week 7 DFS don'ts

Week 7 DFS don’ts: Tight end

Week 6 might have been my worst week at the tight end position. No one’s perfect, but none of my low priced tight ends were even close to hitting. Thankfully, I get another shot to be right, or wrong, in week 7. Let’s dive right into the tight end edition of week 7 DFS don’ts.

Evan Engram: FanDuel Price $5,500

I love Evan Engram. I have shares of him in multiple seasonal fantasy leagues, but it’s not happening this weekend. I’ve talked multiple times about this Seahawks defense and how it is not good for opposing tight ends.

Kam Chancellor is great. His size as a safety allows him to play physically with tight ends and not worry about being bullied. Earl Thomas also has incredible playmaking skills, which keep quarterbacks from testing the deep middle.

Personnel aside, the Seahawks cover 3 scheme does not allow tight ends to accumulate a lot of yards. To successfully attack a Cover 3 defense, the ball has to get to the hash marks. This is the area by which neither player in their zone can account for. The Giants haven’t yet shown the ability to attack this part of the field.

The Seahawks statistically have been great against the tight end position. They have allowed zero touchdowns thus far, and only one time has a tight end scored double digit points. This occurred in week 5 against the Rams.

Overall, the Seahawks won’t allow Engram to get going because he is the focal point of the passing game. They won’t have a disappointing outing like the Denver Broncos because they have a superior coach in Pete Carroll. Stay away from Evan Engram this weekend.

Zach Miller: FanDuel Price $5,200

week 7 DFS don'ts

Don’t be fooled by Zach Miller’s recent production, as it has come in the most unconventional ways. (Photo by CBS Sports Chicago)

Please don’t fall for this trick. I’ve heard people talking about how Mitch Trubisky has made Zach Miller relevant. This could not be further from the truth. Miller’s production the last two weeks is nothing but complete luck. Miller’s touchdown against the Vikings should have been an interception.

Instead, the ball was tipped and fell right into his hands. Against the Ravens, Miller caught a touchdown from Tarik, freaking, Cohen. He caught a touchdown pass from a running back and people are trying to correlate that production to Trubisky.

Miller’s matchup is one of the worst this weekend for any tight end. He and the Bears will host the Carolina Panthers, who have been one of the NFL’s best defenses. Outside of Zach Ertz, they have done a great job against tight ends.

There are other players in much better situations at Miller’s price with more reliable production. Miller joins Engram on my week 7 DFS don’ts.

 

Featured Image Courtesy of Scout.com

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week 7 DFS don'ts

Week 7 DFS don’ts: Wide receiver

In my opinion, this is the most important position group to predict correctly because of all the available players, and the volatility that comes with this position. To cash in almost any format, two of your three wide receivers need to hit. Let’s keep this week rolling with the wide receiver edition of week 7 DFS don’ts.

Julio Jones: FanDuel Price $8,500

Julio Jones is strictly a DFS don’ts for cash games. His production ceiling is among highest of any player; however, his floor is not worth his $8,500 price tag. On paper, Jones has a great matchup against one of the NFL’s worst defenses. The Patriots have given up 300 yards passing to every quarterback they’ve faced. But, the opposition’s number one receiver does not produce.

On the Suck My DFS Podcast, my co-host talks at length about New England’s track record this season against number one wide receivers. I won’t steal his thunder, but the results are not promising for Jones. I think New England will deploy Stephon Gilmore against Jones, and Malcolm Butler on the secondary receiving option.

Of course, Jones could overcome this individual matchup and score big. If he does, it won’t be on any of my cash lineups. Jones is great, but there’s too much risk for me this weekend.

Demaryius Thomas: FanDuel Price $7,100

week 7 DFS don'ts

Will Demaryius Thomas be able to produce at a consistent level with his matchup against Casey Hayward? (Courtesy of; SB Nation)

Yes, I was totally wrong on Demaryius Thomas last weekend. But, I’m not afraid of placing him back on my week 7 DFS don’ts. Why? Because Thomas will be seeing Casey Hayward for the majority of his routes. In week one Thomas was in Hayward’s coverage on 75 percent of his routes.

On those routes, Thomas turned six targets into four catches for 61 yards. It’s not a bad day by any means; however, that’s not enough to cash in a DFS contest from your second wide receiver. Also, Thomas will be playing without his running mate Emmanuel Sanders. This will allow the Chargers secondary to turn all of their attention to Thomas.

