Franchise Analysis – Kansas City Chiefs

Since 2014, the Kansas City Chiefs have consistently gotten better. After recording nine wins in 2014, 11 wins in 2015, and 12 wins in 2016, what more could a fan base ask for? The answer is simple, win in the playoffs. The Chiefs have not won a home playoff game since 1993 and haven’t won the conference championship since 1969. So the question remains, what must happen to snap the Chiefs championship drought?

2016 Evaluation – Offense

This offense, like those in previous seasons, was predicated on not making mistakes. Kansas City finished in the top 10 in terms of giveaways by only committing 17 on the season. Given they had 15 giveaways in 2015 and 17 in 2014, it’s clear that their number one priority is taking care of the football.

Just because a team doesn’t accumulate turnovers doesn’t mean they are a great offense. The Chiefs finished 13th in points and 20th in yards, according to Pro Football Reference. I often talk about how an offense can skew a defenses ranking in points allowed; however, the Chiefs benefited from the opposite. Their defense was able to put them in great field position by creating a league high 33 turnovers.

Chiefs Championship Drought

Alex Smith became the first quarterback in NFL history to lose a playoff game when scoring two or more touchdowns than their opponent. (Courtesy of; Kansas City Star)

With any NFL offense, the focus is on the signal caller. One stat most people don’t know about Smith is that since 2011, only Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers have won more games. However, despite what most people think, winning isn’t everything. At this point how Alex Smith performs in the regular season is irrelevant to Chiefs’ fans, as long as he plays well enough to get them to the postseason.

Since 2013, his adjusted yards per attempt in his postseason campaigns has declined from 10 yards, to 4.3 yards. This was never more apparent than against the Steelers. Smith failed to connect with Tyreke Hill on two occasions, one of which was a guaranteed touchdown.

At this point in his career, it would be unfair to ask Alex Smith to start attacking downfield. His style of play is one that you either take or leave, and in all fairness, is one the Chiefs should leave by 2018 at the latest. You won’t lose a Super Bowl with a quarterback who doesn’t take chances, but you can’t end the Chiefs’ championship drought with one either.

2016 Evaluation – Defense

2016 was great for this defense. With four Pro-Bowlers, two of which earned All-Pro honors, this defense was electrifying. While they may have had lapses against the oppositions running attack, there was one constant that remained. Turnovers. As stated earlier, the Chiefs were first in creating turnovers, with 33. This defense was also tied for the most interceptions caused with 18 and were first in fumbles with 15.

There’s no doubt that this team’s strength lies in the secondary. With All-Pro safety, Eric Berry, and corner, Marcus Peters, teams struggled to find favorable match ups in the passing game. Berry was the single best pass defender in terms of covering tight ends and no one has more interceptions than Peters since he entered the league.

Sadly, this team did struggle when trying to stop the run. The Chiefs finished the season as the 26th ranked run defense, something they have to improve on for next year. In a 3-4 defense, the nose tackle is the most important player in terms of defending the run. The nose tackle has to occupy double teams and not give up ground.

Chiefs Championship Drought

Dontari Poe has unique pass rushing skills as a 3-4 nose tackle, but will Chiefs wind up making him one of the most overpaid free agents of 2017? (Courtesy of; Arrowhead Addict)

Who plays nose tackle for the Chiefs? None other than, Dontari Poe. Yes, Poe has a lot of notoriety for what he does in goal line formations. However, Pro Football Focus rated Poe as the 90th best interior defender against the run. On the other hand, Poe has an uncanny ability to rush the passer from the nose tackle position, making him a unique player at that position.

It’s not entirely Poe’s fault. Other players who were liabilities against the run included defensive end Rakeem Nunez-Roches and linebacker Terrence Smith, who filled in the for the injured Derrick Johnson. This triangle of ineptitude made one side of the defense especially susceptible to the run.

If this defense plans to be the one to end the Chiefs championship drought in 2017, they must become at least an average rush defense.

Divisional Analysis

Clearly, Kansas City has everything they need to win the AFC West. However, this team is far from perfect. The Chiefs have a large decision looming this offseason, as both Eric Berry and Dontari Poe become free agents. I think the choice is simple. Let Poe walk and resign Berry.

In this situation, the Chiefs have to address their run defense by finding a new nose tackle. Brandon Williams and Kawann Short, while he played in a 4-3 scheme in Carolina, could be suitable replacements. On the other hand, it’s likely they’ll want to address such a pivotal position in the 2017 NFL Draft.

As of January 24th, our own Joe DiTullio has the Chiefs selecting Corey Davis, the wide receiver from Western Michigan. I’m not so sure. Davis would be a good fit on an offense that wants to attack down the field, but we’ve clearly outlined that isn’t what Alex Smith does.

Instead, they would likely replace Dontari Poe with Caleb Brantley, a top nose tackle prospect from Florida. They could however wait to fill this need by selecting Carlos Watkins from Clemson, or Elijah Qualls from Washington in the later rounds.

Offensively, the Chiefs don’t have a glaring need. They could bolster their receiving core, or, they could look to upgrade their running game. Jamaal Charles’ health will be questioned for the rest of his career and Spencer Ware proved he can handle a starters workload. However, Christian McCaffery would be a great addition for Alex Smith and this conservative passing attack.

Postseason Prospects

The Chiefs not only won the AFC West, but were also able to claim a first round bye. So clearly, they must be doing something right. Here are the following relevant offensive and defensive statistics that serve as good predictors for postseason success.

Chiefs Championship Drought

A good barometer for postseason teams is to have two or more categories inside the top 15 and usually one or two inside the top ten. For the Chiefs, they are top 15 in both points scored and sacks allowed. However, they are largely mediocre in the other metrics. Remember, mediocre isn’t terrible, but it isn’t good enough to win multiple playoff games.

