Eddie Rosario 2018

Eddie Rosario’s outlook for the 2018 MLB season

Background

Eddie Rosario 2018

Eddie Rosario began 2015 with Triple-A Rochester, and was given a call to the majors in May. (Photo by Paul Sancya)

Eddie Rosario was drafted in the fourth round of the 2010 MLB Amateur Draft by the Minnesota Twins. The Puerto Rican international began his professional career in rookie ball, where he would spend two seasons, batting a combined .318 with 26 home runs, 105 runs scored, 86 RBIs and 39 stolen bases in 118 games.

The Twins felt no need to rush Rosario through the ranks, as he spent nearly the entire 2012 season with the Single-A Twins affiliate, the Beloit Snappers. Rosario continued to impress, batting .296 with 12 home runs, 60 runs scored, 70 RBIs and 11 stolen bases in 95 games. Rosario’s combination of speed, power and plate discipline had begun to show.

His 2013 campaign was split between High and Double-A, where he would bat a combined .302 with 10 home runs, 80 runs scored, 70 RBIs and 10 stolen bases in 122 games. Unfortunately, the then 21-year-old Rosario was suspended for 50 games after testing positive for a banned substance.

Rosario’s 2014 season began in May. After bouncing around between High and Double-A, Rosario recorded an underwhelming .243 batting average with eight home runs, 45 runs scored, 40 RBIs and nine stolen bases in 87 games. Adversity struck Rosario hard at an inopportune time, as he seemed nearly inches away from an MLB call-up before the suspension and his struggles in 2014.

Rosario began 2015 with Triple-A Rochester, and was given a call to the majors in May after batting a measly .242 with three home runs, 11 runs scored, 12 RBIs and one stolen base in 23 games. In his first major league action, the then 23-year-old Rosario batted .267 with 13 home runs, 60 runs scored, 50 RBIs and 11 stolen bases in 122 games and was voted sixth in the American League Rookie of the Year voting.

Even though he had a solid 2015 season, he struggled at the start of the 2016 season. The Twins sent him back to Triple-A, where he would bat .319 with seven home runs, 14 doubles, 26 runs scored, 25 RBIs and five stolen bases in 41 games.

Rosario was re-called to the MLB in July and remained with the team. In his second year of major league action, he batted .269 with 10 home runs, 52 runs scored, 32 RBIs and five stolen bases in 92 games. Although Rosario was already an everyday player, it was clear that at this point in his career, he had not yet fulfilled his potential just yet.

2017 season

The 2017 MLB season served as Rosario’s breakout campaign. To begin the year, Rosario was being displaced up and down the lineup, as he spent over 20 games in the fourth, fifth, sixth, seventh and eighth batting positions in the order to end the year.

In the first half of the season, Rosario batted .287 with 10 home runs, 37 runs scored, 26 RBIs and four stolen bases in 81 games. To this point, Rosario was one of the Twins’ most reliable players, but his second half propelled his worth to new heights.

In 70 games after the All-Star break, Rosario batted .292 with 17 home runs, 42 runs scored, 52 RBIs and five stolen bases. Rosario became a major catalyst in the Twins lineup, finishing the year with an offensive WAR of 2.7, which was good enough for third on the team behind only Brian Dozier (4.9) and Miguel Sano (3.1).

In 2017, Rosario slashed .290/.328/.507 with 27 home runs, 79 runs scored, 78 RBIs and nine stolen bases. He failed to receive an MVP vote, but his contributions to the Minnesota Twins were duly noted.

2018 outlook

Eddie Rosario 2018

Eddie Rosario will be just 26-years-old at the start of next season. (Photo by Wikipedia.com)

Rosario’s 2018 outlook is interesting. Up until 2017, Rosario had failed to put together a complete season where he would live up to expectations, as he set the bar high for himself in the minors.

His lack of track record is nerve racking, as this was his first major league season where he would play in over 125 games, hit over 13 home runs and strikeout under 24 percent of the time. His home run to fly ball rate measured 16.4 percent, which doesn’t seem sustainable, as he has never before had a major league season with a HR/FB rate of over 12 percent.

A positive sign for Rosario moving forward is his consistent batting average on balls in play, or BABIP, which has measured in at over .312 in all three of his MLB seasons, which ranks above average in terms of MLB batters. Rosario will be given all the opportunity in the world in 2018, as he will presumably bat in the heart of the Twins lineup, surrounded by the aforementioned Dozier and Sano.

His fantasy ceiling seems to be reached. However, if he can repeat his 2017 campaign, he will be an incredibly valuable fantasy asset moving forward, as he will be just 26-years-old at the start of next season.

 

Featured Image by MinorLeagueBaseball.com

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Players to Keep Your Eye On: 2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers

With the MLB season rapidly approaching, it is time to revisit my 2017 fantasy baseball sleepers.

 

WHAT QUALIFIES A PLAYER AS A “SLEEPER”?