Given how bad the Chargers are against the run and the now shallow depth at wide receiver, I don’t think Thomas will have enough opportunities to double is value.

Rishard Matthews: FanDuel Price $5,500

Take advantage of what I’m about to tell you. After Monday night’s game and this weekend’s matchup against Cleveland, Rishard Matthews is going to be popular “pay down” play. However, you need to avoid him at all costs. Why? Because he has the toughest individual matchup in the NFL.

Matthews will face Jason McCourty. For those who don’t know, McCourty is playing the best football of his career. He is currently rated as the number one corner back by Pro Football Focus thus far. Last week, the Browns deployed McCourty in shadow coverage versus DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins was only targeted three times as a result.

There are plenty of other ways to get exposure to this game. I’m begging you to please stay away from Rishard Matthews for your own good. Matthews joins Jones and Thomas on my week 7 DFS don’ts.

 

Featured Image Courtesy of Sporting News

Like what you read? Tune into the Suck My DFS Podcast this Friday and find out who TGH fantasy experts will be playing in their DFS lineups this week. You can find the link to our podcast on the Podcast page.

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week 7 DFS don'ts

Week 7 DFS don’ts: Kicker and defense

The best DFS players know that you can’t overlook the kicker and defense positions. If you played the Saints defense this weekend in a large tournament, it made up for almost any other lineup deficiency. If you had Harrison Butker last weekend, then his 21 points covered up for some disappointing performances or an injury.

Moral of the story is take these positions as seriously as you take any other. Let’s move right into the kicker and defense edition of week 7 DFS don’ts.

Matt Bryant: FanDuel Price $5,300

Matt Bryant is not the problem. There are a few factors that have placed him on the week 7 DFS don’ts list.

I almost never roster the most expensive kicker. I would much rather allocate the few extra hundred dollars to other positions. Even if I really love a kicker, I will almost never pay more than $5,000 for one.

Price aside, I don’t like the Falcons. They have an identity issue and failed to score a single point in the second half against the Miami Dolphins. It’s an absolute travesty that Devonta Freeman was averaging over seven yards per carry and only received nine carries in a game that they were leading by 17.

I don’t trust this offense to put Bryant in good situations on the road against the team that derailed their Super Bowl hopes last season. Matt Bryant’s price and offense has landed him on the week 7 DFS don’ts list.

Dallas Cowboys: FanDuel Price $5,000

week 7 DFS don'ts

Will the Cowboys defense make value in their week 7 matchup against the 49ers? (Photo by Pro Football Spot)

On what planet are the Dallas Cowboys a $5,000 defense? To this point, Dallas is 16th in passing yards allowed per game and 22nd in rushing yards allowed per game. The Cowboys are tied for 27th in takeaways and are allowing teams to convert 44.6 percent of their third downs. So you tell me why they look like a good play against the 49ers.

San Francisco traveled across the country to play Washington as a double-digit underdog and came within an offensive pass interference penalty of winning the game. The Redskins are better than the Cowboys three of the four aforementioned defensive categories.

They are significantly better than the Cowboys in rushing yards allowed per game, and Carlos Hyde was able to score twice on the ground. Granted, he had an awful yards per carry on his 13 attempts. Hyde’s matchup will be in a much better situation this Sunday against the Cowboys. Despite the 49ers’ struggles, the Cowboys are not even close to being worth that price.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: FanDuel Price $4,500

What a disappointment the Buccaneers have been. At this point, I consider them to be in contention with the Raiders and Giants for most disappointing team. Their defensive problems stem from one major issue: they cannot apply pressure to the quarterback.

Tampa Bay is last in sacks with a grand total of six on the season. This lack of defensive pressure allows teams to move the ball methodically against the Buccaneers on a consistent basis. This defense has allowed opposing offenses to accumulate 114 first downs, that’s tied for 24th in the NFL. The worst part about their opposing teams’ success is that they convert on over 46 percent of their third down attempts.

Essentially, this team is unable to stop anyone. When teams are able to sustain drives, the opposing defense wears down and big plays start to occur as a result. There are other defenses in this $4,500 price range in better situations than Tampa Bay. Stay away this week, as the Bucs join Dallas on my week 7 DFS don’ts.