Of these statistics, the two most telling is 3rd down conversion rate. Why? Because it gives you an idea about how effective this team is on first and second down. Teams with a high 3rd down conversion rate are successful early on first and second down, making their third down attempts less difficult.

 

Chiefs Championship Drought

The Chiefs defense suffers from an all or nothing problem. They finished top ten in points allowed and number one in turnovers. But, they were bottom third in the other defensive metrics. When Justin Houston is able to play a full season, their sack numbers will no doubt improve.

We outlined the Chiefs’ struggles against the run earlier and those struggles led to a poor production on third down. The Chiefs have to improve against the run in 2017 in order to record more sacks and get offenses off the field.

2017 Prediction

The Kansas City Chiefs are in a great position to end their championship drought in 2017. Unless Andy Reid is able to transform Alex Smith in the offseason, this team has reached their ceiling. The Chiefs will take a step back next year and will miss the playoffs after finishing 9-7.

 

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Hagan’s Haus NFL Picks (Championship Sunday)

(USA TODAY Sports/ Matthew Emmons)

Championship Sunday is finally upon us. The Saturday divisional round games had the playoffs looking rather boring through six games.

The Falcons and Patriots both won easily and excitement had been missing from the playoffs.

Sunday told a different story. Dallas and Green Bay played an instant classic. Heading into the fourth quarter Dallas trailed 28-13, but scored 15 straight points to tie the game at 28. Eventually, Aaron Rodgers and the Packers held on for a 34-31 victory thanks to a 51-yard field goal by Mason Crosby as time expired.

In the AFC, the Chiefs scored a touchdown with 2:43 remaining and missed the two-point conversion to tie the game at 18. In the end, the Steelers won the game 18-16 and the difference was the two-point conversion that failed.

That leaves four teams remaining in the chase for the Lombardi Trophy: Green Bay, Atlanta, Pittsburgh and New England. The championship games should provide plenty of excitement in determining who will eventually be the Super Bowl Champions. It is time for Hagan’s Haus NFL Picks.

Last Week: 2-2

Regular Season: 148-103-2

Playoffs: 5-3

Overall:153-106-2

 

NFC Championship

(https://www.pinterest.com)

Green Bay 38 @ Atlanta 34: Not many people had predicted that the Falcons would be hosting the NFC Championship this season, but here it is in January and the NFC Championship game will be in Atlanta. The Falcons have the best scoring offense in the NFL this season (33.8 points per game) and Matt Ryan is on a tear. Atlanta is on a five-game win streak and went 5-3 at home. The Falcons are hot, but their opponent is even hotter. Green Bay has won eight straight games and is averaging 33.6 points per game over their last five.

This game is going to be a shootout, but who will win? Aaron Rodgers is clearly the best player in the game today. The hot streak he is on can’t be ignored. In the eight-game win streak, Rodgers has thrown 21 touchdowns and just one interception. The lack of turnovers by Rodgers is resulting in wins for Green Bay.

A game of this magnitude favors the players who have been in this situation before. The Packers have been here before and the Falcons have not. For that reason, the Packers will edge out the Falcons and play in Super Bowl LI.

 

 

 

AFC Championship

(AP Images)

Pittsburgh 27 @ New England 30: The amount of success these two teams have had in the 21st century is unbelievable. Since 2000, the two franchises have combined for 25 playoff appearances, 17 conference championship appearances, nine conference championship wins, and six Super Bowl wins. It doesn’t get much better than this.

The Steelers have faced a much tougher road than the Patriots have in the playoffs. These two teams match up well with one another. The Steelers monster offense was held out of the end zone against the Chiefs. It took six field goals to win and that will not be good enough against Tom Brady. Without Rob Gronkowski in the lineup, New England has still found ways to score.

This game could go either way, but with the game taking place in Foxborough and having the great Tom Brady, the edge has to go to the Patriots. New England makes just one more play in this one to set up a Brady versus Rodgers Super Bowl.

 

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NFL Divisional Playoff Picks Against the Spread

Wild Card Weekend rung in the NFL playoffs with a whimper rather than a bang. However, the divisional round has arrived and the general consensus is at least three of the four games should be highly contested. I was 2-2 against the spread last week and 3-1 straight up. My system remains the same with my picks being in bold and outright upsets having an asterisk. Hut hut, hike!

*Seahawks at Falcons (-5) – This is your classic defense versus offense matchup. Games like this are a yearly occurrence for the Seahawks. The same cannot be said for the Falcons. Thus, I just trust Seattle more here. Playing Detroit last week was a good way to prepare for Atlanta. The Seahawks defense finally seemed to figure out how to play without Earl Thomas. If Thomas Rawls can run the ball anywhere close to the way he did last week, Seattle becomes even more difficult to deal with.

The Falcons have had a fantastic season. However, I am just not sure how they will handle this occasion. They are about as anonymous a playoff team as you will ever come across. Their only primetime appearances this year were a Thursday night game and a Monday night game that went opposite a presidential debate. Even though the Falcons defense has vastly improved from a year ago, Matt Ryan and company are still having to put up 28-30 points to feel comfortable. Seattle will not allow that to happen. Sea 24 Atl 20

Texans at Patriots (-15) – 15 points in a playoff game? No one disputes that New England is a much better team, but I will take 15 points every day of the week and twice on Sundays. It becomes all the more enticing when one considers that the Texans have the NFL’s top defense. The Patriots could very easily go out and win this game by a ridiculous margin. However, Houston’s defense and coaching staff are good enough to make anyone sweat. Jadeveon Clowney is finally staying healthy and being the game wrecker everyone knew he was capable of being. Brady and Belichick will find a way like they always seem to do this time of year, but it will not be the bloodbath that most people are anticipating. NE 27 Hou 17

Photo courtesy of espn.com

Steelers at Chiefs (-1.5) – I genuinely believe Kansas City is the more balanced and complete football team. The early-season 43-14 Steelers blowout in this matchup is hard to ignore though. Teams do change a lot throughout the season. The emergence of Tyreek Hill, Kansas City’s now healthy pass rushers, and a dinged up Ben Roethlisberger are enough to nudge me toward the home team in my least favorite pick of the week. KC 23 Pit 20

*Packers at Cowboys (-4.5) – I would have picked the Giants had they reached this spot as well. Dallas has not played a truly meaningful game in roughly a month. That worries me. As good as Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott have been, this is still uncharted territory for them as well as most of the Cowboys roster.

