes a few years ago, the 49ers franchise has cratered. They are coming off a pair seasons with just seven combined wins.

Richard Sherman

Photo:: sbnation.com

Rookie head coach Kyle Shanahan and new general manager John Lynch certainly have their work cut out for them, but they have made tremendous strides.

The third preseason game is the so-called “dress rehearsal.” San Francisco traveled to Minnesota last week. The 49ers starters ran the Vikings out of the building for a half.

Brian Hoyer was brought in to stabilize the quarterback situation while the 49ers look for the next young guy. Only time will tell if rookie C. J. Beathard can be that guy. For now though, Hoyer has a chance to guide this team to being very competitive very quickly.

Hoyer is not the kind of guy that a fan base is going to rally behind and buy his jersey, but he can get the job done under the right circumstances. He has been around for almost a decade, has a winning record as a starter and 18 more career touchdown passes than interceptions. There is zero pressure on Beathard to go out and resurrect this franchise right now. That is a beautiful thing.

Also, the 49ers have done a better job putting talent around Hoyer than people realize. Running back Carlos Hyde seems healthy and rejuvenated after getting lost in the shuffle last year. He has managed to put up almost 1800 total rushing yards in his first three seasons despite injuries and organizational dysfunction.

Wide receiver Pierre Garçon was also brought in via free agency and had his best statistical season in 2013 in a Redskins offense that was coordinated by Kyle Shanahan. Garçon also has not missed a game since 2012. Staying healthy and being productive is a rare but great combination to have for any wide receiver.

Honestly, it does not take much to turn an offense from laughable to decent in the NFL. At minimum, you need a serviceable quarterback, a running game that can take some pressure off the quarterback, and a reliable pass catcher or two. For the first time in a handful of years, the 49ers have all of those things in place.

Brian Hoyer

Photo: nfl.com

On defense, the 49ers lack big names outside of linebacker Navarro Bowman, but that unit punctuated the relevant part of its preseason by shutting out Minnesota in the first half. Thanks to the ineffectiveness of Chip Kelly’s offense, they spent more time on the field than any other defense last year. That will not happen again this year. That alone should make for a significant improvement.

The brilliance of Kyle Shanahan cannot be overlooked, he has elevated every healthy quarterback he has ever worked with. He is a big reason for Matt Ryan’s MVP campaign last year and the rookie of the year campaign of Robert Griffin III in 2012. Much like his father who is a Super Bowl winning head coach, he knows how to put his players in the best position possible to succeed.

The playoffs might be a stretch for San Francisco this year, but they could flirt with .500. That would be quite an accomplishment considering where they were just a few months ago. The 49ers fan base has two things it has not had for a while, hope and optimism.

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NFC predictions

NFC eye test predictions: 16-10

The preseason really sucks. Julian Edelman and Spencer Ware both look to be done for the year. Can you believe Blake Bortles was named the starter in Jacksonville?

Anyways, after wrapping up the AFC eye test predictions, we now move over to the NFC.

16. Chicago Bears 

Mike Glennon has looked absolutely horrendous in the preseason. There is a real possibility that Mitchy Touchdowns (Trubisky) will be the starter week 1.

In March, Glennon signed a 3-year deal with Chicago, worth up to $45 million. This reminds me a lot of when Russell Wilson swooped in and stole the job from Matt Flynn after Flynn signed a hefty deal with Seattle. Let’s hope Trubisky can have a similar effect.

NFC predictions

Is it already Mitchy Touchdowns time? (Photo from USA Today)

If you happen to accidentally flip the channel to a Bears game, at least look for Jordan Howard. As a rookie last year, Howard rushed for over 1,300 yards in 15 games. He could have another monster year if the quarterback can at least keep the defense honest.

Unfortunately, if Trubisky or Glennon have trouble moving the chains, then we could see what we saw last year with Todd Gurley and the Rams. Defenses knew the Rams couldn’t pass, so they would stack the box and make it nearly impossible for Gurley to be effective. Howard will be relying heavily on the passing game, in order to have another solid year.