 

Featured Image by the Atlanta Falcons

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week six DFS don'ts

Week six DFS don’ts: Report Card

An interesting trend is starting to develop. It seems as though every three weeks I’m due for a dip in DFS profitability. Thus far, I’ve only failed to profit in weeks three and six. Does that mean I should just not play in weeks nine, twelve and fifteen? Of course not, if there’s a Sunday slate, I’ll play it. Let’s wrap up week six DFS don’ts with the dreaded report card.

Quarterback: 1/3

As some of you might have noticed, no week six DFS don’ts piece about quarterbacks. Sorry about that, won’t happen again. Anyways, Tom Brady came up just short of doubling his value against the Jets and Kevin Hogan was a huge disappointment. Thankfully, Kirk Cousins redeemed me by finishing as the top fantasy quarterback this weekend.

Running Back: 4/6

Not a bad week at the running back position. Leonard Fournette and Mark Ingram were great for my cash game lineups. Unfortunately, the Denver Broncos didn’t show up and that cost me huge with C.J. Andersen. As far as my week six DFS don’ts at this position, Carlos Hyde proved me wrong. I’m glad to see he’s reestablished himself as the lead back even if it was at my expense. Both Ameer Abdullah and Elijah McGuire failed miserably to double their value.

Wide Receiver: 2/5

I don’t count players who end up being out, so, I’m not counting DeVante Parker as part of my report card. DeAndre Hopkins and Chris Hogan shockingly didn’t produce double their value. I know DeSean Jackson didn’t technically double his value; however, I’m counting this as a win since he still managed to produce with Ryan Fitzpatrick. Brandin Cooks came so close to proving me wrong, whereas Demaryius Thomas blew me away with 10 catches for over 130 yards.

Tight End: 1/4

Martellus Bennett was an easy pick. If you couldn’t tell a week ago, you can now. He doesn’t produce in this offense. Darren Fells, despite a lack of targets, still managed to produce. He’s officially supplanted Eric Ebron and is a viable DFS option moving forward. Ryan Griffin and AJ Derby were also bad calls despite great matchups.

Kicker: 2/2

At least I’m continuing to pick this position correctly. Aaron Rodgers injury aside, I didn’t like Mason Crosby going into this week. However, I loved Wil Lutz this week and he more than doubled his value.

Defense: 1/2

I will apologize for everyone who listened to the Suck My DFS Podcast and picked Denver as their defense. They were incredibly disappointing. Thankfully, Jacksonville laid an egg at home as I predicted.

Overall Score: 11/22

50% isn’t great, but, there doesn’t seem to be a correlation between who I pick and how much money I win. The weeks I’ve won the most money, I haven’t been great on individual player picks, and vice versa. The best thing about this game is that we can quickly move on to the next week. Come back tomorrow for which kicker and defense you should avoid in week seven.

 

Featured Image Courtesy of Grizzly Bear Blues

Like what you read? Tune into the Suck My DFS Podcast this Friday and find out who TGH fantasy experts will be playing in their DFS lineups this week. You can find the link to our podcast on the Podcast page.

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week six DFS don'ts

Week six DFS don’ts: Wide receiver

My week five was one to forget in terms of my wide receiver predictions. Yes, there were obvious calls I could have made, but I wanted to take some risks. I’ll be doing the same this week. However, I’ll try to make these more calculated. Let’s find out which players are my wide receiver edition of week six DFS don’ts.

Brandin Cooks: FanDuel Price $7,900

This pains me to say because I love Brandin Cooks. I was so excited when I found out he was traded to New England. However, there are problems with Cooks that emerged in last Thursday’s game against the Buccaneers.

As we all know, Rob Gronkowski was inactive in last week’s game. With Gronk out, we saw a shift towards the pass catching running backs and Danny Amendola. Cooks did see a season-high in targets, but it still failed to reach double digits. It’s clear that Chris Hogan is the number one receiving option in this offense going forward.

Offensive role aside, Cooks does not have a favorable matchup this week. Yes, I know they are playing the Jets. However, I’m referring to Cooks’ individual matchup versus Morris Claiborne. Claiborne has been deployed in shadow coverage every week since week two. According to Pro Football Focus, Claiborne has only been targeted 14 times since week two, allowing nine total catches for 95 yards.