Photo courtesy of sportdfw.com

On the other side, the universe is running out of words to describe how hot Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense are. I am not sure if the health of Jordy Nelson even matters in terms of who wins this game. Rodgers is playing well enough to carry whoever is out there with him to win right now. Also, the Packers have been in “do or die” situations since about week 11. Let another offseason full of drama begin in Dallas. GB 34 Dal 30

 

 

 

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Hagan’s Haus NFL Picks (Divisional Round)

(http://thebiglead.com/2017/01/07/video-paul-richardson-made-an-insane-one-handed-td-grab/)

Talk about a major dud! The wildcard round of the playoffs was a major snoozefest. There were some great highlights, such as the Paul Richardson touchdown catch, or the amazing performances by Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell. By and large, though it was blowout city. The closest game was decided by 13 points. All home teams won and the average margin of victory was by 19 points. Now there are only eight teams remaining in the playoffs. Every game in the divisional round is a rematch from the regular season. This round should be more exciting than the last and the games should be closer as well. Here are this week’s Hagan’s Haus NFL picks.

Last Week: 3-1

Regular Season: 148-103-2

Playoffs: 3-1

Overall: 151-104-2

AFC

Saturday

(https://uk.pinterest.com/explore/tom-brady-records/)

Houston 10 @ New England 27: This game is most likely to be the least entertaining of the four games. The Patriots beat the Texans 27-0 in September. Brock Osweiler played well last week, but Jadeveon Clowney was the one to spark the team and lead the Texans in the wild-card round. New England has a great offense led by the greatest quarterback in NFL history. Their defense is playing great as well. In the month of December, the Patriots defense only gave up 10.6 points per game. The Texans must hope their defense shuts down Brady, but that won’t happen. The Patriots will be heading to another AFC Championship game.

Sunday

(Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports)

Pittsburgh 20 @ Kansas City 19: This was one of the most difficult games to pick. Pittsburgh is on fire right now. Le’Veon Bell is having a career season. Big Ben Roethlisberger and Antonio Brown are also playing great football. This offense is a juggernaut. These two teams met early in the season and it was a blowout. The Steelers won that game at home 43-14. This game will be much more competitive at Arrowhead as the Chiefs have improved since that early season matchup. It won’t be enough though and the Steelers will edge by the Chiefs to meet Tom Brady in the AFC Championship.

NFC

Saturday

(http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/news/seahawks-falcons-picks-predictions-spread-odds-vegas-divisional-playoffs-2017/1tm3kxvdhv0781xfllb4b2nmtd)

Seattle 27 @ Atlanta 24: There is talk that Matt Ryan will end up winning the MVP, but the quarterback has much to prove in the postseason. Seattle has heard so much talk about how great and prolific this offense is. One of the interesting storylines in this game is that Atlanta head coach Dan Quinn was the former defensive coordinator for the Seahawks. He knows this defense and it may help Matt Ryan prepare for it. Atlanta is at home, but they aren’t used to this stage in the same way the Seahawks are. Russell Wilson is going to have a huge game and the Seahawks will find themselves back in the NFC Championship.

Sunday

(https://www.google.com/search?q=cowboys+vs+packers&client=safari&rls=en&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwip69vmkLvRAhUF_4MKHaf1Ag0Q_AUICigD&biw=1308&bih=611#imgrc=VzPSCzWZBFm1-M%3A)

Green Bay 27 @ Dallas 28: Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers are the hottest team in all of football right now. They completely dismantled the Giants last week and have won seven straight games. They look unbeatable and picking against them might be considered crazy. They were originally the team who I thought would win this game, but there is a reason to hesitate. The Cowboys have been the best team in football all season. Why would they stop now? Jordy Nelson may not play in this game, making the Packers less dangerous on offense. Dallas is going to have a lot of pressure, but if they run the ball and keep Aaron Rodgers off the field they will win this game. That is precisely what the Cowboys will do and they will be heading to the NFC Championship.

 

 

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Keys to the NFL Divisional Playoffs

NFL fans and media rarely agree on much. However, I think we can all agree that Wild Card weekend did not produce much excitement or competitive football. While it is a little early in the week to pick the divisional playoff matchups, here is a key to each.

 

Seahawks at Falcons- Are the Falcons ready for the big time?

Seattle should have zero concerns about being ready for a game like this. They have played in dozens of them over the last handful of years. Like always, the defense will limit scoring opportunities and the Seahawks will ask Russell Wilson to make a few key throws to get the win.

Atlanta is a different story. Despite Matt Ryan having an MVP worthy season, the Falcons have flown mostly under the radar and have not been placed in the glamorous national TV windows very often. A scenario where Atlanta’s offense simply scores too much for Seattle to keep up is conceivable. However, a scenario where Atlanta folds under newfound spotlight is just as conceivable. With Earl Thomas out, Seattle’s defense is a tad more vulnerable. Given what the Falcons are capable of on offense and their much improved defense, it is now or never for Atlanta.

Texans at Patriots – Houston needs some kind of early break

The Texans are 15.5 point underdogs for a reason. New England shut them out early in the year with a third-string quarterback. Fast forward a few months and now Tom Brady is back in the fold for New England. As ominous as that may sound for Houston, anything is possible. If that was not the case, games like this would never be played.

There are a few things that work in Houston’s favor. First, the coaching staff has numerous ties to New England. There isn’t much the Patriots can do that would surprise the AFC South champs. Also, much-maligned quarterback Brock Osweiler had the best game of his young career last year in Denver against the Patriots defense.