Side note: the Bears offensive line is actually really good. Josh Sitton, Cody Whitehair and Kyle Long are quite the trio.

As far as targets, the Bears signed Victor Cruz, who is totally out of his prime. Kevin White looks to be their top option, and he is a major question mark. I am a believer in White, but let’s see if he can stay on the field for the entirety of the season. Did you know that Zach Miller and Cameron Meredith led all Chicago pass catchers with four touchdowns last year? Yeah, this will be one of the worst receiving teams in football, especially after Meredith’s injury.

If only Brian Urlacher, Lance Briggs and Charles Tillman were still on the team. Fortunately, there are a few bright spots. Akiem Hicks is pretty reliable on the line. Leonard Floyd is coming off a nice seven-sack rookie season. Jerrell Freeman looked solid last year at inside linebacker.

Bringing in Quintin Demps is nice, but the secondary will continue to struggle. Did you know that the last time the Bears held opposing quarterbacks to a collective passer rating less than 93.5 for an entire season was back in 2013? That is terrible.

We know Glennon is awful, and we have no idea what to expect from Trubisky. There are no reliable targets, and anyone can pass all over this team. I’m rooting for Mitchy Touchdowns and Chicago, but this looks to be a 3-13 season.

 

15. San Francisco 49ers

The Niners may not be good, but they are at least headed in the right direction. Obviously if Brian Hoyer is your quarterback, you won’t win too many games, but they made some nice upgrades on the defense. After being the 32nd ranked defense a year ago, it made sense to beef up this side of the ball.

Carlos Hyde is solid at the running back position, but the offensive line is pretty pathetic. Pierre Garcon is a decent No. 1 receiver, and Marquise Goodwin is a pretty quick dude. Kyle Shanahan can maybe draw up some nice plays to utilize his speed.

Not only did the 49ers bring in a new coach, but also brought in Robert Saleh as the new defensive coordinator. The defensive line is young, but could blossom into something special. In the last three drafts, San Francisco has picked a defensive lineman with their top pick, including Solomon Thomas, who was the third pick in this year’s draft. Thomas, DeForest Buckner and Arik Armstead all have serious potential. Last season, the 49ers allowed over 150 rushing yards on 10 different occasions so let’s hope these young bucks can figure it out fast.

Reuben Foster could be the steal of the draft, after the Alabama linebacker fell to the 31th pick. He probably won’t start right away, as former Super Bowl MVP, Malcolm Smith, will man the weakside. NaVorro Bowman is coming off another achilles tear, so let’s hope the 29-year-old can bounce back.

Not much to say about the secondary. Eric Reid and Jimmie Ward don’t play like former first-round players, and the corners are weak. Hopefully Saleh can turn this secondary around.

Shanahan has been in this league since 2008 and just took part in the Super Bowl. With that said, he knows how to win games. The defense is on the come up, and Brian Hoyer is decent enough to win a few games. This team won’t win more than five games, but they will continue to improve.

 

14. Los Angeles Rams

Thank the NFL gods that Mr. 8-8 (Jeff Fisher) is not running this team anymore. I don’t care what anyone says, that guy is a scrub. Yes, Sean McVay is only 31, but they got Wade Phillips controlling the defense, who has been in the NFL since 1976. I love the face lift for this squad, and it is time to believe in Jared Goff.

Goff looks like he will do just fine in the NFL. To help protect him, LA brought in Andrew Whitworth and John Sullivan. These guys will also play major roles in making sure Todd Gurley has a bounce-back year. If you’re a fantasy guy, Gurley is a fantastic pick. He is slipping in drafts due to last year’s skid, but the new o-line will boost Gurley back to the top.

NFC predictions

Expect a monster comeback season for Gurley. (Photo from Los Angeles Times)

If Sammy Watkins is healthy, he is a top talent in this league. He will immediately become Goff’s favorite target, mostly because there is no one else to throw to. Robert Woods is decent, but paying Tavon Austin was a horrible decision, as he is in the scrub category with Fisher.