We also have a track record of teams choosing to shadow Cooks over Hogan. In week four, James Bradberry shadowed Brandin Cooks on over 65 percent of the snaps. Bradberry was targeted six times, only surrendering three catches for 38 yards. Teams clearly see Cooks as the most talented wide receiver and are choosing to focus on him as opposed to Hogan or Amendola. If you want DFS shares of the Patriots, pivot to another receiver this week.

Demaryius Thomas: Fanduel price $6,800

week six DFS don'ts: wide receiver

Will Demaryius Thomas find a way to reach the end zone for the first time all season against the tough Giants secondary? (Photo: Denver Post)

2017 has been so disappointing thus far for Demaryius Thomas. Denver allocated resources in the offseason to build the offensive line and support Trevor Siemian, and it hasn’t translated to production for Thomas.

Granted, he’s had a solid floor in terms of point production. However, he failed miserably in a great matchup versus Oakland in week four. Thomas was only able to turn five targets into one catch for 11 yards.

This week’s matchup does not bode well for Thomas, or any Denver wide receiver. While the Giants are depleted on offense, they still have one of the best secondaries in the league. Another strike against Thomas is the 12-point spread.

This kind of spread indicates that the game will be over in the third quarter, or even by halftime. Meaning, the Broncos will look to sit on their lead and fee C.J. Anderson against a below average run defense. Consider other options in Thomas’ price range, as his matchup and role have landed him on my week six DFS don’ts.

DeVante Parker: FanDuel Price $6,000

You can attribute Parker’s place on this list to Jay Cutler. It’s embarrassing how poorly he played against a bad Titans defense. How on earth does a starting NFL quarterback not throw for 100 yards in a game in which they play all four quarters? Cutler failed to complete 50 percent of his passes, including one interception. His overall body language was disheartening and his interest in the game looked minimal. I don’t think anyone on the Dolphins offense has a chance to produce as long as Cutler remains the quarterback.

Parker’s health is also uncertain, as his status for Sunday’s game is questionable. Not all injuries are equal. Parker left the game with an ankle injury which can linger if not addressed immediately. If you really want to play Parker this week, keep checking practice reports and his official status as the week continues. Parker joins Thomas and Cooks on my week six DFS don’ts.

 

Featured Image Courtesy of Boston Globe

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Like what you read? Tune into the Suck My DFS Podcast this Friday and find out who TGH fantasy experts will be playing in their DFS lineups this week. You can find the link on our Podcast page.

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week six DFS don'ts

Week six DFS don’ts: Running Back

Week six looks to be straightforward when it comes to the running back position. None of the top tier players have unfavorable matchups and most are fairly priced. So, the running back edition of week six DFS don’ts will focus on lower priced running backs who we have previously relied on.

Carlos Hyde: FanDuel Price $6,700

Like most DFS players, we were left in utter dismay looking at Carlos Hyde’s final stat line. Hyde was in a favorable matchup with a favorable projected game flow, and he still came up small. Reportedly, Kyle Shanahan laughingly claimed the “hot hand” approach when it came to Hyde’s snap count. The hot hand only works when you have to equally talented players…Anyone can see that Carlos Hyde is vastly more talented than Matt Breida.

Last week’s debacle aside, Hyde’s matchup against the Washington Redskins is one of the worst of the weekend. Washington has quietly assembled one of the leagues best front sevens, regardless of scheme. Currently, the Redskins are allowing 88.8 rushing yards per game on average. That includes games versus two of the top four rushing leaders, Kareem Hunt and Todd Gurley. Conversely, the 49ers are 19th in terms of rushing yards per game and are double digit underdogs this weekend.

The game flow will likely dictate a lot of throwing from Brian Hoyer. If that’s the case, we could see much more Matt Breida than we’d like. I always hesitate to start a running back who is more than a six point underdog, especially on the road. There are too many arrows pointing out of Hyde’s favor, as he’s on my week six DFS don’ts.

Ameer Abdullah: FanDuel Price $6,400

week six DFS don'ts

Should Ameer Abdullah’s role in the Detroit backfield keep us from playing him on our DFS lineups against New Orleans? (Courtesy of; Pride of Detroit)

In all fairness, Ameer Abdullah is having a good season. He’s staying healthy and is proving that he can shoulder a substantial workload. The only problem is, the Lions are severely limiting his upside with Theo Riddick and Zach Zenner.