The Texans are here because of its defense. As atrocious as the quarterback play has been, the top-ranked defense has been that good. It will be up to that unit to force a turnover that leads to easy points early in the game and give the massive underdogs some belief. A big play on special teams would also serve the same purpose. Houston cannot fall in a big hole early if they want any chance at all.

Steelers at Chiefs – Steelers pass protection

No matter how good he is at sandbagging his injuries, there is no way Ben Roethlisberger goes from a walking boot to fully healthy in a week. Thus, those trademark Roethlisberger scrambles under pressure to extend plays are likely off the table. It is up to Pittsburgh’s offensive line to keep Kansas City’s pass rushers away from their franchise quarterback.

Photo Courtesy of steelersdepot.com

This will not be an easy task. The Chiefs have three or four guys that are capable of chasing down any quarterback in this league. Their defense is led by a healthy Justin Houston. Le’Veon Bell will not run wild against the Chiefs like he did against Miami last week, but he will need to run well enough to take some heat off of the offensive line as well. Looking back on it, Pittsburgh’s 43-14 early-season blowout of Kansas City is one of the true oddities of the NFL season. This game will be a lot closer one way or the other.

 

 

Packers at Cowboys – Green Bay’s third-down defense

This may be the toughest game of the weekend to call, but it is the easiest to size up. The only way anyone is going to stop Aaron Rodgers and the Packers right now is by keeping their offense on the sideline. Dallas has been near the top of the league in time of possession and third-down conversions all year long.

Photo Courtesy of thelandryhat.com

The Packers defense has struggled to get off the field on third down, raking just 22nd in that category. Dallas will dance with what brought them here. They need to stay in manageable down and distance scenarios with a heavy dose of Ezekiel Elliott. It is up to Clay Matthews and company to ensure that Rodgers gets enough opportunities to work his magic. Here is to hoping at least one of these games is half as good as Monday’s national championship game I fell asleep during.

 

 

 

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Reid it and Weep: Andy Reid is a Top Coach of His Era

Good coaching is hard to come by. When a team gets a good coach, they need to hold onto them as long as possible even if they have a down year or two at some point. Many owners and general managers are highly inconsistent when it comes to firing or retaining a head coach. Society is trigger happy when it comes to sports. Teams must win now and if they don’t, the course of the ship must change immediately, but is that the right move?

Most times, it’s not one man’s trash is another man’s treasure. However, the Kansas City Chiefs know it best this isn’t always the case. Kansas City took advantage of the Eagles getting rid of a great coach after two subpar seasons. That coach is Andy Reid, and he is the most underrated, underappreciated coach in the NFL. Reid is a hall of fame coach only missing one thing from his resume, a Super Bowl win.

Philly with Andy Reid

Andy Reid

(Carolyn Kaster/AP)

Andy Reid was the head coach of the Philadelphia Eagles for 14 NFL seasons. Before Andy Reid was named the head coach of the Eagles in 1999, the Eagles did not have a coach last more than 80 games since Dick Vermeil was the coach from 1976-1982. Reid would coach over 200 games with the Eagles and lead them to the best success the franchise had ever seen.

Andy Reid’s first season was an abysmal 5-11. After that, Reid went on a tear throughout the NFL. In his next five seasons, he made the playoffs and had a regular season record of 59-21. The first year of that five-year playoff run, the Eagles lost in the Divisional Round of the playoffs.

What Reid did in the next four seasons with the Eagles was rare. He led them to four straight NFC Championship berths. They lost the first three before winning the NFC Championship in January of 2005.

Andy Reid

(http://sportige.com/quarterback-head-coach-duos-with-most-wins-in-nfl-history-05-2013/)

The Eagles had finally gotten over the hump of the NFC Championship but had to face the great Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. The Eagles lost the Super Bowl XXXIX 24-21. It was the Eagles second Super Bowl loss franchise history.

After the Super Bowl loss, there was a hangover and the Eagles finished the 2005 season 6-10. In the seven seasons from 2006-2012, the Eagles never reached the same kind of success but were still a playoff contender.

Overall in Andy Reid’s 14 seasons with the Eagles, he finished with a regular season record of 130-93-1. He made the playoffs nine out of his 14 seasons. Reid was fired after a 4-12 season in 2012 and two consecutive seasons without a playoff appearance.

Philly Since Reid’s Departure

Andy Reid

(http://www.phillyvoice.com/philadelphia-eagles-chip-kelly-era-in-gifs/)

Since Reid was fired in 2012, the Eagles have had two head coaches and an interim head coach. Reid has been with the Chiefs during that entire time.

As an organization, the Eagles have gone 34-30 and only made the playoffs once in those four seasons. They lost their only playoff game at home to the Saints 26-24.

Personally, Andy Reid in those four seasons has gone 43-21 and made the playoffs three times. The Eagles felt life without Reid would be better, but the truth of the matter is because of two subpar seasons by Reid’s standards, the Eagles went in a different direction. It is speculation but had the Eagles kept Reid their franchise might be still one of the best in the NFL.

Kansas City Before Reid

Andy Reid

(Photo: Charlie Riedel, AP)

The Chiefs were the worst team in the NFL the year before Andy Reid was hired to take over. In the 14 seasons Reid was with the Eagles, the Chiefs had a 99-126 record and had made the playoffs only three times. The Chiefs did not win a single postseason game in the three playoff appearances and hadn’t won a playoff game since 1993.

They also had a total of five different head coaches during Reid’s tenure in Philadelphia. There was very little stability and even less success. When the Chiefs fired Romeo Crennel, they were looking for stability more than anything. Reid was the perfect candidate for the job in providing both success and stability.