The Rams need Aaron Donald to end his holdout, ASAP. Donald is one of the best players in the NFL, so they might want to figure this whole thing out. Donald carries the three-man front, but Michael Brockers is a nice nose tackle.

The names at linebacker should scare some teams. Connor Barwin will fit in nicely with Phillips’ scheme, but Robert Quinn needs to get back to his 2013 self when he recorded 19 sacks. Mark Barron and Alec Ogletree need to improve defending the run, but overall, both are solid.

Trumaine Johnson is a nice talent at corner, but the rest of the secondary is a bit suspect. Overall, this defense has some nice names and should keep the Rams in a lot of games.

With a young head coach and a young quarterback, the Rams will be exciting to watch. Don’t be surprised if Goff takes a major leap, but this looks to be a six-win team.

 

13. Washington Redskins

Kirk Cousins deserved a long-term deal, but nonetheless, here we are again with the franchise tag on the above average quarterback.

Even with the loss of DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon, Washington still has some nice weapons. Terrelle Pryor Sr. will have a monster year, you heard it here first. Jordan Reed will continue to do Jordan Reed things. Jamison Crowder is also a legit target and coming off a seven-touchdown season.

Washington has built a top-notch offensive line with Trent Williams, Brandon Scherff and Morgan Moses. Rob Kelley is coming off a decent rookie season, so you never know what to expect from him. Chris Thompson and Samaje Perine will also be playing key roles in the run game.

The defense is not too pretty. Drafting Jonathan Allen with the 17th pick was a great selection, but this is one of the worst defensive lines in football. Ryan Kerrigan is a force to be reckoned with, but Trent Murphy’s four-game suspension puts Washington in a tough spot.

In his first year with the Redskins, Josh Norman did not play up to his hefty contract. The addition of D.J. Swearinger will be interesting, and Su’a Cravens strictly playing safety could be something to keep an eye on.

Cousins and the Redskins are good, but they are the fourth-best team in their division. They lost some key pieces to the offense and have major question marks on the defensive line. You got to love anyone related to Jon Gruden, but Jay’s team will have a hard time rattling off more than six wins.

 

12. Detroit Lions

Detroit has won at least seven games in each of the past four years. They will keep this trend going in 2017. Did Calvin Johnson make Matt Stafford look better than he actually is? Perhaps, but Stafford is still a really solid quarterback.

The Lions rarely run the ball, but if they choose to up the carries, Ameer Abdullah and Theo Riddick are a stable duo. The additions of Rick Wagner and T.J. Lang will help with protection, but Taylor Decker’s injury hurts a lot.

NFC predictions

Does Matt Stafford have enough support to win? (Photo from Sporting News)

After Golden Tate, the remainder of the weapons are questionable. Marvin Jones Jr. got off to a hot start last year, but was inconsistent the rest of the way. Eric Ebron is another player who cannot be depended on.

Detroit’s weak pass defense can be credited to their below-average defensive line. Ziggy Ansah was battling injures all of last year and will hopefully be ready to go to by week 1. Kerry Hyder had eight sacks last year, so maybe he will keep up his nice play.

The linebacker play has been extremely weak of recent, so the Lions took Jarrad Davis with their first pick. This is a young position for Detroit, so expect a few blunders.

It doesn’t get any prettier in the secondary, but hopefully Glover Quin and Darius Slay can be effective pass defenders for this Lions’ defense.

Somehow, this team manages to always float around .500. Stafford is good, and the offense has potential, but the defense will keep this team from postseason play. Just like in 2013 and 2015, Detroit will win seven games.

 

11. Philadelphia Eagles 

This might irk some people, but let’s be honest. Ginger quarterbacks do not lead teams to titles. It just doesn’t happen.

The Carson Wentz hype train is completely full, but I am not riding it. The dude only threw 16 touchdowns last year, along with a hefty 14 interceptions. The Eagles were 22nd in total yards. Do we just expect these numbers to sky rocket all of a sudden? Absolutely not.