Abdullah is known as a between the 20’s type of running back. He gets to play on first and second down and is the dominant ball carrier in terms of carries. However, on third down, or in games where the Lions are trailing, Theo Riddick cuts into Abdullah’s playing time. Also, Zach Zenner will vulture goal line opportunities from Abdullah, as we saw last week versus Carolina.

This weekend’s matchup versus the Saints does not bode well for Abdullah. The Saints in New Orleans are always a threat to score thirty points. If the Saints jump out to an early lead, Riddick will start to see more snaps. Also, the Saints are giving up nine catches per game to the running back position. I’d say that both Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara are safer plays than Abdullah this week because of game flow, and role.

Elijah McGuire: FanDuel Price $5,700

Do I really need to explain? The New England Patriots have a different approach to offense than most teams. New England and Tom Brady are notorious for throwing the ball when they are double digit favorites. The Patriots hardly ever choose to sit on a lead and revert to running the clock out.

I understand New England’s defense is bad, and McGuire will likely be the only back in this offense, but the Jets offense cannot keep pace when it comes to scoring. Josh McCown will have to resort to throwing the football in the second half or late second quarter.

McGuire is in a similar situation to Carlos Hyde, I cannot in good conscience play a running back who is a double digit underdog. I like my running backs on the favored teams, obviously, so they will get fourth quarter carries with a lead. McGuire joins Carlos Hyde and Ameer Abdullah on my week six DFS don’ts.

 

Featured Image Courtesy of Bleacher Report

Like what you read? Tune into the Suck My DFS Podcast this Friday and find out who TGH fantasy experts will be playing in their DFS lineups this week. You can find the link on our Podcast page.

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week 6 DFS don'ts

Week 6 DFS don’ts: tight end

This could be the most frustrating position in all of fantasy football. If you’re in a seasonal league, you’re just looking at any tight end who can get you more than zero points. If you’re a DFS degenerate like myself, you’re torn every week between paying up for Zach Ertz, or making a value play like Ryan Griffin. I can’t confidently tell you who will lead the position in scoring this weekend. However, I can tell you which players to fade in the tight end edition of week 6 DFS don’ts.

Martellus Bennett: FanDuel Price $5,500

Have we not learned our lesson? It doesn’t matter who the tight end is; the Green Bay offense doesn’t feature tight ends. What happened when Randall Cobb was inactive against Cincinnati? Conventional wisdom says they would allocate targets to the large, athletic tight end in the middle of the field. Instead, Geronimo Allison had twice as many targets Bennett.

It’s clear this offense prioritizes wide receivers. There’s a reason that Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams are first and second in touchdowns since 2016. It took Nelson and Cobb getting hurt against Atlanta to see double-digit targets. Bennett still only managed to turn 11 targets into five catches for 47 yards.

Offensive role aside, Bennett has an awful individual matchup this Sunday against Harrison Smith. While Smith doesn’t get national media coverage, he’s one of the best safeties in the NFL. Currently, Pro Football Focus has Smith ranked as the sixth best safety. Please, do yourself a favor, and avoid Martellus Bennett this weekend. There are better options available.

Darren Fells: FanDuel Price $4,900

week 6 DFS don'ts

Darren Fells has done nothing but take advantage of the opportunities he’s been given this season. (Photo from Washington Times).

If you’ve been following this series, or listening to the Suck My DFS Podcast, my disdain for Eric Ebron is well documented. It brought me pure joy to watch him drop a touchdown pass, and then see Darren Fells catch two. However, joy does not equate to DFS viability.

Fells has no doubt been improving this season. Every game, his role becomes more solidified. He even managed to get more snaps than Ebron on Sunday against the Panthers. But, let’s calm down. The workload simply isn’t there.

Yes, Fells scored twice, but he was only targeted twice. That means he maxed out his potential production, and that only equates to 15 points. Considering how awful this position is, that’s great. However, Fells’ floor is way to low to even consider as a DFS option. I’ll be going elsewhere this week as Fells joins Bennett on my week 6 DFS don’ts list.

 

Featured Image Courtesy of Sports Illustrated

Like what you read? Tune into the Suck My DFS Podcast this Thursday and find out who TGH fantasy experts will be playing in their DFS lineups this week. You can find the link on our Podcast page.