First, a player must be undervalued.

A player’s average draft position, or ADP, must be below the ADP of other players with similar statistics to be undervalued. Rick Porcello was selected as the 230th player off the board last year according to ESPN.com. He finished as the sixth-best starting pitcher in 5X5 ESPN standard leagues. His teammate, David Price, was selected as the 27th player off the board, yet he finished as the 21st overall pitcher.

Porcello was tremendously undervalued last year, and I intend to help find undervalued players that can help contribute to 2017 fantasy championship.

Second, a player must be overlooked.

Some people argue that players can be considered “sleepers” if they are drafted in the third round, but have first round value. I argue that this makes a player undervalued. A player must be overlooked and passed on until later rounds in the draft to be a sleeper.

Jose Ramirez went undrafted last year in the majority of leagues, and managed to finish as a top 50 overall player. Ramirez went overlooked, and I aim to inform you about players that cannot be overlooked heading into 2017.

 

Yangervis Solarte, Third Base, San Diego Padres, (277)

2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers

Yangervis Solarte will take over as the San Diego Padres everyday third basemen in 2017. (Courtesy of wikipedia.com)

Yangervis Solarte has been creeping up fantasy boards all spring, but has remained my sleeper of the year. The 29-year-old is primed for a breakout season since he will have an everyday role for the first time in his career.

He totaled 15 home runs and 71 RBIs in just 109 games last year, which would have put him on pace for 22 home runs and 105 RBIs. The everyday third basemen will slot in somewhere ahead of young studs Wil Myers and Hunter Renfroe, which will positively impact Solarte’s run production.

Solarte’s ADP of 277, according to fantasypros.com, makes him the 28th third basemen taken off the board, which means he is currently going undrafted in majority of leagues. Solarte will make for an incredible late-round pick if you miss early on a third baseman.

 

Austin Hedges, Catcher, San Diego Padres, (305)

2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers

Austin Hedges will be the everyday man for the Padres for years to come. (Courtesy of The San Diego Union Tribune)

Austin Hedges has been working his way up the minor league system since 2011. This season will be his first as an everyday catcher.

Hedges made his way into the lineup with his defense and rocket arm, but his hitting progression has been outstanding over the past year. His batting average from 2013-2015 was a mere .235. He batted .312 last year at the AAA and MLB levels.

The 24-year-old will finally have his opportunity. At a price tag of a top 300 pick, he is well worth a draft selection in 2017.

 

Corey Dickerson, Left Field, Tampa Bay Rays, (317)

2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers

Corey Dickerson sheds 25 pounds in the offseason, signs of good things to come? (Courtesy of Wikipedia.com)

Corey Dickerson was drafted in 2010 by the Colorado Rockies in the eighth round. He’s enjoyed some early success, along with some nagging injuries.

Owners tend to forget that Dickerson batted .312 and .304 in two consecutive seasons with the Colorado Rockies. That shows he has the potential to be an elite hitter in this league.

The 27-year-old has dropped 25 pounds heading into 2017. That will give him a better chance to find a spot atop the Tampa Bay Rays’ lineup. The weight loss will also help him possibly steal more bases, as he has not stolen double-digit bases since 2012 (24).

Dickerson is a threat for 30 home runs and solid production all around whether it’s at the top or bottom of the order. His current ADP is 317, which is very low for someone with .300/80/30/80/10 potential.

 

 

 

 

 

Mitch Haniger, Center Field, Seattle Mariners, (319)

2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers

Mitch Haniger may be sleeper of the year. (Courtesy of Minor League Ball)

Mitch Haniger came over to Seattle along with Jean Segura as a lesser known piece of the Taijuan Walker trade.

Haniger has gotten off to a hot spring, slashing .406/.472/.719 in 32 at bats. This has earned him the everyday right fielder spot against American League foes, as well as the starting left field position during interleague play, when Nelson Cruz is forced to move from designated hitter to right.

The 26-year-old’s combination of power and speed makes him a threat to be a serious producer atop one of the most talented lineups in the league. Haniger could explode in 2017. I see a floor of .260/90/20/80/10, and a ceiling of .280/100/25/90/15. I believe this make him well worth the top 300 selection you would have to spend.

 

Tyler Naquin, Center Fielder, Cleveland Indians, (340)

2017 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers

Tyler Naquin is still a highly touted prospect, but is going unnoticed on draft day. (Courtesy of Lets Go Indians)

Tyler Naquin has been regarded as the Cleveland Indians top prospect for the last few years after being drafted in the first-round in 2012.

Naquin played in mainly a platoon roll with Rajai Davis and Abraham Almonte last year. Center field will be all Naquin’s this year. The 25-year-old has a great set of tools and is a career .296 hitter with some speed and pop.

Naqiun will bat toward the bottom of the loaded Indians lineup, although a stat line of .290/70/20/70/15 should not be out of the question. He is well worth the his current price tag of a top 350 pick.

 

 

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