 

Chiefs With Reid

Andy Reid

(https://arrowheadaddict.com/2013/10/21/andy-reid-wasnt-dancing-really-just-fun/)

Andy Reid and the Chiefs have been a match made in heaven. In his four years as the head coach, he has posted a better wining percentage than his time in Philly. His win percentage with the Chiefs is 67 percent and with the Eagles, it was 58 percent.

What was most remarkable about his first season in Kansas City was that the Chiefs went from 2-14 to 11-5 and made the playoffs. They lost the playoff game 45-44 to the Colts but the turnaround had the franchise and its fans optimistic.

Reid’s second year was not as successful as the Chiefs went 9-7 and missed the playoffs. The front office still believed Reid was the best man for the job.

His third season was vital in proving he could still lead an NFL team. After coming off a 9-7 season he was expected to improve and get them back to the playoffs as he did in his first year. The problems started in that third season when the Chiefs started the season 1-5 and Reid was officially on the hot seat.

Then everything changed. Kansas City finished that season on a 10-game winning streak and finished with an 11-5 record. Since that 1-5 start, the Chiefs are an unbelievable 22-4. He also led the Chiefs to their first playoff victory since 1993. His encore was finishing this season 12-4 with the Chiefs first AFC West title since 2010. The Chiefs also finished as the second seed and are contenders to make it to the Superbowl.

Hall of Famer?

Andy Reid

(Kirby Lee – USA Today Sports)

It remains to be seen how this season will play out for the Chiefs but one thing is certain- Andy Reid sure can coach. Overall in his 18 years as a head coach, he has a 173-114-1 record in the NFL.

He has made the playoffs 11 out of 18 seasons and has gone 11-11 in the playoffs. He has yet to win the Super Bowl but there are always legendary players who don’t win a Super Bowl. It doesn’t take away from their greatness.

Regardless of how his career ends, Andy Reid will be a Hall of Famer one day. The Eagles thought they needed a new voice but the fans of Philly miss having a team in the playoffs nearly every season. One man’s trash is another man’s treasure and the fans who pour into Arrowhead to see the Chiefs have been given a treasure when Andy Reid become the head coach.

 

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NBA Player Comparisons for NFL Playoff Teams

As the NFL regular season draws to a close and the NBA season starts to hit its stride, here are some NBA player comparisons for all of the NFL playoff teams.

AFC

1. New England Patriots- Lebron James: This one is obvious. Year after year Tom Brady and the Patriots are contending for the Super Bowl. Likewise, year after year, Lebron James is contending for the NBA Championship. For the past decade, they both have been consistent powerhouses in their leagues. For the two most dominant forces in their sports, look no further than Lebron and the Pats.

2. Kansas City Chiefs- Kawhi Leonard: The Chiefs and Kawhi Leonard are an unlikely pair, as the two silent killers of their leagues. They both fly under the radar. They don’t always receive the respect and recognition they might deserve. Make no mistake, they are deadly. Are you someone that loves high powered offenses? You may be in the wrong place. Like it or not, these guys are going to get the job done. Don’t sleep on the Chiefs and Kawhi.

3. Pittsburgh Steelers- Russell Westbrook: Russell Westbrook is an offensive force. He is one of the best scorers in the league and he’s seemingly afraid of nothing when he’s got the ball in his hands. This Steelers’ offense, is similarly one of the best in the league. When Ben Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell, and Antonio Brown have the ball, opposing teams had better watch out. Defense, however, is a different story. On their best days, Westbrook and the Steelers can play great defense. On their worst days, they are a liability to their team.

4. Houston Texans- Rajon Rondo: During the offseason, the Houston Texans PAID Brock Osweiler. Over the summer, the Chicago Bulls PAID Rajon Rondo. Expectations were high for the Texans and Rondo heading into the season. The results were a disaster. The Texans are the worst team in the playoffs this year, and perhaps even a historically bad playoff team. Rajon Rondo has been benched, and probably will be traded in the coming weeks. Sure, they’ve dealt with some injuries over the course of the season, but they both will surely be ending their seasons with disappointment.

5. Oakland Raiders- Anthony Davis: Injuries, injuries injuries. The Raiders and Anthony Davis are young and have a lot of firepower, but injuries have derailed them both. Anthony Davis and the Raiders have bright futures, but this season will almost certainly be a disappointment. Either way, it’s not bad to be a fan of the Raiders or Davis right now.

6. Miami Dolphins- Dwight Howard: The Miami Dolphins shouldn’t be good. They’ve been average for the past few years. They don’t have an amazing quarterback. They rank in the bottom half of the league in points and yards. This year they’re somehow getting it done. Thus, the wacky Dwight Howard comparison is born. Dwight Howard is having a throwback year for the Hawks, who look to be playoff bound. For the guys who defy expectations, Dwight and the Dolphins are a perfect match.

NFC

1. Dallas Cowboys- Kevin Durant: Outside of Dallas, nobody likes the Cowboys. Fittingly, newly anointed NBA super villain Kevin Durant is the perfect comparison for the soaring ‘Boys. Both have amazing offenses, questionable defenses, and are at the top of their respective leagues this year. The Warriors seem almost unbeatable with their group of NBA superstars, and the Cowboys seem unbeatable with their offensive superstars. Undoubtedly, it is a match made in sports villain heaven.

2. Atlanta Falcons- James Harden: The Falcons and Harden both have great offenses. That might be underselling it a bit. It’s more like, the Falcons and Harden both have historic offenses. They’re both breaking records left and right as they climb to the top of their leagues. Harden is a MVP favorite. The Falcons are one of the Super Bowl favorites. But both have a glaring weakness and it happens to be the same thing: defense. Will their offensive firepower make up for their lack of defensive prowess? Only time will tell.

3. Seattle Seahawks- DeMarcus Cousins: On his best day, DeMarcus Cousins is one of the best players in basketball. On their best day, the Seahawks are one of the best teams in football. The problem is the “Jekyll and Hyde” act that they both seem to embrace during any given game. Will we see Boogie put up 30 points and 15 rebounds or will we see him get ejected in the first quarter? Will we see the Seahawks manhandle an opponent like the Patriots or get manhandled by the Buccaneers? It’s anybody’s guess. That unpredictability makes the Seahawks the Boogie Cousins of the NFL.