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week six DFS don'ts

Week six DFS don’ts: Kicker and Defense

While choosing a kicker and defense can seem mundane and pointless, those positions can be the difference between winning and losing. When I make lineups, I have the same tight end, kicker, and defense. It helps keep my lineups consistent in terms of scoring and structure. Thankfully, I had the Dolphins defense and Harrison Butker on every single cash and tournament lineup in week five. So, let’s find out who you should avoid in this special teams edition of week six DFS don’ts

Mason Crosby: FanDuel Price $4,800

This might be the first and last time I every break down the long snapper and holder for any team ever. However, it was talked about at nauseam during the game. The Packers had a new long snapper and holder entering their contest with the Dallas Cowboys. I’m a believer that a professional kicker should make the extra point with few exceptions. Clearly, those new players had a negative impact on Mason Crosby.

Personnel aside, the opportunities will be limited this weekend. The Minnesota Vikings at home have played incredibly well as a defensively. The Packers showed early that they will allow pressure on Aaron Rodgers, and, the Vikings have a superior unit to the Cowboys at almost every level. I don’t see Crosby paying off on his $4,800 price tag. And as always, I believe there are much better options that are cheaper and in a better situation. Green Bay and their special teams personnel have landed Crosby on my week six DFS don’ts list.

Jacksonville Jaguars: FanDuel Price $4,900

week six DFS don'ts

The Jaguars defense proved they are an elite unit with their performance against the Steelers on the road last Sunday (Courtesy of; Jaguars.com)

Here is my weekly public service announcement about not chasing points. The Jacksonville Jaguars did what most NFL teams fail to do, stick to their identity. Despite the score, the Jaguars continued to run the ball and trust their defense.

Frustration aside, they did not abandon their offensive identity. Sadly, the Steelers resorted to throwing the ball 55 times and played right into the strength of the Jaguars defense. It was the perfect situation for Jacksonville.

That will not happen again this weekend. While I still have doubts about the Rams offense, they have established an identity, and they stick to it. Todd Gurley had his season-low in total touches with 15. This was the second time this season Gurley had less than 20 total touches.

Coincidentally, it led to their second loss of the season. The Rams will return to featuring Gurley this weekend and take the Jaguars’ corners out of the game by distributing the ball in between the hashes.

It’s entirely possible the Jaguars score 11 or 12 points. And, if those are your expectations, then roster them. Just please, do not expect them to record another five turnovers and two touchdowns on defense this weekend.

 

Featured Image Courtesy of On Milwaukee

Like what you read? Tune into the Suck My DFS Podcast this Friday and find out who TGH fantasy experts will be playing in their DFS lineups this week. You can find the link on our Podcast page.

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Week five DFS don’ts: Report card

Well, as fun as week five was, it was not nearly as kind to me as week four. My DFS profitability reached a season high; however, my individual player picks were not as good. I’d like to move on to week six as soon as possible, so lets get into the report card edition of week five DFS don’ts.

Quarterback: 2/5

Thank goodness my top two quarterbacks came up big. Aaron Rodgers and Dak Prescott anchored my cash game lineups. With 24 and 30 points respectively, they made up for some of the stragglers in my lineups. Sadly, I was totally wrong about Cam Newton and Tyrod Taylor.

However, I’m the most upset about Carson Palmer. He somehow managed to double his $7,200 price tag and did it without Larry Fitzgerald or Jaron Brown scoring a touchdown. Carson Palmer might be my least favorite player in the NFL after this Sunday.

Runningback: 2/4

Since Ty Montgomery didn’t play, I will not be counting him as a win. I just thought it was worth noting in my DFS don’ts series because of the unclear picture provided by the Packers earlier this week. Le’Veon Bell, along with Marshawn Lynch came up small. On the bright side, Leonard Fournette came up huge for my tournament lineups, since he was owned in the single digits, and Bilal Powell busted.

Wide Receiver: 0/6

I’m so sorry if any of you chose to listen to me and fade any receiver on my week five DFS don’ts. While the Giants and Steelers lost in demoralizing fashion, Odell Beckham and Antonio Brown played incredibly well. Devin Funchess also managed to double his value with a score against Detroit.

At least everyone was wrong with me on Jordy Nelson and Dez Bryant. They had okay games, but neither produced to the level that their price tags dictated. And of course, my Jaron Brown call proved to be more embarrassing than Jay Cutler’s wildcat performance against the Saints.