LaGarrette Blount thrived in New England, but so does everyone. No chance he does as well, even with their elite offensive line headlined by Lane Johnson and Jason Peters. Alshon Jeffery is good, not great. Torrey Smith is washed up. Nelson Agholor is nothing special. Zach Ertz is a decent tight end, but Wentz isn’t going to wake up tomorrow and turn into Donovan McNabb. This kid still has a lot of growing to do.

Like their offensive line, the Eagles defensive line is also very good. Brandon Graham and Vinny Curry are problems at the end positions, and Fletcher Cox is one of the best defensive tackles in the game.

Jordan Hicks and Nigel Bradham man a pretty solid linebacker core, but other than Malcolm Jenkins, the secondary is abysmal.

Both offensive and defensive lines are elite, but lack of skill at quarterback and secondary positions is concerning. Just like last year, the Eagles will finish 7-9.

 

10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

If you’re watching Hard Knocks, then you know this isn’t a playoff team. In all honesty, Jameis Winston looks like the most lovable dude ever. I would legit run through a wall for him, but he’s not there yet. He needs to buy into football more instead of being such a clown. Less turnovers and more studying of the playbook.

NFC predictions

DYNAMIC DUO. (Photo from Bleacher Report)

The Adderall Hamster, Doug Martin, is out the first three games, which leaves Jacquizz Rodgers and Charles Sims in charge of running the football. Yeah, not too confident, especially with a bad offensive line.

Actually though, might as well show some love to this squad. Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson will eat, and O.J. Howard could have a nice rookie year. Let’s hope Winston can get them the ball.

Gerald McCoy and Chris Baker are not only stars of Hard Knocks, but also big-time NFL linemen. These two man a very solid defensive line, along with Robert Ayers and William Gholston.

Lavonte David and Kwon Alexander will hold down the linebacker position, and Brent Grimes will lead a younger secondary. Vernon Hargreaves III could turn into something after a decent rookie season.

Still, this team plays in a tough division. The targets on offense are nice, and their defensive line is special. But the offensive line is weak, and Jameis turns the ball over too much. This team has potential, but won’t win more than eight games.

 

Featured image by fanragsports.com

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Fantasy Football Bold Predictions NFC West

Fantasy football bold predictions: NFC West

The preseason is here and so is fantasy football. We have seen endless articles making bold predictions on players, numbers and who are sleepers. This article and many coming are my 2017 fantasy football bold predictions starting with the the NFC West.

Arizona Cardinals: Carson Palmer will Bounce Back in 2017

Headlined as a fantasy sleeper, Carson Palmer is a QB20 and picked towards the end of drafts.

Fantasy Football Bold Predictions NFC West

Carson Palmer (Photo by: si.com)

In 2015, Palmer had one of the best seasons of his career. He finished in the top-five among quarterbacks in 2015 with 35 touchdowns and 4,600-plus yard season. He had receivers like Larry Fitzgerald, and the emergence of John Brown and Michael Floyd really helped Palmer.

But 2016 was the opposite. Even though he was 36 that season, the departure of Michael Floyd and the recurring illnesses of John Brown were not helpful. Besides that, Palmer hit a wall with efficiency.

His 8.7 yards per attempt in 2015 dropped down to 7.1. Another big part of the struggle was the breakout of David Johnson. But Palmer did have a good end of the season with at least 20 fantasy points in a standard leagues in six of his final nine games, and no outing with fewer than 17 points.

But in 2017 Palmer is back and fully focused. Brown is finally healthy and the emergence of J.J. Nelson to complement Larry Fitzgerald and with David Johnson in the backfield should help Palmer have a season like 2015.

Los Angeles Rams: Sammy Watkins will play a full season, but will not have over five touchdowns

Sammy Watkins was traded to the Los Angeles Rams on Aug. 11. There’s no worse situation to be in than the Rams. He is ranked as the 21st wide receiver and selected around the fourth to fifth round.