4. Green Bay Packers- Steph Curry: Everyone knows that Steph Curry and the Packers are in the elite when it comes to their sports. After a rough start to their seasons, they’ve started to get their mojo back. The Packers ripped off six straight wins to end their season and make the playoffs. Curry is starting to heat up and find his role in the new offense. When it comes down to it, nobody can dispute that they are one of the best in the business. They can hang with anyone.

5. New York Giants- Avery Bradley: The Giants are the 3-and-D player of the NFL. Defensively, they are maybe the best in the league. However, offensively they are far from perfect. They are capable of making a big splash at any time thanks to the presence of wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. Making big plays on offense and a strong defense are the keys to the Giants success this season, making them a threat to compete with any team in the league.

6. Detroit Lions- Damian Lillard: Clutch in the fourth quarter. King of the comebacks. End of story.

 

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“From Our Haus to Yours”

Tyreek Hill’s Journey to the NFL

His name is not Dak Prescott or Ezekiel Elliott, but this rookie has been perhaps the biggest surprise of the 2016 NFL draft. Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill has really burst on to the scene this year with incredible speed and versatility.

Projected to go undrafted by many, it was a surprise that the Chiefs took Hill in the fifth round. His numbers at West Alabama, a NCAA Division II school, were not impressive. He is on probation for a domestic violence incident that lead to him being kicked out of Oklahoma State. At 5-foot-10 and 185 pounds, he is not very big either.

Kansas City really took a gamble by drafting Hill and it has definitely paid off. Here is a look at Hill’s crazy road to the NFL.

High School

Hill competed at Coffee High School in Georgia and was actually more of a standout on the track than the football field. Hill won both the 100 and 200-meter dash at the 2012 Georgia 5A state meet.

Courtesy of ESPN

He also put up an incredible performance at the Golden South Classic in Orlando, Florida. He finished the 200 in 20.14 seconds, which was good for second all-time. To give perspective on how fast Hill was, that time would have been the fastest time in the NCAA that year. It also would have been good for sixth place in the 2012 London Olympics. He also finished the 100 in a blazing 10.19 seconds.

Hill was a beast on the track, but make no mistake, he was also a fantastic football player. He was not only fast, but also incredibly strong. He could run the 40-yard dash in 4.32 seconds and bench press 345 pounds. Hill only had competed in track for a couple years, but has played football from a young age. His skill on the track and football field caught the attention of a lot of big schools. 

Hill was receiving track scholarships from schools like LSU and Florida State. Georgia offered him a scholarship to run track and play football. He nearly chose Georgia’s offer, but his grades prevented him from doing so. He decided to sign with Garden City Community College in Kansas to play both football and run track.

College

Hill did football and track at Garden City. Hill got to show his versatility his sophomore year on the football field, rushing for 638 yards and five touchdowns. He also caught 35 passes for 557 yards and six touchdowns. The production made him one of the top JUCO recruits for the next season. It seemed that almost every top school wanted him, including Alabama, Florida State, USC, Oklahoma and Texas.

Courtesy of USA Today

Hill ended up choosing to play at Oklahoma State. The Cowboys’ fast-pace offense and top-notch facilities drew Hill to the program. His head coach at Garden City, Matt Miller, also had family members who attended the university. Miller did not push Hill towards OSU, but told him to choose a program he felt comfortable in.

Hill had an impressive first year with the Cowboys. He immediately got started running track and set the school record for the 60 and 200-meter dashes. He also helped OSU win their first Big 12 indoor championship.

Hill also made an impact on the Cowboys football team. As a junior, Hill rushed for 534 yards and a touchdown while also catching 31 passes for 281 yards and another touchdown. Hill played a big part in the return game as well, returning two kickoffs for touchdowns and one punt for a touchdown.

Oklahoma State finished the year 6-6 and ended the regular season with a thrilling overtime victory over rival No. 20 Oklahoma. Hill had a 92-yard punt return for a touchdown that tied the game with 45 seconds left and sent it to overtime. The Cowboys kicked a field goal to win 38-35. It was announced the next day that Hill and the Cowboys would be taking on Washington in the Cactus Bowl. Not a bad first season at Oklahoma State for Hill. However, everything was about to come crashing down for Hill.

Dismissed

About a week after the victory over Oklahoma, Oklahoma State announced Hill was dismissed from the football and track teams after he was arrested for domestic assault and battery.

An OSU press release stated: “Oklahoma State University does not tolerate domestic abuse or violence. Based on the evidence and the serious allegations that have been made, Head Football Coach Mike Gundy has announced that Tyreek Hill has been dismissed from the OSU football team. He also has been dismissed from the track team. The allegations are under investigation by Stillwater Police and by the OSU Office of Student Conduct. Those processes will proceed independently.”

Hill ended up pleading guilty to domestic abuse by strangulation. It was found that Hill got into a fight with his pregnant girlfriend and punched her in the stomach and choked her (the baby boy was born healthy). Hill ended up receiving three years of probation and was required to attend an anger-management course and a year-long batterer’s program.

A Second Chance

Hill still wanted to play football, but no one was willing to give him a chance. West Alabama, a NCAA Division II school, was willing to take a chance on Hill, but not right away. Head coach Brett Gilliland warmed up to the idea of taking Hill after speaking with people at Oklahoma State, Garden City, and one of his high school mentors. Ultimately, Gilliland was swayed by the plea requirement that Hill needed to remain either a full-time college student or be employed full-time. Otherwise, he would need to serve jail time.

Courtesy of Great American Sports Network

Hill completed his college football career at West Alabama in 2015 and put up some decent numbers. Hill rushed for 237 yards and a touchdown and also caught 27 passes for 444 yards and three touchdowns. He also returned two kickoffs and two punts for touchdowns.