Tight End: 3/4

This would have been a perfect four for four if Charles Clay didn’t get injured against the Bengals. It’s clear that offense will struggle if he cannot return quickly. I told you Tyler Kroft wouldn’t get it done in my tight end edition of week five DFS don’ts. And, I took pure joy in watching Darren Fells, not Eric Ebron, score two touchdowns against the Panthers. Austin-Seferian Jenkins also came through by doubling his value with a touchdown.

Defense: 2/2

If there’s one thing we nail on the Suck My DFS Podcast, it’s the special teams portions of the roster. We were all on the Dolphins defense as soon as the Titans signed Brandon Weeden. They were a huge reason why we were able to cash this weekend, despite injuries and poor performances. And, the Rams defense failed to double their value, so that’s a win.

Kicker: 2/2

We nailed the kicker position as well. I outlined exactly why you needed to fade Greg Zuerlein. I hope you listened. We also talked on the podcast value kickers that would produce. My choice was Harrison Butker, and he delivered.

Overall Score: 11/23

Like I said in the opening paragraph, I’m ready to move on to week six. My week five DFS don’ts predictions were some of the worst of the season. However, we will start over tomorrow with the defense and kicker edition of week six DFS don’ts.

 

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week five DFS don'ts

Week five DFS don’ts: Quarterback

Week five is shaping up to be tough on DFS players from a quarterback selection standpoint. This is the first time we’ve had to deal with scheduled bye weeks. We don’t have access to Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, Kirk Cousins or Trevor Siemian. Given the dearth of options at the position, we must identify who to avoid at all costs. Let’s find out who we need to steer clear of with the quarterback edition of week five DFS don’ts.

Cam Newton: FanDuel Price $7,800

This is a classic let down game for Cam Newton. It took the worst defense in the NFL to finally turn Newton back into the player we have come to know and love. As good as he looked against the Patriots, he won’t play near as well this Sunday.

Newton and the Panthers had success against the Patriots because they were able to gain yards in chunks. Of their nine possessions, only two included double digit plays. Now, both of those drives resulted in points. However, outside of those two drives, they averaged 5.85 plays and 50 yards per drive. That equates to a staggering 8.54 yards per play.

The Lions have been one of the leagues stingiest defenses thus far. Against the Falcons, who are a far superior offense to Carolina, averaged 6.09 plays per drive and only 6.44 yards per play. The Lions only allowed two drives that consisted of double digit plays. Meaning, teams aren’t getting big plays against the Lions. They have to move the ball methodically, and to this point, the Panthers haven’t proved they can do that. On another note, it’s been reported that Panthers’ left tackle, Ryan Kalil, injured his groin in Thursday’s practice. As of now, his status for Sunday is uncertain. As talented as Newton is, this matchup lands him on my week five DFS don’ts.

Carson Palmer: FanDuel Price $7,200

week five DFS don'ts

Carson Palmer will have a great chance to prove this Sunday that he is still a top 15 quarterback (Courtesy of; Baltimore Sun).

This is it for Carson Palmer. He’s had a good career, but it’s time to hang up the cleats at the conclusion of this season. I don’t think I’ve seen the erosion of a quarterback’s awareness like I’ve seen with Palmer this year. It’s as if he totally forgot everything that coaches have taught him over his career.

He has lost all sense of the pocket. Palmer can no longer feel if pressure is coming, or from where, or where to go to properly avoid it. Instead, Palmer is holding on to the ball too long and is taking way to many sacks.

It’s unfortunate to see this happen because he has one of the best matchups of the weekend against Philadelphia. This Eagles team cannot stop the pass, and with a player like Larry Fitzgerald, this should be a prime spot to play Palmer.

Sadly, we can’t even count on him to deliver the ball to Fitzgerald, as he’ll fluctuate between games of single and double digit targets. However, I’m still playing Fitzgerald in my cash games, and, I’m taking a hard look at Jaron Brown as well. I believe the receivers can still be productive, even with a below average Carson Palmer.

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You can “Like” The Game Haus on Facebook and “Follow” us on Twitter for more sports and Esports articles written by other great TGH writers along with Braxton!

Like what you read? Tune into the Suck My DFS Podcast this Friday and find out who TGH fantasy experts will be playing in their DFS lineups this week. You can find the link on our Podcast page.

To continue enjoying great content from your favorite writers, please contribute to our Patreon account! Every little bit counts. We greatly appreciate all of your amazing support! #TGHPatreon

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