week 5 DFS don'ts

Week 5 DFS don’ts: tight end

I love this part of the NFL season. With four weeks in the books, we have a much better idea of how these players will be used. This is the time to strike in DFS. We know who the featured players are and which defenses we want to target on a weekly basis. So let’s get started with the tight end edition of week 5 DFS don’ts.

Tyler Kroft: FanDuel Price $5,500

If you listened to the Suck My DFS Podcast last week, I hope you made a ton of money on Tyler Kroft. He had a great week and took advantage of a great matchup.

However, that was last week. Cleveland has been atrocious against the tight end position this season. Kroft also had the second most targets on the Bengals through the first three weeks. It was the perfect situation where opportunity and matchup aligned perfectly, but that was last week.

In week 5, the Bengals face the Bills. The Bills held Matt Ryan to his lowest completion percentage of the season at 57.1 percent. Yes, I know he didn’t have all of his weapons on the outside, but it’s safe to say that Matt Ryan’s offensive line is vastly superior to Andy Dalton’s. Thus, Dalton and company are going to struggle to move the football consistently.

Apart from their performance against the Falcons, the Bills have been tremendous against the pass all season. As a unit, they’ve only surrendered one touchdown pass through the first four games. That score came on the road against Atlanta, who has one of the best passing attacks in the NFL.

Analysis aside, playing Tyler Kroft goes against one of my core DFS beliefs: Don’t chase points.

Kroft took advantage of a great matchup. That’s it. He will not produce near to the same level this Sunday. His price has increased dramatically. For these reasons, Kroft has landed on my week 5 DFS don’ts list.

Eric Ebron: FanDuel Price $5,200

week 5 DFS don'ts

Eric Ebron’s inconsistent play has landed him on the week 5 DFS don’ts list (Courtesy of; Zimbio).

I’m so close to being out on Eric Ebron indefinitely. Watching him play is incredibly frustrating. He’s consistently inconsistent and Matt Stafford has taken notice. After dropping multiple passes against Atlanta in week 3, Ebron has clearly fallen out of favor.

Detroit’s coaching staff has taken notice as well. Ebron was only on the field for 31 snaps Sunday against the Vikings compared to 45 the week before. His understudy, Darren Fells, was on the field for a staggering 51 snaps against the Vikings. He also had a season-high five targets, which was one more target than Ebron.

Eric Ebron is incredibly talented, but his time is up. If he’s healthy, which has been a big if in his career, he’s anything but consistent. Unless his price falls drastically, and he has a great matchup, I will not be touching Eric Ebron for the foreseeable future.

 

Featured Image Courtesy of USA Today

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