Not a bad way to end a football career, but nothing impressive. Hill was only his team’s fourth leading rusher and the second highest receiver. He was his team’s leading return man, but you have to be able to do more than that to get drafted in the NFL. Not to mention Hill’s small size and the fact that West Alabama had not had an NFL draft pick since 1974. It seemed unlikely he would play in the NFL.

Hill was not invited to the NFL combine so his last chance to impress NFL scouts was at West Alabama’s pro day. Hill ran the 40-yard dash in 4.24 seconds, which would have tied Chris Johnson for the fastest time in NFL combine history.

Hill’s strength is definitely his speed. His ability to score long touchdowns and return kicks and punts were highlighted as his strengths in his NFL draft profile. His weaknesses were that he was not a very tough runner and went down really easily and danced around too much waiting for a hole to open up. Not to mention he had been kicked out of Oklahoma State for domestic violence and was on probation. Hill was projected to go undrafted, but his punt return ability and speed could potentially intrigue a team to invite him to camp.

NFL

The 2016 NFL draft began April 28 and to the surprise of everyone, the Kansas City Chiefs took Hill in the fifth round with the 165th pick. Not only was Hill’s talent a question mark, but also his past. The NFL has really cracked down on domestic violence incidents ever since Ray Rice had his incident in 2014. Not to mention back in 2012, Chiefs’ linebacker Javon Belcher committed a murder-suicide, something that was still fresh in the mind of Chiefs fans.

Courtesy of Kansas City Star

Andy Reid has also shown compassion to players like Hill in the past. Back in Philadelphia, Reid gave Michael Vick a chance after he served time in prison for his role in a dogfighting ring. Vick was not disappointing on or off the field for the Eagles.

The Chiefs’ front office spent time with coaches from Oklahoma State and West Alabama as well as Hill’s family, friends, and even Hill’s prosecutor. After discussing it with everyone, the Chiefs determined Hill was on the right path and had been handling himself well. 

Hill has continued to show the Chiefs made the right decision by drafting him. Right now Hill has 56 catches for 547 yards and a team-high six touchdowns. He has also made an impact in the ground game, rushing for 252 yards and three touchdowns on just 21 carries. Hill also has a kick and punt return for a touchdown, putting him at the top of the team for total touchdowns with 11. His performance earned him a spot in the Pro Bowl this year as a return specialist.

With blazing speed and ability to make big plays, it is going to be exciting to see what Hill can do in the future. He has definitely made the Chiefs proud on and off the field. He has been going to counseling and says he wants to become a better person from doing so. He has learned from his past mistakes and is really making the most of his second chance at football. 

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“From Our Haus to Yours”

Hagan’s Haus NFL Picks (Week 17)

(Peter Diana/Post-Gazette)

(Peter Diana/Post-Gazette)

The final week of the NFL season is already here. Hopefully everyone had a great Christmas and is ready to welcome in the new year. It seems like the season just started yesterday but after this week the 12 teams participating in the playoffs will become official.

Currently, the AFC teams are all clinched and the only thing that remains is the seeding. In the AFC, the division winners are the Patriots, Steelers, and Texans. The Dolphins are one of the wildcard teams. The two remaining teams that have clinched a playoff spot are the Raiders and Chiefs, but depending on how week 17 goes one will win the division and the other will be a wildcard team.

The NFC is much more complicated than the AFC. In the NFC, three teams have already won their division: The Cowboys, Seahawks, and Falcons. The Giants have clinched one of the two wildcard spots. The NFC North title is on the line when the Lions and Packers face off. The Redskins and Buccaneers are not in the playoffs at the moment but depending on how the week plays out they are two teams that still have a shot at getting a wildcard spot.

Last week was rough and there were a lot of games that surprised the NFL world. All of the week 17 games are on Sunday for the only time of the season. It is important to end the season with a good week and without further ado, here are Hagan’s Haus week 17 NFL picks.

Last Week: 7-9

Season: 139-97-2

Sunday Morning

(http://thevikingage.com/2016/12/21/adam-thielen-minnesota-vikings-packers-week-16/)

(http://thevikingage.com/2016/12/21/adam-thielen-minnesota-vikings-packers-week-16/)

Chicago (3-12) 24 @ Minnesota (7-8) 31: Both teams are eliminated from the playoffs so this game is about pride. Earlier this season the Bears beat the Vikings on Halloween on Monday Night Football. The Vikings wish they had that game back and they might have made the playoffs. This game is in Minnesota and their offense is playing much better than it was during their last meeting. The Vikings’ season was littered with injuries and was a disappointment, but they will end it on a positive note.

Baltimore (8-7) 23 @ Cincinnati (5-9-1) 20: This is another meaningless divisional matchup with pride being the only thing on the line. The Ravens were a much better team than I had anticipated this season. Although they can’t make the playoffs, they should win this game.

Houston (9-6) 20 @ Tennessee (8-7) 14: Tennessee suffered a heartbreaking blow last week when Marcus Mariota broke his leg, but there is promise for the future. They have an upcoming defense that has enjoyed some success so far. Their two-headed monster in the backfield is one of the best in the NFL. If they can continue to grow next season, they will be in the playoffs. Houston will be using this game as a tune-up for the playoffs and should win this game on the road.

(Photo: Don Juan Moore/Getty Images)

(Photo: Don Juan Moore/Getty Images)

Carolina (6-9) 17 @ Tampa Bay (8-7) 20: This game is meaningful for the Bucs who still have a shot at making the playoffs. Having this game at home will help their chances and they already beat the Panthers 17 to 14 earlier this season, which should make them confident. The Panthers had an extremely disappointing season after a Super Bowl appearance last year. Carolina would love to go out with a win on the year along with ruining the chances of a divisional rival. The Bucs will get the win and hope for help in making the playoffs.