Fantasy Football Bold Predictions NFC West

Sammy Watkins (Photo by: dailynews.com)

Watkins has missed 11 games over his last two seasons including eight in 2016 because of a foot injury that required multiple surgeries. The good news is that he’s healthy now. He should get the time to rest and learn the offense this preseason.

The bad news is now he’s with the LA Rams. Fantasy owners cringe now because of the situation. His quarterback is Jared Goff who was on the lower end of quarterbacks in 2016. Even though a rookie, he completed a miserable 54.5 percent of his passes, had a 5-to-7 TD/INT ratio and averaged 5.3 yards per attempt.

But for Watkins, he has averaged 0.46 touchdowns per game over his career. And while there’s hope for Goff, he has to learn a new offense and that doesn’t look good for either Goff or Watkins. Look for running back Todd Gurley to have a big role in Los Angeles.

Seattle Seahawks: Doug Baldwin will break into the top-five for wide receivers

Doug Baldwin checks in as the WR10 and ranked 29th overall among fantasy players. Baldwin hasn’t received a whole lot of love from a fantasy perspective. Maybe that’s because Seattle isn’t known as a passing team, but they have done better over the past two seasons. Last year, they ranked tied for 18th with 567 pass attempts. This was the first year Russell Wilson has thrown over 500 pass attempts.

Fantasy Football Bold Predictions NFC West

Doug Baldwin (Photo by: ftw.usatoday.com)

But back to Baldwin. His target share in the last three years has been steady at 22, 21, and 22 percent respectively. He’s blossomed in his new No. 1 wide receiver role, delivering back-to-back top-10 fantasy finishes in both standard and PPR formats. Baldwin’s eclipsed 1,000 yards receiving in consecutive years, and he set a new single-season high of 1,128 yards last year.

His touchdown total however, dipped from 14 in 2015 to seven last year. But 21 touchdowns over the past two seasons is an impressive stat. With guys like Dez Bryant, T.Y. Hilton, DeAndre Hopkins, Demaryius Thomas and Amari Cooper ranked right around Baldwin, his touchdowns over the past two seasons rank best out of all of them.

A key stat for Baldwin is in 2015, 95 percent of Baldwin’s yardage (1,011) and 93 percent of his touchdowns (13) came from the slot, per Next Gen Stats. In 2016, those percentages fell to 59 for yardage (662) and 57 for touchdowns (four). Baldwin proved he could win outside, posting a 78 percent catch rate and 15.36 yards per catch average when lined up out wide.

He has proven to be a top target for Seattle and I expect him to continue his dominance with the run game still in question. His only threat to take targets away is Jimmy Graham but that didn’t stop him in 2016.

San Francisco 49ers: Carlos Hyde will run for over 1,000 yards

Carlos Hyde as of right now is being selected right around the third to fourth round. He is ranked as the 15th running back.

Fantasy Football Bold Predictions NFC West

Carlos Hyde (Photo by: sfgate.com)

Hyde has had some problems staying healthy (14 games missed in three seasons). But when he’s on the field he’s one of the better backs in the league. He averaged a career-best 4.6 YPC on 217 carries last season and has ranked among the top 10 in the NFL in YAC each of the past two years.

He has been the best running back on his team in terms of success rate every year he’s been in the league, and just last season, only 10 running backs had more top-24 PPR performances and only 7 had more top-12 ones.

Hyde will be in a new offense in 2017 under Kyle Shanahan. He will fit his offense around the skillset of his personnel. With Cleveland in 2014, the team ran for five more touchdowns than they threw for. With the Atlanta Falcons, we saw Shanahan turn Devonta Freeman into a top fantasy running back in 2015. Granted in a better offense, Shanahan works well with running backs when the offense molds together.

Hyde finished 2016 ranked 18th in fantasy points in only 13 games, posting five top-10 weeks and nine touchdowns. He just missed 1,000 yards by 12 yards. There’s been a lot of hype around the backup Joe Williams. But he has been dominating training camp and Jon Lynch liked the shape Hyde was in as recently as late July.

 

Featured image from calvinayre.com.

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