Jacksonville (3-12) 24 @ Indianapolis (7-8) 27: Andrew Luck worked wonders this season to keep the Colts around .500. If this team wants to become a playoff contender, they need to build their offensive line and defense. Jacksonville got an upset win against the Titans after they fired their head coach. The Jags have a lot of talent on their roster and with the right coach they can make major leaps next season. Only one team can end the season on a high note and Luck will be the difference.

(http://www.baltimoresun.com/sports/ravens/ravens-insider/bal-tom-brady-and-the-patriots-wont-cheat-for-a-while-20150903-story.html)

(http://www.baltimoresun.com/sports/ravens/ravens-insider/bal-tom-brady-and-the-patriots-wont-cheat-for-a-while-20150903-story.html)

New England (13-2) 27 @ Miami (10-5) 17: This game features two teams who are guaranteed a spot in the playoffs. New England is looking to solidify home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. They have something to play for. The Dolphins really don’t benefit from a win and they may rest their players to stay healthy for a playoff run. Pats will win this game in Miami.

Buffalo (7-8) 31 @ New York (J) (4-11) 29: The Bills thought this would be the year they ended their playoff drought but it did not come to an end. The Jets had a bad year as well and seem to have no direction. The Jets run defense has given up 100 yards per game over the season and the Bills are on of the best rushing teams. Bills should win to finish the season 8-8.

Dallas (13-2) 24 @ Philadelphia (6-9) 23: This is the game that the Cowboys will create whispers in. The Cowboys do not want their players to get hurt and thus they should rest them. This means Tony Romo may get a chance to start. If Romo starts and plays well, Jerry Jones won’t know what to do with himself. The Cowboys will still win this game and it may be because of Tony Romo.

Sunday Afternoon

(http://www.si.com/extra-mustard/2016/09/27/falcons-saints-matt-ryan-block-video)

(http://www.si.com/extra-mustard/2016/09/27/falcons-saints-matt-ryan-block-video)

New Orleans (7-8) 31 @ Atlanta (10-5) 30: The Falcons have wrapped up the NFC South but are still looking to earn a first-round bye. A win and they will clinch that bye. The Saints are a divisional opponent who will be looking to spoil their rival in any way possible. The Saints defense has played much better than earlier in the season and there is an opportunity to pull off an upset.

New York (G) (10-5) 21 @ Washington (8-6-1) 23: The Giants are locked into a wildcard spot and there isn’t much room for movement in terms of seeding. The Redskins need a win and some help to get the final wildcard spot in the NFC but it is possible. The Giants may want to rest some of their stars to make sure they are ready for the playoffs and that will be the reason the Redskins win.

Arizona (6-8-1) 24 @ Los Angeles (4-11) 20: The Rams got swept by the 49ers and that in itself tells you how bad this team is. They finally fired Jeff Fisher and need a new head coach to set the team in the right direction. Arizona was not as good as most expected but their defense is still one of the best in the NFL. They will shut down the middle school offense that is the Rams to secure a win.

(http://www.espn.com/nfl/player/_/id/16593/matt-mcgloin)

(http://www.espn.com/nfl/player/_/id/16593/matt-mcgloin)

Oakland (12-3) 17 @ Denver (8-7) 20: Oakland is the most unfortunate team to be guaranteed a playoff spot. The loss of Derek Carr is monumental and they will not be able to recover from it. The Raiders will lose this game and in all likelihood will be one in done in the playoffs. The Broncos would rather be in the playoffs but they will settle for ending the season on a high note.

Kansas City (11-4) 31 @ San Diego (5-10) 10: The Chiefs can still win the division and get a first-round bye with a win and a Raiders loss. With the injury to Derek Carr, the Chiefs have found some luck. They play great defense and do not turnover the football. Explosive rookie Tyreek Hill has been a great addition to the offensive and he provides big plays. The Chiefs will win this game, and get help from the Raiders to win the AFC West.

Seattle (9-5-1) 34 @ San Fransisco (2-13) 14: The 49ers are having an abysmal year and unless it is against the Rams they can’t get a win. Seattle is preparing for yet another run at a Lombardi Trophy. Even with this game on the road, the Seahawks can control this game.

usa-today-8928097-0

(http://packersguru.com/2016/09/25/packers-vs-lions-the-good-bad-and-ok-from-week-3/

Sunday Night

Green Bay (9-6) 31 @ Detroit (9-6) 28: The biggest game of the week is between these two teams. The division title is on the line and the winner will be guaranteed a spot in the playoffs. Since Aaron Rodgers said the Packers could run the table they have gone 5-0. One more win will make him a prophet. The Lions are in the midst of a losing streak and it won’t end this week. The Packers have a legend behind center and he will lead them to the playoffs.

 

 

 

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The Third and The Don NFL Picks Week 16

Cecil Walker (The Third) and Joe DiTullio (The Don) make their week 16 NFL picks. Regular picks are worth one point, weekend prime-time games are two points and upset picks (will be marked) are worth three points.

Away Team Home Team Joe Cecil
New York Giants Philadelphia Eagles Giants Giants
Miami Dolphins Buffalo Bills Dolphins Bills
New York Jets New England Patriots Patriots Patriots
Tennessee Titans Jacksonville Jaguars Titans Titans
Minnesota Vikings Green Bay Packers Packers Packers
San Diego Chargers Cleveland Browns Chargers Chargers
Washington Redskins Chicago Bears Bears Bears
Atlanta Falcons Carolina Panthers Panthers Falcons
Indianapolis Colts Oakland Raiders Raiders Raiders
Tampa Bay Buccaneers New Orleans Saints Saints Bucs
Arizona Cardinals Seattle Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers Los Angeles Rams Buccaneers 49ers
Cincinnati Bengals Houston Texans Bengals Bengals
Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Steelers Steelers
Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs Chiefs
Detroit Lions Dallas Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys
Season Total 140 132
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